Nantes vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Downcast after losing an eight-goal thriller, 15th-placed Nantes return home to face bottom side Metz in their next Ligue 1 game. Nantes being out of the relegation zone is down to goal difference, and they are four points better than Metz. Here’s our prediction for the match.
Nantes twice rallied from behind against Monaco in midweek but went on to lose 5-3 at home. Les Canaries will be disappointed at scoring three times in a game but still ending up empty-handed.
A second straight home match will lift their hopes of bouncing back, though they’ve suffered back-to-back home league defeats. Nantes need to work on their defence, as witnessed in the Monaco game and having conceded 10 in the last five home matches.
Metz will look at their 2-0 win over high-flying Lens for inspiration to do better on the road. Across their opening five away matches, Metz haven't been able to pick up a point from the 15 on offer.
They completed a league double over Nantes the last time they were in the league before relegation. Les Grenats would love to invoke that here, especially seeing that Nantes haven't had a great home run so far.
Their biggest undoing, though, has been a porous backline. While Nantes have been poor in attack, it is hard to see them not scoring here. They face a defence that’s conceded 2.6 goals per game on average.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Nantes v Metz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.94 | 3.65 | 4 |
|
|
2.04 | 3.68 | 3.94 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.56 | 3.46 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.52 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nantes and Metz?
Our prediction for the Nantes vs Metz match is: More than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/11/2025 between Nantes and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.7% for a win of Nantes against Metz with odds of 2.15 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nantes vs Metz is 17.52% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Nantes with odds of 4 at Stake.
Nantes - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nantes Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nantes wins | 49.7% | 2.15 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.98% | 2.03 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Nantes/Nantes | 20.98% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
Nantes vs Metz Form
Nantes and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17
|
23 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -23 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Nantes and Metz Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Nantes vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
27 Feb 2022 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2021 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1
22 Nov 2020 - Ligue 1
Nantes against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
P. Carlgren
F. Centonze
U. Radakovic
K. Hyeok-kyu
S. Ziani
B. Deuff
M. Mohamed
Y. Benhattab
A. Camara
R. Jean-Baptiste
DefenderC. Melieres
B. Stambouli
M. Diop
MidfielderB. Traore
J. Asoro
I. Guerti
G. Abuashvili
M. Bokele
Missing players
F. Coquelin
J. Lepenant
P. Sy
DefenderF. Ballo-Toure
S. Sane
MidfielderU. Mboula
ForwardG. Hein
Most goals and assists
Nantes
Metz
M. Abline
(6 Goals)
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
M. Abline
(3 Assists)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
Nantes - Metz Key Points
- Nantes’ league matches this season have averaged 2.5 goals.
- Metz have conceded an average of 2.6 goals per league game.
- The last two matches between these sides returned six goals.
- A total of 34 goals have been scored in Metz’s 10 league matches.
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Our Nantes vs Metz Prediction
In the seasons before their relegation in 2023/24, Metz was the dominant side in this fixture. The visitors have three wins in five against Nantes. However, the biggest impediment to extending that run is their defensive performance.
No team has conceded as many goals as Metz’s 26 after only 10 matches this season. Nantes haven't been the sharpest in attack, but they should have enough in them to edge this. Les Canaris will, however, be wary of a Metz coming off a key win. Our prediction for Nantes v Metz is: More than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nantes Metz
| Nantes vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nantes wins | 1.9 | 2.15 | +13.2% |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.7 | +7.2% |
| Metz wins | 3.75 | 4 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nantes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.6% and is now 46.5% (-6.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
