PSG vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

France - Ligue 1

PSG
26/10/2026 14:30
Lyon

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals & BTTS

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions

Olympique Lyon will head to PSG seeking three points against the injury-ravaged champions. The two sides occupying the top slots face off to mark the close of matchday eight. Both sides scored in their last seven meetings, and our prediction backs the same.

PSG started slow but have caught up with the rest after a sustained positive run, especially in Ligue 1. Ahead of this encounter, they handed Barcelona their first defeat of the season, winning 4-2 at home.

Four straight wins since their loss to Monaco place PSG behind leaders Lyon on goal difference. The champions of France and Europe have won seven straight games ahead of this encounter. In 12 matches this season, they managed just one clean sheet.

Lyon will be happy to face a PSG side without four key men – Marquinhos, Ousmane Dembele, Nuno Mendes and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, all of whom are injured.

However, there is one man who has been a thorn to Lyon’s flesh – Desire Doue. In all the 13 matches the French international scored against Lyon, PSG won.

As they focus on stopping the champions, Lyon hope to recover from their 3-0 loss to Hoffenheim in the Europa League. They return to Ligue 1 looking to record back-to-back wins over PSG, having triumphed 2-1 the last time they faced off in April.

That was only their second win 10 meetings with the reigning champions. In this matchup, Lyon have lost seven times in the last 10 against PSG.

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PSG v Lyon Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus
Stake
1.40 5.40 6.20
1xbet
1.47 5.29 6.88
Melbet
1.42 5.10 6.60
Betwinner
1.42 5.10 6.60
22bet
1.41 5.10 6.65
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Lyon?

Our prediction for the PSG vs Lyon match is: over 2.5 goals & BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/10/2026 between PSG and Lyon in Ligue 1 :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.39% for a win of PSG against Lyon with odds of 1.47 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Lyon is 18.7% with odds of 5.5 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 24.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs PSG with odds of 6.88 at 1xbet.

PSG vs Lyon Form

PSG and Lyon's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Lyon
14 7 4 2 1 +8
2 PSG
14 7 4 2 1 +5

PSG and Lyon Last Matches

PSG
PSG Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Oct 2026 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  2
Barcelona

17 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  3
PSG

14 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  4
PSG

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Le Mans FC

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  2
PSG

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  1
PSG
D W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
100% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Oct 2026 - Champions League

PSG
4 :  2
Barcelona

10 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Le Mans FC

9 Sept 2026 - Champions League

PSG
6 :  1
SK Slovan Bratislava

4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  2
Monaco

12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup

PSG
2 :  1
Aston Villa

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

PSG
1 :  1
Manchester United
D D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

17 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
1 :  3
PSG

14 Oct 2026 - Champions League

Manchester City
2 :  4
PSG

20 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Marseille
1 :  2
PSG

13 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Brest
0 :  1
PSG

28 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lille
2 :  2
PSG

23 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Rennes
2 :  2
PSG
Lyon
Lyon Last matches
W W L W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

22 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Hoffenheim
3 :  0
Lyon

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  1
Nice

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Lyon
3 :  2
Crystal Palace

9 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Lyon

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
4 :  0
Rennes

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Anderlecht
1 :  2
Lyon
L D W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  1
Nice

15 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Lyon
3 :  2
Crystal Palace

19 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
4 :  0
Rennes

4 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
3 :  1
Auxerre

29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
Le Havre

26 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Lyon
1 :  2
Fenerbahce Istanbul
D W D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Oct 2026 - Europa League

Hoffenheim
3 :  0
Lyon

9 Oct 2026 - Ligue 1

Lens
2 :  1
Lyon

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

Anderlecht
1 :  2
Lyon

12 Sept 2026 - Ligue 1

Paris FC
0 :  0
Lyon

22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
0 :  2
Lyon

18 Aug 2026 - Champions League

Fenerbahce Istanbul
1 :  1
Lyon

PSG vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

PSG

83 %

Draw

0 %

Lyon

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.17
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2.67
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1

PSG
1 :  2
Lyon

9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

23 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  3
PSG

15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Lyon

25 May 2024 - French Cup

Lyon
1 :  2
PSG

21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1

PSG
4 :  1
Lyon
PSG vs Lyon Prediction

PSG vs Lyon last Lineups

PSG

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

39
M. Safonov
2
A. Hakimi
5
Marquinhos
51
W. Pacho
21
L. Hernandez
87
J. Neves
17
Vitinha
8
F. Ruiz
14
D. Doue
10
O. Dembele
7
K. Kvaratskhelia
11
K. Nakamura
45
R. Himbert
26
K. Boudache
99
N. Nartey
6
T. Tessmann
2
M. Bidstrup
21
R. Kluivert
20
F. Bacher
22
C. Mata
37
S. Kango
1
D. Greif

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Lyon

Substitutes

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

A. Mouak

L. Chevalier

Defender

L. Digne

Beraldo

I. Zabarnyi

Midfielder

M. Akliouche

W. Zaire-Emery

S. Mayulu

P. Fernandez

Forward

M. Godts

Q. Ndjantou

F. Torres

Lyon
Lyon
Goalkeeper

R. Descamps

J. Bengui Joao

Defender

M. Niakhate

N. Kamara

Z. Athekame

A. Garcia

A. Vinicius

Midfielder

K. Merah

T. Morton

C. Tolisso

Forward

J. Duranville

E. Nuamah

Missing players

PSG
PSG
Defender

Marquinhos

N. Mendes

Forward

O. Dembele

K. Kvaratskhelia

Lyon
Lyon
Defender

N. Tagliafico

M. Ouedraogo

Midfielder

K. Nakamura

Forward

L. Openda

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato PSG
CD Huachipato Lyon
Top Goalscorer
Spain F. Torres (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ghana E. Nuamah (3 Goals)
Best assists
Spain F. Ruiz (2 Assists) , 
France O. Dembele (2 Assists)
Best assists
Czech Republic P. Sulc (3 Assists) , 
Switzerland Z. Athekame (3 Assists)

PSG and Lyon Stats in Ligue 1

PSG
PSG
Lyon
Lyon
57%
Wins
57%
14%
Losses
14%
29%
Draws
29%
3.29
Average goals per match
2.57
2
Goals scored per match
1.86
1.29
Goals conceded per match
0.71
14%
Under 2.5 goals
43%
86%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
14%
No goals conceded
43%
86%
BTTS
57%

PSG - Lyon Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in the last seven meetings between these sides.
  2. Each of Lyon’s last five games saw three or more goals netted.
  3. Both teams scored in 10 of PSG’s 12 games this season.
  4. 23 goals were scored in PSG’s seven league games.
  5. Over 2.5 goals were recorded in each of the last seven matches between these two.
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Our PSG vs Lyon Prediction

None of these teams’ last seven meetings ended in under 2.5 goals, so the entertainment value here will be high. As a bonus to that, no team has managed a clean sheet in those eight meetings.

Given the two sides are sitting in the top two positions, it means a big fight is set to unfold at Parc des Princes with the bragging rights well on offer. Lyon won the last meeting between them, but PSG have been dominant, with seven wins in 10, with one drawn. Our prediction for PSG v Lyon is for over 2.5 goals & BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals & BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.