Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14
France - Top 14
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by Steve Ashfield | in Rugby Predictions
Seventh-placed Montpellier look to continue their strong home form. This weekend sees the Rockroses host Stade Francais Paris who are third in Top 14 but often struggle on their travels. Read our match prediction below.
Montpellier are only a point behind the play-offs. Last weekend saw the Blue and Whites lead at RC Toulon but ended up losing by three points. Seven of their 15 league games this season have been won and six came on home soil.
Their last home league fixture produced an impressive 62-22 win over Aviron Bayonne. That was their third successive home victory in Top 14. Three of the last five have seen them score at least 30 points.
Stade Francais Paris begin this set of fixtures only four points behind the top two. The Pink Soldiers have won eight league games this season but just two of those have come on their travels with six away losses.
They had a good away win last week though, winning 33-28 at Bordeaux Begles. Before that though, they had lost four successive away league games. Only one of their last four matches has ended in defeat, an away loss at Ulster in the European Challenge Cup.
We tip Montpellier to win on a -7.5 handicap.
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Montpellier Herault Rugby v Stade Francais Paris Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 36 | 2.66 |
|
|
1.51 | 19 | 2.65 |
|
|
1.44 | 21 | 2.88 |
|
|
1.48 | 20 | 2.62 |
|
|
1.48 | 20 | 2.6 |
|
Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Form
Montpellier Herault Rugby and Stade Francais Paris's standings in the Top 14
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 25 | 16 | 1 | 8 | +234 |
|
3
|
78 | 25 | 15 | 1 | 9 | +210 |
Montpellier Herault Rugby and Stade Francais Paris Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
11 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
12 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
1 Nov 2025 - Top 14
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
28 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Top 14
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
10 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
3 Jan 2026 - Top 14
20 Dec 2025 - Top 14
6 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
23 Nov 2025 - Top 14
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
24 Jan 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Challenge Cup
27 Dec 2025 - Top 14
13 Dec 2025 - Challenge Cup
29 Nov 2025 - Top 14
1 Nov 2025 - Top 14
Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
25 Oct 2025 - Top 14
29 Mar 2025 - Top 14
5 Oct 2024 - Top 14
30 Mar 2024 - Top 14
2 Sept 2023 - Top 14
25 Feb 2023 - Top 14
Players list
Substitutes
Montpellier Herault Rugby - Stade Francais Paris Key Points
- Montpellier have won six home league games this season.
- Montpellier have scored at least 30 points in three of their last five home league matches.
- Stade Francais Paris have been beaten in six of their eight away league fixtures this season.
- Montpellier beat Stade Francais Paris at home last season.
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Our Montpellier Herault Rugby vs Stade Francais Paris Prediction
Montpellier can move into the play-off positions in Top 14 if they can beat Stade Francais Paris at home. Their home form is strong this season with six league wins and a points difference of +110. 62 points were scored against Aviron Bayonne in their last home league victory.
Stade Francais Paris are enjoying a much better season after last year's relegation battle. They are third in Top 14 but still struggle for consistency on the road with only a couple of away league wins. Our Montpellier Herault RC v Stade Francais Paris prediction is Montpellier wins on a -7.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
