Montpellier Herault Rugby vs RC Toulonnais Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
04/10/2026 15:05
RC Toulonnais

Prediction :

 

Montpellier –12.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Last year's finalists Montpellier host RC Toulon in this Top 14 Round 5 fixture at the Septeo Stadium. RC Toulon are on five consecutive defeats on the road since last season, while Montpellier have won 14 of their last 15 matches at Septeo Stadium, nine of which by double digits. Our prediction supports the home team for a convincing victory.

So far, it's been a mixed start for Montpellier with two wins and two losses leaving them 10th in the standings with nine points. Last week, they fell 40–18 away to defending champions Stade Toulousain. 

However, an impressive run of 14 wins in 15 matches at Septeo Stadium since last season (nine of which by double digits) has the hosts on the front foot heading into this clash. They have also won 13 of their last 16 matches across all competitions, dating back to last season.

RC Toulon finally snapped their three-match losing start to the season with a 28–10 victory over struggling Vannes last week. Nevertheless, things are unlikely to be easy for them in this clash. 

The Red and Blacks have lost seven of their last nine Top 14 matches, dating back to last season. That run includes four consecutive defeats on the road. 

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Montpellier Herault Rugby v RC Toulonnais Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.14 23 5.5
Melbet
1.14 23 5.5
Betwinner
1.12 23 5.5
Bet365
1.18 34 4.75
Roobet
1.17 20 4.9
Check all Montpellier Herault Rugby vs RC Toulonnais odds

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Montpellier Herault Rugby vs RC Toulonnais Form

Montpellier Herault Rugby and RC Toulonnais's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
8 Montpellier Herault Rugby
9 4 2 0 2 +21
13 RC Toulonnais
8 4 1 0 3 +14

Montpellier Herault Rugby and RC Toulonnais Last Matches

Montpellier Herault Rugby
Montpellier Herault Rugby Last matches
W L L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

27 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
40 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
50 :  13
USA Perpignan

12 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
12 :  26
Montpellier Herault Rugby

5 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
19 :  27
Section Paloise

27 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28 :  20
Montpellier Herault Rugby

20 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
25 :  15
Stade Francais Paris
W W W W L W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
50 :  13
USA Perpignan

5 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
19 :  27
Section Paloise

20 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
25 :  15
Stade Francais Paris

30 May 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
26 :  18
Section Paloise

22 May 2026 - Challenge Cup

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  26
Ulster Rugby

9 May 2026 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
59 :  7
US Montalbanaise
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

27 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
40 :  18
Montpellier Herault Rugby

12 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Rugby Club Vannes
12 :  26
Montpellier Herault Rugby

27 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28 :  20
Montpellier Herault Rugby

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
25 :  28
Montpellier Herault Rugby

16 May 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
33 :  36
Montpellier Herault Rugby

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
21 :  23
Montpellier Herault Rugby
RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais Last matches
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

26 Sept 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
28 :  10
Rugby Club Vannes

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
29 :  27
RC Toulonnais

12 Sept 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
20 :  21
Stade Rochelais

5 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
27 :  26
RC Toulonnais

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
38 :  21
RC Toulonnais

31 May 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  22
Union Bordeaux Begles
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

26 Sept 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
28 :  10
Rugby Club Vannes

12 Sept 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
20 :  21
Stade Rochelais

31 May 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  22
Union Bordeaux Begles

9 May 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  51
Stade Toulousain

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
52 :  26
Aviron Bayonne

4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
28 :  27
Stormers
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

19 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
29 :  27
RC Toulonnais

5 Sept 2026 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
27 :  26
RC Toulonnais

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
38 :  21
RC Toulonnais

16 May 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
43 :  28
RC Toulonnais

2 May 2026 - Champions Cup

Leinster
29 :  25
RC Toulonnais

18 Apr 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
22 :  47
RC Toulonnais

Montpellier Herault Rugby vs RC Toulonnais Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Montpellier Herault Rugby

17 %

Draw

0 %

RC Toulonnais

83 %

25 Jan 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
30 :  27
Montpellier Herault Rugby

6 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
17 :  27
RC Toulonnais

15 Feb 2025 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
30 :  38
RC Toulonnais

19 Oct 2024 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
30 :  17
Montpellier Herault Rugby

23 Mar 2024 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  7
Montpellier Herault Rugby

7 Jan 2024 - Top 14

Montpellier Herault Rugby
27 :  17
RC Toulonnais
Montpellier Herault Rugby vs RC Toulonnais Prediction

Players list

Montpellier Herault Rugby
Montpellier Herault Rugby
B. Erdocio L. Japaridze D. Delibes A. Bernadet M. Moustin L. Anyanwu A. Bécognée B. Chalureau C. Tolofua Y. Camara H. Miotti T. Banks A. Vincent F. Verhaeghe V. Vunipola
RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
J. Kpoku M. Ferte M. Jaminet L. Asevedo O. Cowie P. Damond B. Serin G. Fickou C. Ollivon K. Sinckler M. Smaili J. Gros T. Albornoz D. Ribbans Z. Mercer

Substitutes

Montpellier Herault Rugby
Montpellier Herault Rugby
L. Nouchi T. Duguid L. Akrab J. Piccardo V. Welsch W. Hounkpatin A. Price S. Hogg
RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
M. Shioshvili L. Keletaona J. Quere Karaba L. Ametlla C. Mezou O. Sorhaindo G. Lucchesi S. Rebbadj

Montpellier Herault Rugby - RC Toulonnais Key Points

  1. Montpellier have won 13 of their last 16 matches across all competitions, dating back to last season.
  2. Montpellier have won 14 of their last 15 home matches, nine of which by double-digit margins.
  3. RC Toulon have lost seven of their last nine Top 14 matches dating back to last season.
  4. RC Toulon have lost their last four away league matches.
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Our Montpellier Herault Rugby vs RC Toulonnais Prediction

Montpellier fell short of a second Top 14 title just at the final last season. They remain favourites to contend for the French championship this season despite a slow start and will be out to return to winning ways after last week's setback. 

RC Toulon enter this contest on the back of seven defeats in their last nine league matches, including a dismal four-match losing streak on the road. They are likely to struggle against a Montpellier that has been formidable at home. Our Montpellier vs RC Toulon prediction: Montpellier –12.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Montpellier –12.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.