Middlesbrough vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions
Middlesbrough will be looking to make home advantage count when they welcome Millwall in the EFL Championship this Friday. These two teams are firmly in the promotion race as they sit just two points apart in the league standings with seven games to go. Read on to find our two predictions for the match below.
On 71 points, Boro have the slight advantage and arrive for this match in the second spot, nine points adrift of the league leaders Coventry. Meanwhile, the Lions have garnered 69 points and are placed fourth. Middlesbrough won the reverse meeting 3-0 on matchday two and, though they have been struggling of late, are favored by bookmakers to win again.
As it is, both sides will be looking to bounce back – Middlesbrough from three winless outings and Millwall from two. Playing at home will be one advantage for Middlesbrough; they will also be banking on a stronger head-to-head run. In the last four meetings between the two, Boro won three.
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Middlesbrough v Millwall Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.66 | 3.95 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.84 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.9 | 4.74 |
|
|
1.68 | 3.9 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.71 | 3.8 | 4.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Middlesbrough and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Middlesbrough vs Millwall match is: less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/04/2026 between Middlesbrough and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.31% for a win of Middlesbrough against Millwall with odds of 1.75 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Middlesbrough vs Millwall is 26.44% with odds of 4.1 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Middlesbrough with odds of 5 at LSbet.
Middlesbrough - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Middlesbrough Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 37.31% | 1.75 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 58.73% | 2.11 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 22.07% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Middlesbrough vs Millwall Form
Middlesbrough and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
83 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | +15 |
|
5
|
80 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | +25 |
Middlesbrough and Millwall Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
8 Mar 2026 - Championship
2 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
11 Mar 2026 - Championship
24 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
8 Mar 2026 - Championship
2 Mar 2026 - Championship
16 Feb 2026 - Championship
9 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Championship
10 Mar 2026 - Championship
25 Feb 2026 - Championship
21 Feb 2026 - Championship
31 Jan 2026 - Championship
24 Jan 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Championship
7 Mar 2026 - Championship
28 Feb 2026 - Championship
14 Feb 2026 - Championship
7 Feb 2026 - Championship
20 Jan 2026 - Championship
Middlesbrough vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
14 Dec 2024 - Championship
13 Jan 2024 - Championship
5 Aug 2023 - Championship
12 Dec 2020 - Championship
Middlesbrough - Millwall: Form Analysis
Middlesbrough are holding onto the automatic promotion spot, their destiny firmly in their hands. Though a daunting task, given their recent hiccups, Kim Hellberg’s men just have to win six more games to secure promotion. If they manage to do so, they will end an almost 10-year stay away from the Premier League.
Boro, who have 20 wins and 11 draws, have been blowing mostly cold since February. They have won just twice in their last eight games and have gone winless in three straight. Middlesbrough drew their second successive fixture after playing out a 0-0 draw with Blackburn right before the international break.
Middlesbrough are winless in four home matches, drawing three.
Millwall are also witnessing a dip in form. The visitors haven’t won in two outings. A 2-1 loss at home to struggling Blackburn ended a four-game winning run and was then followed by a 1-1 draw with Ipswich.
Before this latest slip-up, the Lions looked like they would be the ones to take full advantage of Boro’s struggles. Millwall, who are facing a second successive promotion rival, are tied on 69 points with third-placed Ipswich. They have won more games, 20, but have a significantly weaker goal difference.
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Middlesbrough against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
J. Wildsmith
DefenderA. Bangura
F. Munroe
G. Edmundson
MidfielderA. Gilbert
L. McCabe
ForwardM. Sene
C. Ibeh
J. Sarmiento
M. Crocombe
DefenderD. McNamara
J. Bryan
MidfielderB. Bannan
L. Cundle
D. Mazou-Sacko
T. Ballo
ForwardM. Langstaff
T. Watson
Missing players
A. Jones
L. Jensen
MidfielderB. Baker
D. Kelly
Middlesbrough & Millwall Squad Analysis
Middlesbrough have a timely boost heading into this game as Sam Silvera could be back. It is two weeks before his projected recovery from a foot injury, but Boro will want to have all they can available. Alfie Jones is, however, still sidelined with an ankle injury, while Darragh Lenihan remains a long-term absentee.
While there will be a bigger focus on attack, the hosts seem safe in the goalkeeping department. Sol Brynn has kept 12 clean sheets and is in the running for the Golden Glove. He should play a key role here as Boro look to tighten their grip on second place.
There could be a new twist to the Golden Glove race in this match.
Millwall’s Max Crocombe is further back in the Golden Glove race but has been one of Millwall’s standout performers. With nine shutouts, we expect him to take center stage once again as the visitors look to leapfrog their hosts.
Millwall do not have any new injury concerns, with long-term absentees Danny McNamara, Lukas Jensen, and Daniel Kelly still sidelined.
Most goals and assists
Middlesbrough
Millwall
M. Whittaker
(14 Goals)
F. Azeez
(11 Goals)
M. Whittaker
(6 Assists)
,
H. Hackney
(6 Assists)
,
C. Brittain
(6 Assists)
F. Azeez
(8 Assists)
Middlesbrough - Millwall Key Points
- Eight of the last 10 meetings between these sides produced under 2.5 goals.
- In their last eight games, Middlesbrough failed to score more than one goal six times.
- Only twice in their last 10 games have Millwall conceded more than one goal a match.
- Middlesbrough and Millwall have kept a combined 27 clean sheets in the league.
- None of the last seven visitors to Middlesbrough scored more than once.
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Our Middlesbrough vs Millwall Prediction
Our prediction for Middlesbrough v Millwall is for less than 2.5 goals. This is a promotion six-pointer, and neither team can afford to lose here. We, therefore, expect a hard-fought fixture that should see a low-scoring outcome, given these two sides are among the best defensively.
No team has kept more clean sheets in the league than Millwall, while Boro have proved almost impenetrable recently at home. As this match is coming after the international break, we can expect a bit of jitteriness from each team.
Middlesbrough vs Millwall Alternative Predictions
Draw
For our second prediction, we are backing this match to end in a draw. Middlesbrough and Millwall have played a combined 20 draws in the league this season. As this fixture is a six-pointer in the race for promotion, a loss will be a disaster for either side.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Middlesbrough Millwall
| Middlesbrough vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 1.62 | 1.75 | +8.0% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.1 | +9.3% |
| Millwall wins | 4.75 | 5 | +5.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 57.1% (-4.6%)
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Middlesbrough vs Millwall - FAQs
This match will be played on Friday, 3 April.
This match will be played at Middlesbrough’s Riverside Stadium in Middlesbrough, England.
Fans in the UK will be able to watch this game live on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports Ultra, and also STV and ITV1. Sportytrader will also provide detailed updates of this and other Championship games this weekend.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
