Metz vs Strasbourg Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Metz have bounced back to Ligue 1 after a season away, and their return is marked by a home match against Strasbourg. The past one year has been eye-opening for Metz, who return to Ligue 1 looking to stay up longer. Strasbourg will not afford them a comfortable return, and we have a prediction below.
Metz, who lost their place via a playoff, have returned to the topflight the same way. They finished third in the league and faced Reims in the promotion playoff, winning 4-2 on aggregate.
Metz finished their preseason engagements with an 8-0 defeat to Hoffenheim. That, and the fact that they’ve struggled against Strasbourg previously, makes things even harder.
Strasbourg didn’t have a great run of results in preseason either. They won just one of their final four preseason games but will retain their place as favorites.
Le Racing were one of the in-form teams in the final stages of Ligue 1 last season. They should be able to carry the same momentum into this game, having won six times in their last 10 away matches in the league.
The visitors lost their two closing matches of last season, which meant they could only qualify for the Conference League. Two losses only in their final 14 matches of the season will build their basis for a strong start.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Metz v Strasbourg Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.45 | 2.33 |
|
|
3.83 | 3.57 | 2.04 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.46 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.74 | 3.48 | 2 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Strasbourg?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Strasbourg match is: Strasbourg wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2025 between Metz and Strasbourg in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.37% for a win of Metz against Strasbourg with odds of 3.9 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Strasbourg is 30.62% with odds of 3.57 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.02% chance ⭐ for a win of Strasbourg vs Metz with odds of 2.33 at Stake.
Metz - Strasbourg Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Strasbourg Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 37.37% | 3.9 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.07% | 2.11 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Metz | 20.44% | 8.5 at LSbet |
Metz vs Strasbourg Form
Metz and Strasbourg's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
53 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | +11 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and Strasbourg Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2025 - Ligue 1
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2 May 2025 - Ligue 2
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 2
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 May 2025 - Ligue 1
10 May 2025 - Ligue 2
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Strasbourg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 May 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
9 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2021 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2021 - Ligue 1
13 Dec 2020 - Ligue 1
Metz against Strasbourg Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Substitutes
P. Sy
DefenderI. Sane
K. Van Den Kerkhof
M. Colin
J. N'Duquidi
G. Abuashvili
A. Toure
M. Bokele
I. Gueye
K. Johnsson
DefenderI. Samuels-Smith
E. Sobol
MidfielderK. Paez
S. Nanasi
R. Nzingoula
M. Oyedele
ForwardS. Mara
D. Bakwa
Missing players
H. Diallo
G. Hein
A. Omobamidele
G. Doue
I. Doukoure
S. Sow
A. Sylla
MidfielderD. Moreira
M. Amougou
ForwardJ. Enciso
Most goals and assists
Metz
Strasbourg
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
J. Panichelli
(16 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
D. Moreira
(7 Assists)
, 
J. Enciso
(7 Assists)
Metz - Strasbourg Key Points
- Metz are winless in six matches against Strasbourg.
- Strasbourg have only lost twice in 14 league matches.
- Strasbourg won each of the last five matches against Metz.
- Away from home in the last 10 Ligue 1 games, Strasbourg won six.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Metz vs Strasbourg Prediction
While Metz have dominated the overall head-to-head records between these two, the recent meetings have belonged to Strasbourg. Le Racing won each of the last five and avoided defeat in six straight. The visitors will come here as favorites.
Taking on a newly promoted team should be a manageable task, especially as they closed with a good run last season. Metz will be targeting a solid start, but this will be a tough opponent. Our prediction for Metz v Strasbourg is that Strasbourg wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Strasbourg
| Metz vs Strasbourg | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 3.34 | 3.9 | +16.8% |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.57 | +4.4% |
| Strasbourg wins | 2.17 | 2.33 | +7.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Metz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.9% and is now 25.6% (-4.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
