France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Metz are on the rise after a difficult return to Ligue 1, while Nice have gone into a slump lately. The two are set to clash in their next league match, which finds Nice eighth on 17 points and Metz 17th. Let’s have a look at the prediction here.
Hosts Metz have turned on the style, with back-to-back wins, and can rise from the bottom three this weekend. On matchday 10 they beat Lens 2-0 to claim three well-deserved points.
Next they were out to prove it wasn’t a fluke; with a second straight win, this time on the road, they beat Nantes 2-0. Now they are only a point adrift of the safe zone and will need no extra motivation.
Nice will have reasons to be jittery about this fixture. They are coming from a 3-1 home defeat to German side Freiburg in the Europa League.
That was their fifth defeat in the last 10 matches but a second on the bounce. While Les Aiglons haven't suffered consecutive Ligue 1 defeats this season, 10 losses in 17 matches overall suggest that record could be set.
They have particularly struggled on the road, winning only once in the eight away matches they’ve had this season. Of the eight matches, they avoided defeat in just two.
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The Best Betting Odds for Metz v Nice Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.4 | 2.25 |
|
|
3 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
|
|
3 | 3.7 | 2.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Nice?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Nice match is: Metz win or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2025 between Metz and Nice in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.24% for a win of Metz against Nice with odds of 3.2 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Nice is 20.36% with odds of 3.7 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Nice vs Metz with odds of 2.31 at LSbet.
Metz - Nice Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Nice Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 43.24% | 3.2 at Betfred |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.54% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 46.25% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Metz | 18.88% | 7.5 at Betfair |
Metz vs Nice Form
Metz and Nice's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | -1 |
|
14
|
11 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15 |
Metz and Nice Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Sept 2025 - Europa League
13 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
20 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Nice Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
23 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2021 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2021 - Ligue 1
9 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1
Metz against Nice Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Missing players
P. Sy
DefenderU. Mboula
F. Ballo-Toure
ForwardM. Mbaye
B. Madjo
M. Abdel Monem
Dante
M. Bombito
MidfielderY. Ndayishimiye
Most goals and assists
Metz
Nice
G. Hein
(4 Goals)
S. Diop
(6 Goals)
G. Hein
(2 Assists)
H. Boudaoui
(4 Assists)
Metz - Nice Key Points
- Nice lost six of their last eight away matches.
- Nice are coming off two straight defeats.
- Nice lost 10 of their 17 outings this season.
- Metz avoided defeat in three of their last four home games.
- Metz won their last two matches.
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Our Metz vs Nice Prediction
Nice might have done well in their previous meetings with Metz, but coming into this particular one, they are on a poor run. Their last two outings ended in defeat, leaving the visitors with only three wins in the last 11 matches.
Away from home it has been problematic for Nice, winning once and losing six of eight in the season. Metz, in their current form, will see this as an opportunity to improve on their two wins. Playing at home offers the needed spark. Our prediction for Metz v Nice is: Metz win or draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Nice
| Metz vs Nice | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 3.9 | 3 | -23.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.6 | -4.0% |
| Nice wins | 1.85 | 2.25 | +21.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Metz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 23.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.6% and is now 33.3% (7.7%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Metz vs. Nice game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
