Metz vs Le Havre Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Metz and Le Havre were tipped to struggle in the season, and the prediction is so far true ahead of their meeting on Sunday. Hosts Metz are pasted at the bottom of the standings, while Le Havre are seated just above the relegation zone. We have a prediction for the match below. Metz would have wished for a tougher start on their return to the big stage. They remain the only side yet to win after five league matches. Having faced Monaco, Lyon, and Strasbourg in their opening five matches, that was expected. However, they have also failed to make the most of easier fixtures against Angers and Paris FC. They are coming into this one off the back of a 5-2 defeat.
Le Havre will hope to join the party as another team to take points off Metz. They lost this fixture the last time the two faced off and have actually failed to beat Metz in the last three meetings. Coming from behind to draw 1-1 with Lorient last time out was a good warm-up for this fixture, especially after having missed a penalty in the game. Le Havre have by all means started the season better than Metz, not only in terms of points won but also goals scored and conceded.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Metz v Le Havre Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.65 | 3.35 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.79 | 3.47 | 2.72 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.32 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.34 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.2 | 2.63 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Le Havre?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Le Havre match is: over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/09/2025 between Metz and Le Havre in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.02% for a win of Metz against Le Havre with odds of 2.79 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Le Havre is 28.36% with odds of 3.47 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Le Havre vs Metz with odds of 2.8 at 888Starz.
Metz - Le Havre Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Le Havre Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 46.02% | 2.79 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 64.5% | 2.1 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Metz | 25.73% | 6.5 at LSbet |
Metz vs Le Havre Form
Metz and Le Havre's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
35 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -12 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and Le Havre Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2025 - Ligue 1
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Le Havre Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2023 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2023 - Ligue 2
24 Oct 2022 - Ligue 2
4 Mar 2019 - Ligue 2
29 Sept 2018 - Ligue 2
Metz against Le Havre Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 3
Substitutes
P. Sy
DefenderC. Melieres
I. Sane
M. Colin
MidfielderG. Abuashvili
A. Toure
I. Guerti
G. Tsitaishvili
B. Madjo
L. Mpasi
DefenderF. Doucoure
T. Delaine
G. Kyeremeh
R. N'Diaye
D. Pizarro
D. Mosengo
Y. Namli
F. Mambimbi
Missing players
B. Stambouli
S. Sane
A. Sangante
MidfielderY. Kechta
ForwardA. Logbo
Most goals and assists
Metz
Le Havre
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
I. Soumare
(8 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
I. Soumare
(5 Assists)
Metz - Le Havre Key Points
- Metz have conceded 2.6 goals on average in Ligue 1 this season.
- Metz averaged one goal per game in their five matches so far.
- Le Havre’s league games thus far have averaged 2.8 goals.
- Four of Le Havre’s last five away matches produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our Metz vs Le Havre Prediction
These two sides have points between them, signaling a tough start to the season. It means they will both be putting in their all for a win here. Metz have the better head-to-head in recent meetings between the two, but Le Havre have a slight advantage in a better run of form coming into the game.
One thing common about the two sides is that they’ve been involved in high-scoring matches so far in the season. Our prediction for Metz v Le Havre is for over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Le Havre
| Metz vs Le Havre | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 2.17 | 2.79 | +28.6% |
| Draw | 3.67 | 3.47 | -5.4% |
| Le Havre wins | 3.54 | 2.8 | -20.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Metz is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 28.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.1% and is now 35.8% (-10.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
