Metz vs Brest Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Brest have an opportunity to go unbeaten in five straight Ligue 1 matches when they travel to Metz. Right ahead of this game, Brest are 11th, also with a chance to break into the top half, while Metz are rock bottom. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Metz lost 3-0 to league leaders PSG last time out to officially fall 10 points below safety. With each passing matchday, it is becoming evident that Metz will be dropping back to Ligue 2.
Now they’ve suffered the most defeats (16), won the least (3), and conceded a league-high 52 goals. Les Grenats haven't won a league game since November.
The prospects don’t look too good for Metz, who have lost all their last four matches against Brest. The visitors will be confident of extending that run to five, as they are also coming here unbeaten in four league games.
Les Ty’Zefs have won twice in that four-game stretch, scoring twice in three and keeping two clean sheets. Their latest outing was a big one, as they brought down title contenders Marseille 2-0 at home.
As they look to improve on their away form, this game offers a good opportunity. Brest have managed just two wins in the last 10 on the road but claimed victory in each of their last three visits to Metz.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Metz v Brest Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3.5 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.28 | 3.38 | 2.21 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.38 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.35 | 2.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Metz and Brest?
Our prediction for the Metz vs Brest match is: Brest wins and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 01/03/2026 between Metz and Brest in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.47% for a win of Metz against Brest with odds of 3.44 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Metz vs Brest is 25.69% with odds of 3.51 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Brest vs Metz with odds of 2.28 at 888Starz.
Metz - Brest Prediction and Best Odds:
| Metz Brest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brest wins | 54.83% | 2.28 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.36% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Brest/Brest | 25.93% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Metz vs Brest Form
Metz and Brest's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Metz and Brest Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Metz vs Brest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
26 Sept 2021 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1
Metz against Brest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
O. Ba
DefenderT. Yegbe
F. Ballo-Toure
C. Melieres
MidfielderG. Abuashvili
U. Mboula
N. Mbala
L. Michal
G. Kvilitaia
R. Majecki
DefenderS. Coulibaly
B. Locko
L. Zogbe
R. Le Guen
MidfielderL. Tousart
H. Makalou
ForwardP. Mboup
R. Lascary
Missing players
P. Sy
DefenderB. Stambouli
MidfielderI. Guerti
ForwardG. Hein
J. Mangondo
M. Balde
Most goals and assists
Metz
Brest
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
R. Del Castillo
(9 Goals)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
L. Ajorque
(9 Assists)
Metz - Brest Key Points
- Metz have suffered five defeats in their last six away matches.
- Six of Brest’s last eight away league games had over 2.5 goals.
- Brest are unbeaten in their last four league matches, winning twice.
- Brest have posted four straight wins in their latest meetings with Metz.
- Metz conceded three goals in three of their last four away league games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Metz vs Brest Prediction
Brest have the upper hand coming into this game despite playing away from home. They have posted four straight wins in this fixture, and the last two meetings between these sides have particularly been high-scoring.
Metz scored five and Brest seven in these teams’ last two league meetings. Adding to Metz’s poor run in the season, they’ve conceded a league-high 52 goals and last won in the league in November. Our prediction for Metz v Brest is: Brest wins and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Metz Brest
| Metz vs Brest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Metz wins | 3.25 | 3.44 | +5.8% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.51 | +0.3% |
| Brest wins | 2.37 | 2.28 | -3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brest is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.2% and is now 43.9% (1.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
