Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Predictions
We'll have an unseeded player in the last eight of the Monte Carlo Masters. Matteo Berrettini faces Joao Fonseca in round three with the winner taking on either third seed Alexander Zverev or unseeded Zizou Bergs in the last eight. Read more in our match prediction below.
Neither of these players have reached the last eight of this outdoor clay court tournament before. Berrettini has twice made it to the third round, most recently last year. The Italian has amazingly reached round three without losing a single game.
He led Roberto Bautista Agut 4-0 in set one of their first round match when the Spaniard retired. Then on Wednesday, he demolished clay court hating Danil Medvedev 6-0 6-0. His previous match on this surface five of his last seven matches on this surface had more than 21.5 games played.
Joao Fonseca is making his debut in this tournament. He lost his one previous match against Berrettini. That was played on an indoor hard court and did see a tie-break played. Fonseca has played two other clay court tournaments this year and lost in round two of both.
He beat Gabriel Diallo 6-2 6-3 in round one and then had to go to three sets to beat Arthur Rinderknech.
We tip more than 21.5 games to be played here.
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Matteo Berrettini v Joao Fonseca Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.19 | 1.68 |
|
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2.23 | 1.65 |
|
|
2.3 | 1.62 |
|
|
2.16 | 1.63 |
|
|
2.16 | 1.63 |
|
Who will win the Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca game on 09/04/2026 of the current ATP Monte Carlo Masters season:
- Matteo Berrettini has a 40.73% chance to win against Joao Fonseca according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.32.
- Joao Fonseca has a 59.27% probability of winning facing Matteo Berrettini ⭐ with odds of 1.68 at Melbet.
Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Berrettini has a 40.73 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Matteo Berrettini | 40.73 % |
| Joao Fonseca | 59.27 % |
Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca Form
Matteo Berrettini and Joao Fonseca Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
31 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
19 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami
10 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
8 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells
Matteo Berrettini - Joao Fonseca Key Points
- Before this week, five of Berrettini's last seven clay court matches saw more than 21.5 games played.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction and Berrettini played three tie-breaks in his last two matches before this tournament.
- Fonseca has played more than 21.5 games in six of his last nine matches.
- Fonseca has played a 7-5 or 7-6 set in six of his last 11 matches.
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Our Matteo Berrettini vs Joao Fonseca Prediction
It's been a strange week for Matteo Berrettini. His first round match lasted just four games and then Daniil Medvedev went into meltdown during their second round match. This is likely to be a much longer and tougher game for the Italian.
Joao Fonseca had to battle hard to defeat Arthur Rinderknech in the last round. He had lost his last two clay court matches before this tournament and is making his debut in Monte Carlo. Our Matteo Berrettini v Joao Fonseca prediction is more than 21.5 games.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
