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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Casper Ruud is on the chase for another Masters title on clay. He will be up against Matteo Berrettini in the third round at the Rome Masters. This will be the sixth meeting between the two, and we have a prediction for the match below.
The last time Berrettini played a full game against a top-10 player, he posted a win, beating Alexander Zverev in Monte Carlo. The Italian will be seeking the same, having retired in his latest game against a top-10 player - Jack Draper.
He is coming from a win over Jacob Fearnley in straight sets, hitting a 13-9 record for the season. His last seven matches have produced three defeats, and Berrettini has a 4-2 record on clay.
It has been two years since these two players last faced off, and Ruud hopes to stop Berrettini from beating him a second straight time.
He leads 3-2 in head-to-head numbers, and two of those wins were on clay. Their very first meeting was actually here in Rome in 2020. Just like in that match, Ruud comes into this one as the favorite.
He arrived here from a title win at the Madrid Masters. This sets him on a run of seven straight wins, having opened their Rome campaign with a three-set win over Alexander Bublik. The Norwegian is on a 22-6 record for the season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Berrettini v Casper Ruud Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.25 | 1.57 |
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2.33 | 1.54 |
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2.32 | 1.61 |
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2.31 | 1.62 |
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Who will win the Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud match is: Casper Ruud wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud game on 12/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Matteo Berrettini has a 39.23% chance to win against Casper Ruud according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.45.
- Casper Ruud has a 60.77% probability of winning facing Matteo Berrettini ⭐ with odds of 1.62 at Bet365.
Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Berrettini has a 39.23 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Matteo Berrettini | 39.23 % |
Casper Ruud | 60.77 % |
Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Form
Matteo Berrettini and Casper Ruud Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
4 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
2 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
2 Jan 2023 - United Cup
6 Sep 2022 - ATP US Open
24 Jul 2022 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
8 May 2021 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
19 Sep 2020 - ATP Italian Open
29 May 2019 - ATP French Open
Matteo Berrettini - Casper Ruud Key Points
- Ruud has nine wins in his last 10 matches.
- Ruud only lost three times in the last 15 matches.
- In Berrettini’s last seven matches, he lost three times.
- Ruud has compiled a 10-2 record on clay this season.
- Berrettini lost three of his last five matches against Ruud.
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Our Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Prediction
Casper Ruud continues with his impressive run on clay, which has so far yielded one title, in Madrid. He is gunning for back-to-back Masters titles on clay and has been listed as one of the favorites in Rome.
Ruud has not tasted defeat in the last seven matches and has also dominated this fixture, with three wins in the five meetings between them. He has compiled a 22-6 record for the season, which is really impressive. We expect him to have another strong showing here. Our prediction for Matteo Berrettini v Casper Ruud is that Casper Ruud wins the match.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Matteo Berrettini vs. Casper Ruud game!
When you place a bet on the match between Matteo Berrettini and Casper Ruud you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Matteo Berrettini or Casper Ruud , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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