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Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 30 Italy
Matteo Berrettini
12/05/2025 13:00
ATP 7 Norway
Casper Ruud

Prediction :

 

Casper Ruud wins the match

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions

Casper Ruud is on the chase for another Masters title on clay. He will be up against Matteo Berrettini in the third round at the Rome Masters. This will be the sixth meeting between the two, and we have a prediction for the match below.

The last time Berrettini played a full game against a top-10 player, he posted a win, beating Alexander Zverev in Monte Carlo. The Italian will be seeking the same, having retired in his latest game against a top-10 player - Jack Draper.

He is coming from a win over Jacob Fearnley in straight sets, hitting a 13-9 record for the season. His last seven matches have produced three defeats, and Berrettini has a 4-2 record on clay.

It has been two years since these two players last faced off, and Ruud hopes to stop Berrettini from beating him a second straight time.

He leads 3-2 in head-to-head numbers, and two of those wins were on clay. Their very first meeting was actually here in Rome in 2020. Just like in that match, Ruud comes into this one as the favorite.

He arrived here from a title win at the Madrid Masters. This sets him on a run of seven straight wins, having opened their Rome campaign with a three-set win over Alexander Bublik. The Norwegian is on a 22-6 record for the season.


 

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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Berrettini v Casper Ruud Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 1.62
Ladbrokes
2.25 1.57
Vbet
2.33 1.54
NetBet
2.32 1.61
1xbet
2.31 1.62
Check all Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud odds
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Who will win the Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud match is: Casper Ruud wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud game on 12/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:

  • Matteo Berrettini has a 39.23% chance to win against Casper Ruud according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.45.
  • Casper Ruud has a 60.77% probability of winning facing Matteo Berrettini ⭐ with odds of 1.62 at Bet365.

Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Berrettini has a 39.23 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Matteo Berrettini39.23 %
Casper Ruud60.77 %

Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Form

Matteo Berrettini and Casper Ruud Last Matches

Matteo Berrettini Last matches
W W L W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Jacob Fearnley

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
abort
Matteo Berrettini

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Marcos Giron
1 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

10 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Alexander Zverev
1 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Mariano Navone
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini
Casper Ruud Last matches
W W W W W W
Victories

6/6 (100%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

10 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Alexander Bublik
1 :  2
Casper Ruud

4 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Casper Ruud
2 :  1
Jack Draper

2 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Casper Ruud
2 :  0
Daniil Medvedev

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Matteo Berrettini

33 %

Casper Ruud

67 %

2 Jan 2023 - United Cup

Matteo Berrettini
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

6 Sep 2022 - ATP US Open

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  3
Casper Ruud

24 Jul 2022 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad

Casper Ruud
2 :  1
Matteo Berrettini

8 May 2021 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Casper Ruud
0 :  2
Matteo Berrettini

19 Sep 2020 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Berrettini
1 :  2
Casper Ruud

29 May 2019 - ATP French Open

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  3
Casper Ruud
Compare Matteo Berrettini and Casper Ruud with our comparison tool.

Matteo Berrettini - Casper Ruud Key Points

  1. Ruud has nine wins in his last 10 matches.
  2. Ruud only lost three times in the last 15 matches.
  3. In Berrettini’s last seven matches, he lost three times.
  4. Ruud has compiled a 10-2 record on clay this season.
  5. Berrettini lost three of his last five matches against Ruud.
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Our Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Casper Ruud continues with his impressive run on clay, which has so far yielded one title, in Madrid. He is gunning for back-to-back Masters titles on clay and has been listed as one of the favorites in Rome.

Ruud has not tasted defeat in the last seven matches and has also dominated this fixture, with three wins in the five meetings between them. He has compiled a 22-6 record for the season, which is really impressive. We expect him to have another strong showing here. Our prediction for Matteo Berrettini v Casper Ruud is that Casper Ruud wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Casper Ruud wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Matteo Berrettini vs Casper Ruud Prediction
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