Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction & Betting Tips - Brisbane International

ATP - Brisbane International

ATP 61 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
04/01/2026 22:20
ATP 46 Germany
Daniel Altmaier

Prediction :

 

Exact score 2-1

2.1
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Matteo Arnaldi gets to continue in Brisbane as a lucky loser and will match up with unseeded Daniel Altmaier in the first round. This is their second career meeting. Read on for our prediction of the match.

Matteo Arnaldi battled from a set down to defeat Altmaier in their only encounter at last year’s event in Washington. The result, which took two hours and 42 minutes to accomplish, will provide a strong basis for the Italian.

Arnaldi has already competed in Brisbane. He started in the qualifying rounds, winning his first match via a decider against Hugo Gaston. Arnaldi would withdraw in his follow-up match against Rinky Hijikata but finds himself ready for the main draw.

Starting the year ranked 61st, Arnaldi ended 2025 with a 23-26 record.

Daniel Altmaier plays his first match since ending his 2025 campaign at the start of November. Having not played a match since, he will hope to be fully ready when he takes on Arnaldi.

The German, whose only appearance in Brisbane was two years ago, ended the previous campaign with a 34-35 record. Competing largely in the tour, the 27-year-old never managed to play past the quarter-finals.

His highlight result, however, was a strong fourth-round finish at the French Open. Altmaier ended 2025 ranked 46th in the ATP.

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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Daniel Altmaier Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.1 1.73
Melbet
2.01 1.8
BC Game
1.97 1.77
Tonybet
2.07 1.7
888Starz
1.95 1.85
Check all Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier odds

Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier match is: Exact score 2-1.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier game on 04/01/2026 of the current Brisbane International season:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has a 58.31% chance to win against Daniel Altmaier according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.15.
  • Daniel Altmaier has a 41.69% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 1.85 at 888Starz.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 58.31 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Matteo Arnaldi58.31 %
Daniel Altmaier41.69 %

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Daniel Altmaier Last Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

3 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Hugo Gaston

25 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Jacob Fearnley
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev

20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Aleksandar Kovacevic
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

19 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Tristan Schoolkate
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

18 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jesper De Jong
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi
Daniel Altmaier Last matches
L W W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

6 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open

Lorenzo Sonego
2 :  0
Daniel Altmaier

4 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open

Daniel Altmaier
2 :  0
Arthur Rinderknech

30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Felix Auger Aliassime
2 :  1
Daniel Altmaier

29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Daniel Altmaier
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Daniel Altmaier
2 :  0
Marcos Giron

22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Daniel Altmaier

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Matteo Arnaldi

100 %

Daniel Altmaier

0 %

21 Jul 2025 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Daniel Altmaier

Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier Key Points

  1. Arnaldi has already won a match in Brisbane.
  2. Arnaldi has defeated Altmaier once before on a hard court.
  3. Altmaier hasn’t played a competitive fixture in two months.
  4. Each player won a set when Arnaldi and Altmaier last faced off.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction

Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi v Daniel Altmaier is - Exact score 2-1. Arnaldi defeated Altmaier on a hard court via a decider when they first met, which was last season. With this head-to-head advantage and having already tasted victory in Brisbane this year, we fancy Arnaldi to win this battle.

Having taken to the court already will strengthen his chances of winning, as he is facing a player devoid of match fitness. Altmaier hasn’t taken to the court since ending his 2025 campaign two months ago. 

Prediction :

 

Exact score 2-1

2.1
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Daniel Altmaier Prediction