Matteo Arnaldi vs Borna Ćorić Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

ATP - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Matteo Arnaldi Italy
Matteo Arnaldi ATP 36
24/04/2025 10:15
Borna Ćorić Croatia
Borna Ćorić

Prediction :

 

Coric to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

Matteo Arnaldi has a tough match coming up in the Madrid Masters when he takes on Borna Coric in the second round. In their first meeting, the winner will be up against fourth seed Novak Djokovic. Read on for our prediction.

Arnaldi has endured tough times in his recent matches, and this one will no doubt need him at his best. He lost his opening two clay court matches, the most recent in three sets against Sebastian Korda.

This stretched his losing run to three matches. On a positive note, though, Arnaldi managed to win at least a set in each of the last four games.

Borna Coric started his clay campaign for the year much earlier, and he will carry a better run into this encounter. He has sailed through the qualification process with relative ease, dropping just one set in the two matches.

In the most recent, he beat Canadian Gabriel Diallo 2-0 to book his main draw ticket. That was his seventh win in the last 10 outings, and he failed to win a set in just one of the 10.

This year he has already bagged three Challenger titles and will wish to upgrade, though the likelihood of an ATP 1000 title is close to nil for the player ranked outside the top top-100.

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Matteo Arnaldi vs Borna Ćorić Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Borna Ćorić Last Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

6 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Richard Gasquet

22 Mar 2025 - ATP Miami

Matteo Arnaldi
1 :  2
Tomas Machac

10 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Brandon Nakashima

8 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Andrey Rublev
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

6 Mar 2025 - ATP Indian Wells

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Aleksandar Kovacevic

25 Feb 2025 - ATP Acapulco Open

Alexander Zverev
2 :  1
Matteo Arnaldi
Borna Ćorić Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Gabriel Diallo
0 :  2
Borna Ćorić

21 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Otto Virtanen
1 :  2
Borna Ćorić

13 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Borna Ćorić
1 :  2
Ethan Quinn

28 Jan 2025 - ATP Montpellier

Borna Ćorić
0 :  2
Constant Lestienne

30 Dec 2024 - United Cup

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Borna Ćorić

27 Dec 2024 - United Cup

Felix Auger Aliassime
1 :  2
Borna Ćorić
Matteo Arnaldi vs Borna Ćorić Prediction

Matteo Arnaldi - Borna Ćorić Key Points

  1. Coric has won seven of his last 10 matches.
  2. Six times in his last nine matches, Arnaldi lost.
  3. Each of Arnaldi’s last four matches went to three sets.
  4. Three of Coric’s last five matches needed a decider.
  5. Arnaldi won at least a set in eight of his last 10 matches.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Borna Ćorić Prediction

Though ranked in the top 50, Matteo Arnaldi will not walk into this match against 104th-placed Borna Coric as the favorite. The Italian is riding low in confidence and will be here seeking a return to winning ways after three straight defeats.

While he has suffered on the court, Arnaldi rarely fails to win a set in his matches. This is the aspect Coric must watch out for. The Croatian is a strong player on clay and should win this, but not in straight sets. Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi v Borna Coric is for Coric to win in three sets. 

Prediction :

 

Coric to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.