Marseille vs Rennes Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Marseille will welcome Rennes this weekend on the final day of the 2025/26 French Ligue 1 campaign. Only three points separate the two sides in the standings, with Rennes in fifth ahead of sixth-placed Marseille. When hosting Rennes in the last two games, Marseille scored seven goals. Meanwhile Rennes have 16 goals in the last five away outings. A collision of these qualities tallies with a high-scoring prediction.
Marseille currently occupy the final European slot for next season, but have not cemented it yet. Les Phoceens, on 56 points, are just two ahead of seventh-placed Monaco.
Habib Beye’s men, who have won 17 matches and suffered 11 defeats, earned a slim 1-0 victory at Le Havre last time out. That win ended a three-game winless run.
Rennes have already confirmed their participation in Europe for next season. They will, however, want it to be in the Europa League and not the Conference League. Franck Haise’s men sit on 59 points thanks to 17 wins and eight draws.
The Red and Whites can also qualify for the Champions League preliminaries as they are only one point behind the top four. Rennes got back to winning ways last weekend after their defeat to Lyon and defeated visiting Paris 2-1.
They have now won five of their last six games and also defeated Marseille in the reverse meeting.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Marseille v Rennes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.04 | 4.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.96 | 3.52 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.96 | 3.52 |
|
|
2 | 4 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.95 | 3.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Marseille and Rennes?
Our prediction for the Marseille vs Rennes match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2026 between Marseille and Rennes in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.96% for a win of Marseille against Rennes with odds of 2.05 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Marseille vs Rennes is 15.15% with odds of 4.2 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 41.89% chance ⭐ for a win of Rennes vs Marseille with odds of 3.66 at 888Starz.
Marseille - Rennes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Marseille Rennes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 42.96% | 2.05 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.7% | 1.74 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 61.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Marseille | 16.47% | 6 at Bet365 |
Marseille vs Rennes Form
Marseille and Rennes's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
59 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +18 |
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +9 |
Marseille and Rennes Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
10 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Marseille vs Rennes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Feb 2026 - French Cup
15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
21 Jan 2024 - French Cup
Marseille against Rennes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. De Lange
DefenderH. Hamzaoui Slimani
B. Pavard
N. Kamissoko
B. Nadir
A. Vermeeren
Q. Timber
E. Nwaneri
A. Lago
K. Belazzoug
DefenderL. Brassier
A. Seidu
MidfielderD. Cisse
ForwardH. Do Marcolino
N. Mukiele
Y. Zabiri
A. Nordin
B. Embolo
Missing players
N. Aguerd
C. Egan Riley
MidfielderG. Kondogbia
H. Traore
B. Samba
DefenderP. Frankowski
ForwardL. Rosier
Most goals and assists
Marseille
Rennes
M. Greenwood
(16 Goals)
E. Lepaul
(21 Goals)
M. Greenwood
(8 Assists)
M. Altamari
(6 Assists)
Marseille - Rennes Key Points
- All of Rennes’ last six matches produced three or more goals.
- 15 goals were scored in Marseille’s last five home league games.
- Marseille scored 3+ in the last two home matches against Rennes.
- Only one of the last four meetings between Rennes and Marseille had under 2.5 goals.
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Our Marseille vs Rennes Prediction
Our prediction for Marseille v Rennes is for more than 2.5 goals. Rennes and Marseille are bound for Europe as it stands for next season, but Marseille aren’t there yet. They still have a job to do, and playing at home gives them a significant advantage.
Marseille have been in strong scoring from when at home and also are led up top by one of the league’s finest players. For Rennes, they have the league’s top scorer and are one of the hottest scoring sides in the division.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Marseille Rennes
| Marseille vs Rennes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins | 1.8 | 2.05 | +13.9% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 4.2 | +20.0% |
| Rennes wins | 4.2 | 3.66 | -12.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Marseille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 48.8% (-6.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Marseille vs. Rennes game
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
