Maritimo vs Porto Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Nella Wagah | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Porto will be looking to extend their Primeira Liga advantage when they travel to out-of-form Maritimo this weekend. With seven rounds already played, Porto lead the standings and are more than 10 points clear of 11th placed Maritimo. Porto scored 10 goals in the last four meetings with Maritimo, and our prediction backs this for over 2.5 goals.
Maritimo will hope to return stronger from the international break. The hosts have had a tough start to the season and find themselves sitting just four points above the relegation zone.
Mitchell van der Gaag's men have won twice and, with three defeats, sit on eight points. Maritimo went into the FIFA break without a win in five games. A 1-1 draw away to Gil Vicente last time out offered some reprieve after they had lost three in a row.
Porto have been the best team in Portugal so far this term. The defending champions have had the perfect start, winning all seven of their league matches and opening a five-point gap atop the standings.
Francesco Farioli's men's only loss this season was in the Champions League. Since that 2-0 loss to Manchester City, they have responded with three straight wins, including a recent 3-1 friendly win over Deportivo La Coruna.
Unbeaten in the last five meetings with Maritimo, the Dragons are overwhelming favorites here.
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Maritimo v Porto Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.80 | 5.00 | 1.32 |
|
|
9.17 | 5.09 | 1.36 |
|
|
9.00 | 5.00 | 1.34 |
|
|
9.00 | 5.00 | 1.34 |
|
|
11.00 | 5.60 | 1.27 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Maritimo and Porto?
Our prediction for the Maritimo vs Porto match is: over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Maritimo and Porto in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.37% for a win of Maritimo against Porto with odds of 11 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Maritimo vs Porto is 12.17% with odds of 5.6 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Porto vs Maritimo with odds of 1.36 at 1xbet.
Maritimo - Porto Prediction and Best Odds:
| Maritimo Porto Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 59.46% | 1.36 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.79% | 1.95 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | 2.30 at Shangrila |
| Half-time / Full-time: Porto/Porto | 26.55% | 2.00 at Betsson |
Maritimo vs Porto Form
Maritimo and Porto's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
24 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | +16 |
|
13
|
8 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -10 |
Maritimo and Porto Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 May 2026 - Segunda Liga
1 May 2026 - Segunda Liga
12 Apr 2026 - Segunda Liga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
16 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 May 2026 - Segunda Liga
26 Apr 2026 - Segunda Liga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
4 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
4 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
23 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
1 Aug 2026 - Portugal Super Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Sept 2026 - Liga Portugal
29 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
Maritimo vs Porto Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2023 - Liga Portugal
6 Aug 2022 - Liga Portugal
30 Jan 2022 - Liga Portugal
22 Aug 2021 - Liga Portugal
22 Feb 2021 - Liga Portugal
3 Oct 2020 - Liga Portugal
Maritimo against Porto Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. Tabuaco
A. Pastor
DefenderR. Fernandes
N. Ogbeta
MidfielderR. Andrade
I. Ayuma
M. Diouri
V. Danilovic
ForwardM. Bassouamina
M. Boakye
B. Limbombe
S. Bamba
Claudio Ramos
DefenderM. Fernandes
Souza
C. Smalling
MidfielderG. Mec
G. Veiga
O. Pietuszewski
P. Rosario
S. Fofana
ForwardS. Gimenez
B. Sainz
S. Aghehowa
Missing players
V. Sousa
Most goals and assists
Maritimo
Porto
R. Guzzo
(1 Goals)
, 
S. Bouzaidi
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Boakye
(1 Goals)
,
P. Henrique
(1 Goals)
,
A. Butzke
(1 Goals)
,
M. Tejon
(1 Goals)
,
R. Correia
(1 Goals)
, 
I. Ayuma
(1 Goals)
, 
G. Szalai
(1 Goals)
G. Veiga
(4 Goals)
M. Tejon
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Dominguez
(1 Assists)
Pepe
(4 Assists)
Maritimo - Porto Key Points
- Porto scored 14 goals in their last five league games.
- Maritimo have conceded three goals twice in their last three outings.
- Maritimo's seven league games have had an average of 2.85 goals.
- Porto have scored 2.5 goals per game in their last four meetings with Maritimo.
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Our Maritimo vs Porto Prediction
This match brings together two teams on contrasting trajectories this season. Porto have been the best so far in Portugal and are unbeaten, having won every single league game. They are the favorites here too, facing a team on a downward spiral.
The hosts have dominated on both ends of the pitch, suffocating teams both in attack and defence. With Maritimo possessing a porous rearguard, Porto are likely to run riot and produce a high-scoring outcome as they have been doing. Our prediction for Maritimo vs Porto is for over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Maritimo Porto
| Maritimo vs Porto | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Maritimo wins | 10.00 | 11.00 | +10.0% |
| Draw | 5.25 | 5.60 | +6.7% |
| Porto wins | 1.31 | 1.36 | +3.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 76.3% and is now 73.5% (-2.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Maritimo vs. Porto game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Portugal! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
