Manchester United vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The Roses rivalry will reignite at Old Trafford on Monday night, when Manchester United play host to Leeds United in the final fixture of Matchday 32 in the Premier League. The Red Devils are third in the league standings, while the Whites are in 15th place after 31 games. Check out our match prediction below!
The 2025-26 EPL season has been a tale of two halves for Man United. After a poor start to the campaign, the Red Devils have turned things around incredibly, losing only once under Michael Carrick, while having earned the second-most points (29) in the top flight since Christmas, only behind Arsenal’s tally of 31.
While United are on their way to UCL qualification, the remainder of the season for Leeds is all about survival, as they start MD32 just three points above the drop. The Peacocks held this opponent to a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture back in January, but can they take anything from this clash on enemy territory? Let’s get into the key stats!
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Manchester United v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 4.4 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.08 | 4.98 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.36 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.62 | 4.1 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.64 | 4 | 5 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Leeds match is: Manchester United wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/04/2026 between Manchester United and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.79% for a win of Manchester United against Leeds with odds of 1.65 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Leeds is 43.78% with odds of 4.54 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.44% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Manchester United with odds of 5.84 at 888Starz.
Manchester United - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Manchester United Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 44.79% | 1.65 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.87% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 67.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester United | 18.76% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Manchester United vs Leeds Form
Manchester United and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 |
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Manchester United and Leeds Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1 Feb 2026 - Premier League
17 Jan 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
7 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
15 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
26 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Manchester United vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Feb 2023 - Premier League
8 Feb 2023 - Premier League
20 Feb 2022 - Premier League
14 Aug 2021 - Premier League
Manchester United - Leeds: Form Analysis
Manchester United saw their lead above fourth-placed Aston Villa trimmed to just a single point after being held to a 2-2 draw by Bournemouth directly before the March international break.
The Red Devils have now lost only one of their last 14 EPL matches since December 21 and have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 games. That sole defeat came against Newcastle at the start of last month.
The hosts have been excellent at home of late, currently riding a five-match win streak and unbeaten in their last nine league games. They have also scored two or more goals in each home game under Carrick this season.
Man United have not dropped a point at home in the EPL under Michael Carrick!
While it has been 24 days since the Red Devils last played, Leeds United were in action last weekend, when they survived a massive scare to beat West Ham on penalties in the FA Cup quarter-finals.
However, the Whites entered the international break following consecutive goalless draws against Brentford and Palace and are now winless in their last six league matches since early February (D4 L2).
The visitors have drawn each of their last four away league games and have not won on the road in 12 matches. They have earned just 10 points in 15 away games this season, which is the third-worst record in the top flight.
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Manchester United against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
A. Bayindir
DefenderA. Heaven
D. Dalot
T. Malacia
MidfielderT. Fletcher
S. Lacey
M. Mount
ForwardJ. Zirkzee
B. Mbeumo
L. Perri
DefenderS. Bornauw
S. Byram
MidfielderI. Gruev
S. Longstaff
F. Buonanotte
ForwardJ. Piroe
G. Wilfried
L. Nmecha
Missing players
M. De Ligt
P. Dorgu
J. Rodon
MidfielderA. Stach
ForwardD. James
Manchester United & Leeds Squad Analysis
Bruno Fernandes has been nothing short of excellent for Man United this season. The team’s skipper has created 101 chances in the league this season and netted his eighth goal of the campaign against the Cherries. He now has 24 goal contributions in 28 EPL games.
Carrick will be forced into a reshuffle at the back for this match after Harry Maguire was shown red at the Vitality last time out. Lisandro Martinez returned to training during the international break and could replace Maguire in this one.
The hosts have two confirmed injury absentees in Matthijs De Ligt and Patrick Dorgu. Benjamin Sesko and Bryan Mbeumo are listed as minor doubts but have not been ruled out for this match.
Fernandes has eight goal contributions in six league matches against Leeds United!
Daniel Farke opted to start Lukas Nmecha and Noah Okafor as an attacking duo against the Hammers, but Dominic Calvert-Lewin came off the bench to score the team’s second goal in that match and should get the nod to start this one.
However, the FA Cup triumph came at a cost to the Peacocks, with both Anton Stach and Joe Rodon sustaining ankle injuries, which will see them watch this match from the sidelines.
Jaka Bijol is listed as a doubt owing to a knock, while Gabriel Gudmundson is still recovering from a strained thigh muscle and is unlikely to feature in this one.
Most goals and assists
Manchester United
Leeds
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
B. Fernandes
(21 Assists)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
Manchester United - Leeds Key Points
- Man United have lost only one of their last 14 EPL matches.
- Man United are on a five-match win streak and unbeaten in their last nine league games at home.
- Man United have scored two or more goals in each of their last five league home matches.
- Leeds have failed to score in their last four league matches.
- Leeds are winless in their last 12 away league games.
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Our Manchester United vs Leeds Prediction
The reverse fixture between these sides marked the beginning of the end for Ruben Amorim, but since then, Manchester United have not lost a single league game at home and have been one of the hottest teams in the Prem.
While Leeds tend to lift their level whenever they face their Mancunian rivals, it’s tough to talk them up too much here, having failed to score in their last four league matches and now winless in their last 12 on the road. Our Manchester United vs Leeds prediction is Manchester United wins.
Manchester United vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
Bruno Fernandes to score or assist
Bruno Fernandes has 24 goal contributions in 28 EPL games and eight goal contributions in six league matches against Leeds United.
Man United over 1.5 goals
Manchester United have scored 30 goals in 15 home league games this season, and have netted two or more in each of their last five at Old Trafford under Michael Carrick.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Manchester United Leeds
| Manchester United vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 1.56 | 1.65 | +5.8% |
| Draw | 3.98 | 4.54 | +14.1% |
| Leeds wins | 6.15 | 5.84 | -5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.1% and is now 60.6% (-3.5%)
Manchester United vs Leeds - FAQs
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Leeds will take place on April 13 at 20:00 (UK time).
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Leeds will be played at Old Trafford in Manchester.
The Premier League match between Manchester United and Leeds will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
