Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup

England - Carabao Cup

Manchester City
17/12/2025 11:30
Brentford

Prediction :

 

Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Carabao Cup Predictions

Manchester City are looking to advance in the League Cup when they take on Brentford this Wednesday. It will be a quarter-final round match, with City having seen off Swansea 3-2 as Brentford beat Grimsby Town 5-0 to advance. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Hosts City have won six of the last eight editions of this competition and will hope to bring back the glory. They haven't gone past the quarters after 2020/21 but coming off a five-match winning run, City have the momentum and attacking impetus to scare any opponent, especially when playing at home.

Brentford battled to a 1-1 draw with Leeds United at home last time out. Seeking their first major trophy as a topflight team, the Bees are into their fourth League Cup quarter-final in six seasons. They are coming into this game on a poor run though, having managed just one win in their last five matches. It isn’t very promising for them, coming here winless in five meetings with Manchester City.

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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester City v Brentford Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.46 4.75 5.75
Betfred
1.44 4.6 7
William Hill
1.44 4.5 5.8
Unibet
1.41 4.9 6.75
Betway
1.48 4.75 5.5
Check all Manchester City vs Brentford odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester City and Brentford?

Our prediction for the Manchester City vs Brentford match is: Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/12/2025 between Manchester City and Brentford in Carabao Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.05% for a win of Manchester City against Brentford with odds of 1.5 at BC Game.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester City vs Brentford is 8.44% with odds of 4.9 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Brentford vs Manchester City with odds of 7 at Betfred.

Manchester City vs Brentford Form

Manchester City and Brentford Last Matches

Manchester City
Manchester City Last matches
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  3
Manchester City

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Sunderland

2 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
4 :  5
Manchester City

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Sunderland

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  0
Liverpool

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Manchester City
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

2 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
0 :  3
Manchester City

10 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Manchester City

2 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
4 :  5
Manchester City

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  1
Manchester City

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
1 :  3
Manchester City

26 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
1 :  0
Manchester City
Brentford
Brentford Last matches
W L W L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  0
Brentford

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Newcastle
W L W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  1
Leeds

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Burnley

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Newcastle

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  2
Liverpool

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
3 :  1
Manchester United
W W L L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  0
Brentford

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Arsenal
2 :  0
Brentford

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Brentford

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Brentford

28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Grimsby Town
0 :  5
Brentford

20 Oct 2025 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  2
Brentford

Manchester City vs Brentford Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester City

67 %

Draw

17 %

Brentford

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (home team)
0.83
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

5 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
0 :  1
Manchester City

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
2 :  2
Manchester City

14 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Brentford

20 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester City
1 :  0
Brentford

5 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  3
Manchester City

28 May 2023 - Premier League

Brentford
1 :  0
Manchester City

Manchester City - Brentford: Form Analysis

Manchester City was once again clinical. In their weekend outing, making a meal of Crystal Palace’s challenge. The Citizens came through with a 3-0 win, extending their perfect run to five wins in as many back-to-back matches.

Two of their most prolific men in attack, Phil Foden and Erling Haaland, were on the score sheet once again, with Haaland bagging a brace.

There’s no doubt the hosts will be the favorites here as they return home, where they’ve won nine of their last 10 matches.

Home matches against Brentford have also been quite manageable, with City winning four of the last five. Pep Guardiola’s men have so far seen off Swansea and Huddersfield in the League Cup.

Brentford are winless in five matches against Manchester City.

Brentford will head into this encounter hoping for an improvement on their latest run of form. The visitors are coming off another disappointing outing where they drew 1-1 with Leeds United at home.

For the third time in five games, they conceded a late goal, this time denying them three points from a winning position. The Bees have now failed to win any of their last three matches and will feel the pressure heading to Manchester.

A run of four straight defeats on the road is hardly the preparation they’d want going into such a big game. They are also winless in five straight meetings with City.

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Manchester City vs Brentford last Lineups

Manchester City

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

25
G. Donnarumma
27
M. Nunes
3
R. Dias
24
J. Gvardiol
33
N. O'Reilly
20
B. Silva
14
N. Gonzalez
4
T. Reijnders
10
R. Cherki
47
P. Foden
9
E. Haaland
9
I. Thiago
23
K. Lewis-Potter
8
M. Jensen
19
D. Ouattara
27
V. Janelt
6
J. Henderson
2
A. Hickey
4
S. Van den Berg
22
N. Collins
33
M. Kayode
1
C. Kelleher

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brentford

Missing players

Manchester City
Manchester City
Defender

J. Stones

Midfielder

M. Kovacic

Rodri

Brentford
Brentford
Midfielder

A. Milambo

J. Da Silva

F. Carvalho

Forward

G. Nunes

Manchester City & Brentford Squad Analysis

One of the big misses over the weekend was Manchester City’s Jeremy Doku. News of the Belgian’s absence rocked the City faithful ahead of the Crystal Palace match. He is out with a leg injury and remains highly unlikely to return in time for this midweek encounter.

While Doku is out injured, City will not have a lot of issues to deal with in their attack, as Phil Foden is back in top form. The England international has had seven goal contributions in the last five matches and is combining well with fellow attackers.

In that attack, the main man remains Erling Haaland. The Norwegian added two goals to his tally over the weekend, and while a rotation is expected here, Haaland should still be leading the attack.

Haaland and Foden have scored nine times in City’s last five meetings with Brentford.

Brentford have a very difficult trip and might consider a reorganization of their backline to be able to cope with City’s robust attack. Keith Andrews is expected to revert to a 3-5-2 system, sacrificing top scorer Igor Thiago.

Skipper Mathias Jensen should get the nod to marshal a five-man midfield that’s expected to deal with City’s attacking threat.

At the back, there will be heavy reliance on Kristoffer Ajer’s experience. If Caoimhin Kelleher ever dreamt of a game where he needs to give a big performance, this is that chance. With a 62% save rate this season, the Irishman will be a key player here.

Kevin Schade's return from suspension is a further boost for Brentford.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Manchester City
CD Huachipato Brentford
Top Goalscorer
Norway E. Haaland (23 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil I. Thiago (12 Goals)
Best assists
France R. Cherki (7 Assists)
Best assists
England J. Henderson (3 Assists)

Manchester City - Brentford Key Points

  1. 14 goals were scored in Brentford’s last five away outings.
  2. Half of the last 10 meetings between these two sides had 3+ goals.
  3. All of Manchester City’s last five games had three or more goals netted.
  4. Manchester City have scored three goals in four of their last five matches.
  5. Manchester City are on five straight wins, while Brentford lost the last four away games.
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Our Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction

Manchester City are enjoying top form, captured in the number of goals they’ve been scoring. The Citizens are hitting three or more goals on a regular basis in recent matches. However, they haven't been at their best defensively, though.

That not only gives Brentford a chance in this game but also makes this a possibly high-scoring game. Brentford’s visits to the Etihad Stadium rarely end well, and this is likely to follow that order. Our prediction for Manchester City v Brentford is for Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Manchester City to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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Manchester City vs Brentford - Other Interesting Predictions

Phil Foden to score

Odds 2.75

Across the last five meetings between these two sides, Phil Foden scored five goals. He will be a favorite to hit the back of the net against here, as he comes on a fine run of form.

The midfielder has had seven goal involvements in the last five matches for City. This run includes six goals and an assist. In our second prediction, we are backing Phil Foden to score.

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Manchester City vs Brentford match : Frequently asked questions

The Manchester City v Brentford match will be staged at the Etihad Stadium.

The Manchester City v Brentford match will be played on Wednesday, 17th December.

The Manchester City v Brentford game will be aired live in the UK on Now TV, Sky Go, Sky Go Extra, Sky Ultra HD, and Sky Sports Main Event. On Sportytrader, you will find the real-time updates for this and other Carabao Cup matches.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Manchester City vs Brentford Prediction