Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Mallorca will be looking to work their way out of the La Liga relegation region after the international break. There’s no easy route to that, though, as next they host title-chasing Real Madrid. We have a prediction for this match below.
Mallorca traded places with Elche in the relegation zone after losing 2-1 to the same opponent last time out. With that, they failed to build on their earlier 2-1 win over Espanyol.
Los Bermellones are now on 15 defeats in La Liga, the joint second-most. They will, however, be motivated by the fact that they won three of their last five home league games.
Real Madrid have no chance of going back to the league summit this weekend as they trail Barcelona by four points. However, this is an opportunity to pile pressure on the Catalans, who have a big game against Atletico Madrid.
As Real hope for a favor from their biggest rivals, they will be eyeing a fourth straight win in La Liga. Last time out they saw off Atletico 3-2 to register a fifth straight win in all competitions.
Los Blancos will further be favored by their away form coming into this game. They are the best-performing visitors in La Liga, having garnered 30 points from 14 outings. Against Mallorca, Real Madrid are unbeaten in six, winning five.
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Mallorca v Real Madrid Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.6 | 4.5 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.35 | 4.46 | 1.56 |
|
|
5.75 | 4.46 | 1.53 |
|
|
5.5 | 4.33 | 1.57 |
|
|
5.2 | 4.3 | 1.57 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Mallorca and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Mallorca vs Real Madrid match is: Real Madrid wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Mallorca and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.79% for a win of Mallorca against Real Madrid with odds of 6 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Mallorca vs Real Madrid is 8.59% with odds of 4.8 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 62.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Mallorca with odds of 1.6 at Shangrila.
Mallorca - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Mallorca Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 62.62% | 1.6 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.34% | 1.62 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 72.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 28.11% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Mallorca vs Real Madrid Form
Mallorca and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
86 | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | +42 |
|
18
|
42 | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | -10 |
Mallorca and Real Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
4 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
7 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
2 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Mallorca vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
14 May 2025 - LaLiga
9 Jan 2025 - Spanish Super Cup
18 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
Mallorca against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
I. Cuellar
DefenderM. Morey
D. Lopez
Lato Toni
M. Kumbulla
MidfielderA. Sanchez
J. Virgili
J. Llabres
Mateo Joseph
J. Kalumba
Abdon
T. Asano
F. Gonzalez
DefenderF. Garcia
R. Asencio
D. Alaba
E. Militao
D. Carvajal
MidfielderT. Pitarch Pinar
J. Bellingham
C. Palacios
ForwardVinicius Junior
G. Garcia
F. Mastantuono
Missing players
L. Bergstrom
DefenderA. Raillo
MidfielderJ. Salas
T. Courtois
DefenderF. Mendy
MidfielderF. Valverde
ForwardRodrygo
Endrick
Most goals and assists
Mallorca
Real Madrid
V. Muriqi
(23 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(25 Goals)
S. Darder
(5 Assists)
A. Guler
(9 Assists)
Mallorca - Real Madrid Key Points
- Five of Mallorca’s last seven matches ended in defeat.
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in six meetings with Mallorca.
- Real Madrid have posted five straight wins ahead of this game.
- Mallorca have only managed one win in 11 meetings with Real Madrid.
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Our Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction
Real Madrid have hit form recently and will be looking at this as a good chance to close in on Barcelona. They are coming from five straight wins and are the best-performing away side in La Liga this season.
Matches against Mallorca have come with good returns for Los Blancos, and they will see this as an easy pass for three points. That Barcelona have a tough game on the same day should further motivate the visitors. Our prediction for Mallorca v Real Madrid is that Real Madrid wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Mallorca Real Madrid
| Mallorca vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mallorca wins | 5.8 | 6 | +3.4% |
| Draw | 4.3 | 4.8 | +11.6% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.5 | 1.6 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 62.5% (-4.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
