Mali vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup
World - Women's World Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Women's World Cup Predictions
Group A action at the 2026 Women’s Basketball World Cup continues on Saturday with Mali taking on Spain. Spain have never lost a FIBA-listed match against this opponent, and our prediction is that they will maintain that unbeaten record in this match.
Mali are the underdogs in Group A of this competition and suffered a 102-97 defeat to Japan in their opening match, though losing by just five points was encouraging against a higher seed.
Aminata Sangare and Djeneba N’Diaye led the team with 22 points apiece. Notably, three of Mali’s players were responsible for scoring 87 of Mali’s 97 points in their opening match.
Mali have won just four of their last 10 matches in all competitions, though three of those victories came against African opponents, with the exception being the Czech Republic.
Meanwhile, Spain are the favourites to win Group A in this competition, and they kicked off the tournament with an impressive showing, beating Germany 83-53 on Friday evening.
Superstar Awa Fam was the standout performer for the EuroBasket runners-up, putting up 17 points in the opening game, followed by Maria Conde with 13, including four three-pointers.
Spain have now won eight of their last 10 matches in all competitions. Each of their last three wins against this opponent were by 30+ points.
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Mali v Spain Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
13 | 1.01 |
|
|
8.8 | 1.01 |
|
|
8.4 | 1.02 |
|
|
13 | 1.03 |
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Who will win the Mali vs Spain Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Mali vs Spain match is: Spain -11.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Mali vs Spain game on 05/09/2026 of the current Women's World Cup season:
- Mali has a 25.3% chance to pick up the win against Spain according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 13.
- There is a probability of 74.7% ⭐ for Spain to win vs Mali with odds of 1.03 at Shangrila.
Mali vs Spain Form
Mali and Spain's standings in the Women's World Cup
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
3
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Mali and Spain Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
1/5 (20%)
4/5 (80%)
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
27 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
25 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
23 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
25 Sept 2022 - Women's World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
23 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
27 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
22 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
19 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
Mali vs Spain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
29 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
Mali - Spain Key Points
- Spain are seeded 12 places above Mali in this competition.
- Spain won their opening match of the competition by 30 points.
- Spain have won eight of their last 10 matches in all competitions.
- Mali have never beaten Spain in a FIBA-listed matchup.
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Our Mali vs Spain Prediction
Mali are the second-lowest seeded team in the 2026 Women’s Basketball World Cup, and while they did put up a good fight against Japan, they are still expected to struggle to get beyond the group stage.
Spain took a commanding 26-point lead into the halftime break against Germany in their opening match and never looked back. The Spaniards have never lost to this opponent in the past, and we expect them to secure a comfortable win in this match. Our Mali vs Spain prediction is Spain -11.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
