Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Indian Wells
WTA - WTA Indian Wells
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Madison Keys, the 15th seed at this year’s BNP Paribas Open, will face the unseeded Sonay Kartal next. Their second career meeting will be in the third round, with the winner setting up a showdown against Marta Kostyuk or Elena Rybakina. Below is our prediction of the match.
Keys is defending 390 points won in her run to the semi-finals last year, her best result at this event. The American is having a not-so-impressive season even after winning seven of 10 matches.
She hasn’t moved past the quarter-finals of the three events she has so far played and was eliminated in the fourth round in her Australian Open title defence.
Keys, who is back at Indian Wells for a 13th time in the main draw, defeated Diane Parry in straight sets in the last round. Despite this, she has dropped to 18th in the live ranking.
Sonay Kartal overpowered 20th seed Emma Navarro in three hard-fought sets in the second round. With two wins this week and 11 so far in 2026, the Brit will hope this strong form continues as she seeks to get one over Keys.
Kartal lost to Keys three seasons ago on grass at Wimbledon without claiming a set. The 24-year-old is competing at Indian Wells for a second time and is one win away from equaling last year’s fourth-round finish.
A quarter-finalist in Abu Dhabi and Auckland so far this term, Kartal has also dropped in the live ranking and is now placed 59th.
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Madison Keys v Sonay Kartal Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.51 | 2.57 |
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1.51 | 2.57 |
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1.5 | 2.63 |
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1.47 | 2.54 |
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1.47 | 2.54 |
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Who will win the Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal match is: exact score: 2-1.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal game on 09/03/2026 of the current WTA Indian Wells season:
- Madison Keys has a 63.47% chance to win against Sonay Kartal according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.51.
- Sonay Kartal has a 36.53% probability of winning facing Madison Keys ⭐ with odds of 2.7 at Tonybet.
Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Madison Keys has a 63.47 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Madison Keys | 63.47 % |
| Sonay Kartal | 36.53 % |
Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal Form
Madison Keys and Sonay Kartal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
25 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
23 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
21 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
19 Jan 2026 - WTA Australian Open
14 Jan 2026 - WTA Adelaide
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
5 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
14 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
13 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
8 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
7 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
5 Jul 2023 - WTA Wimbledon Championships
Madison Keys - Sonay Kartal Key Points
- Keys has defeated Kartal once previously.
- Kartal has lost five matches thus far in 2026.
- In 10 outings this season, Keys has won seven times.
- In her career, Keys has won almost 260 matches on hard courts.
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Our Madison Keys vs Sonay Kartal Prediction
Our prediction for Madison Keys v Sonay Kartal is for the exact score: 2-1. Keys is one of the WTA’s top performers. A Grand Slam champion, the American has won 10 tour titles and, so far this year, has won seven times in 10 outings.
Having made it to at least the quarter-finals in two of her last four appearances at Indian Wells, Keys looks the best bet to win this tie. Kartal will be no pushover, though, and is more than capable of winning a set in this tie. It is also important to remember that Keys won the only other encounter with Kartal.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
