France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Olympique Lyon are enjoying one of their best starts to a season and will be keen to extend the same in their match against Toulouse. This Ligue 1 match will be hosted by Lyon, who have the chance to go top. Let’s have a look at the preview and prediction.
Lyon have only dropped points once in the league this season and come here tied on 15 with league leaders PSG. It is tight at the top with three points separating the leading five sides, and Lyon will not want to falter at this point in time.
This match finds them on a high after claiming their second win in the Europa League, beating Salzburg 2-0 in midweek.
While Lyon are coming off four straight wins, visiting Toulouse haven't tasted victory in the last four outings. The latest of them was a 2-2 draw with Nantes, twice coming from behind to earn a point.
Much as they fell short, that was a positive result considering the visitors had lost each of the previous three matches. The bright start they had in the season, winning the opening two matches, is now a distant memory.
The team has already lost to two sides in the top six, and this could follow that trend.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lyon v Toulouse Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.9 | 3.5 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.4 | 3.9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs Toulouse match is: Lyon to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/10/2025 between Lyon and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 73.08% for a win of Lyon against Toulouse with odds of 2 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Toulouse is 13.78% with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Lyon with odds of 4.2 at Betfred.
Lyon - Toulouse Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon Toulouse Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 73.08% | 2 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.31% | 2.06 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lyon | 38.58% | 5.2 at Unibet |
Lyon vs Toulouse Form
Lyon and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
|
10
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Lyon and Toulouse Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
19 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2025 - Europa League
19 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Lyon vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
15 Mar 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
7 Oct 2022 - Ligue 1
Lyon against Toulouse Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 2 - 2 - 3
Missing players
R. Descamps
DefenderA. Vinicius
MidfielderE. Nuamah
O. Mangala
N. Schmidt
R. Messali
ForwardI. Azizi
Most goals and assists
Lyon
Toulouse
C. Tolisso
(4 Goals)
, 
P. Sulc
(4 Goals)
F. Magri
(4 Goals)
A. Karabec
(3 Assists)
S. Hidalgo
(2 Assists)
Lyon - Toulouse Key Points
- Lyon are coming off four straight wins.
- Toulouse are winless in their last four matches, losing three.
- In their last five matches, Lyon registered four clean sheets.
- In five of their last eight away matches, Toulouse suffered defeat.
- In three of their last four meetings with Lyon, Toulouse failed to score.
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Our Lyon vs Toulouse Prediction
Toulouse have already fallen to two sides currently in the top six, signaling the gulf in quality. Their ambition to rise into the top half may drag on considering this next opponent is enjoying good form.
Toulouse haven't beaten Lyon in over three decades and failed to score in three of the last four meetings. Meanwhile, Lyon are coming off four straight wins and kept clean sheets in those outings. Our prediction for Lyon v Toulouse is for Lyon to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Toulouse
| Lyon vs Toulouse | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 1.8 | 1.95 | +8.3% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.5 | -6.7% |
| Toulouse wins | 4 | 4 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lyon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 51.3% (-4.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lyon vs. Toulouse game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
