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03 September 2023 - 14:45 

- Day 4

France - Ligue 1

Lyon
VS
PSG

Prediction :

Under 3.5 goals

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Lyon vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1

 by Joseph King | in Ligue 1 Prediction

17th-place Lyon and eighth-place PSG wrap up matchday four in Ligue 1 with this Sunday night fixture. Both teams will want to head into the international break with a win, especially considering that they've each started the 2023/24 relatively slowly. It hasn't been the ideal start to the Luis Enrique era at PSG but Mbappe's return should provide a much-needed shot in the arm. The team was previously lacking in cutting edge up top but with Mbappe, the team has a legitimate 30 league goals a season threat on the field. The mercurial Frenchman dragged his team to a 3-1 win over RC Lens in their most recent fixture with a brace. Mbappe has already netted three times total after scoring his first goal of the campaign as a substitute two weeks ago. The aforementioned result was the first win of the season for Les Rouge et Bleu, who were held to draws in their first two league encounters.

Lyon have stumbled out of the gates in the 2023/24 season. They lost their first two matches for the first time in over 60 years and drew 0-0 away from home against Nice last weekend. Les Goneswere extremely fortunate to walk away with a point in that encounter as they offered next to nothing going forward. Lyon created a meager 0.20 expected goals (xG) while Nice racked up 1.95 xG and created two clear cut scoring chances. It's a concerning trend for Laurent Blanc's men who have looked abysmal attacking in the last two weeks. Prior to the draw with Nice, Lyon managed an xG total of only 0.36 at home against Montpellier. They were utterly destroyed in that match, falling to a 4-1 defeat at the Groupama Stadium. When factoring in an ugly preseason, the seven-time Ligue 1 winners have now lost six and drawn once in their last seven matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lyon v PSG Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5 4.2 1.65
NetBet
5.1 4.3 1.61
Check all Lyon vs PSG odds
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Who will win the Lyon vs PSG Football match?


The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Lyon and PSG of Ligue 1 on 9/3/23 :

  • There is a probability of % ⭐ for Lyon to win this match against PSG ⚽ with odds of 5.1 found at NetBet.
  • NetBet ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 4.3 which implies a probability of %.
  • Currently, the best odds ⭐ for PSG to win the match are about 1.65 at Bet365. That means a probability of %.

Lyon - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:

Lyon vs PSG prediction

Win Probability

Best Odds
Lyon  is favoured to win %5.1
Draw %4.3
PSG wins the game %1.65

Lyon vs PSG Form

Lyon and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
PSG
PSG
73 33 21 10 2 46
7
Lyon
Lyon
50 33 15 5 13 -7

Lyon and PSG Last Matches

Lyon
Lyon Last matches
L L L L L D
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
0.33
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

27 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Nice
0 :  0
Lyon

19 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  4
Montpellier Hsc

13 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Strasbourg
2 :  1
Lyon

5 Aug 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Crystal Palace
2 :  0
Lyon

29 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Celta Vigo
1 :  0
Lyon

23 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

RWD Molenbeek 47
1 :  0
Lyon
PSG
PSG Last matches
L L W D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.83
BTTS
67%
Goals scored
1.67
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%

26 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
3 :  1
Lens

19 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

Toulouse
1 :  1
PSG

12 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
0 :  0
Lorient

3 Aug 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
0 :  3
PSG

1 Aug 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

PSG
1 :  2
Inter Milan

28 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Cerezo Osaka
3 :  2
PSG

Lyon against PSG : Head to Head (H2H)

Lyon

33 %

Draw

17 %

PSG

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
2.33
BTTS
50%
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
1.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

2 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1

PSG
0 :  1
Lyon

18 Sep 2022 - Ligue 1

Lyon
0 :  1
PSG

9 Jan 2022 - Ligue 1

Lyon
1 :  1
PSG

19 Sep 2021 - Ligue 1

PSG
2 :  1
Lyon

21 Mar 2021 - Ligue 1

Lyon
2 :  4
PSG

13 Dec 2020 - Ligue 1

PSG
0 :  1
Lyon
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Lyon against PSG Lineups: Starting 11

Lyon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Lopes
22
C. Mata
55
D. Caleta-Car
2
S. Diomande
3
N. Tagliafico
8
C. Tolisso
98
A. Maitland-Niles
18
R. Cherki
6
M. Caqueret
37
E. Nuamah
15
T. Kadewere
7
K. Mbappe
11
M. Asensio
10
O. Dembele
17
Vitinha
4
M. Ugarte
33
W. Zaire-Emery
21
L. Hernandez
37
M. Skriniar
5
Marquinhos
2
A. Hakimi
99
G. Donnarumma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

PSG

Missing players

Lyon
Lyon
Defender

N. Tagliafico

PSG
PSG
Goalkeeper

S. Rico

Defender

P. Kimpembe

L. Hernandez

Lyon - PSG Key Points

  1. Lyon have the third-lowest expected goals total in Ligue 1 at just 2.30 over three games.
  2. Two of both PSG and Lyon’s first three Ligue 1 matches so far this season have stayed under the 3.5 goals total.
  3. PSG have the best expected goals against total in the division at just 1.80.
  4. The Parisians last trip to this stadium ended in a 1-0 victory,
  5. The last four meetings between these two sides have finished with under 3.5 goals.
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Our Lyon vs PSG Prediction

If Lyon don't improve soon there will be serious questions posed as to whether or not a change of manager is needed. Laurent Blanc even hinted at the possibility himself in his post match press conference following the loss to Montpellier. Unfortunately for the four-time French champion, a match against his former team is not the ideal way to end their poor run of form. Lyon have offered very little going forward which means this match should stay under the total, barring an offensive explosion from the visitors. Our Lyon vs PSG prediction is for under 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

Under 3.5 goals

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Lyon vs PSG Prediction

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