Lyon vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Europa League Predictions
Olympique Lyon will be looking to make home advantage count when they welcome Celta Vigo for the return leg of their UEFA Europa League round of 16 tie. The two sides battled to a 1-1 draw in the first leg fixture played last week in Vigo. At the end of this clash, the winner will progress to face Genk or Freiburg in the quarter-finals. Below we have the preview and a prediction of this match.
The first leg match marked the first-ever meeting between Les Gones and Os Celestes. It was Celta Vigo’s Javier Rueda who drew first blood with a 25th-minute goal in an eventful outing. Celta saw their leading scorer, Borja Iglesias, sent off in the game.
Lyon left it late to deny the Spaniards, with Endrick, a loanee from Real Madrid, scoring the equalizer. That was the Brazilian’s third goal against Celta Vigo, and he will be eyeing more here.
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Lyon v Celta Vigo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.19 | 3.35 | 3.65 |
|
|
2.08 | 3.36 | 3.64 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.3 | 3.68 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.14 | 3.25 | 3.55 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Celta Vigo?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs Celta Vigo match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between Lyon and Celta Vigo in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.97% for a win of Lyon against Celta Vigo with odds of 2.2 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Celta Vigo is 50.77% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Celta Vigo vs Lyon with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
Lyon - Celta Vigo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lyon Celta Vigo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 50.77% | 3.5 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 61.3% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 70.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.69% | 4.9 at LSbet |
Lyon vs Celta Vigo Form
Lyon and Celta Vigo Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
Lyon vs Celta Vigo Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
Lyon - Celta Vigo: Form Analysis
Lyon have qualified for at least the quarter-finals in each of their last three campaigns in Europe. A run to the semi-finals of the Champions League in the 2019/20 season was followed up by quarter-final finishes in the Europa League in 2021/22 and 2024/25. With this pedigree, the French giants have a strong chance at overcoming Celta.
Their recent form, however, suggests they could be unable to maintain this streak. Paulo Fonseca’s men are struggling and come into this match having not won any of their last six fixtures. They have drawn the last four. This is a peculiar run of form for the French heavyweights, as before this dip in form, they were on a 13-game winning streak. After the match in Vigo, Lyon returned to Ligue 1 action with a 0-0 draw away to Le Havre.
Both Celta and Lyon drew in their respective domestic outings.
Celta Vigo are also arriving for this match on a winless run of their own. The visitors haven’t won in three matches. They warmed up for this do-or-die return match with a 1-1 draw with Betis in La Liga. Celta had won four matches in a row, twice in the UEL, before this latest dip in form.
Claudio Giraldez’s men are looking to become the first Celta team to be crowned European champions. The Sky Blues’ best-ever performance in Europe was recorded in this very competition nine years ago. In the 2016-17 season, Celta qualified for the UEL semi-finals.
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Lyon against Celta Vigo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
Y. Konan
R. Descamps
MidfielderA. Karabec
M. De Carvalho
T. Tessmann
K. Merah
O. Mangala
A. Moreira
M. Fofana
A. Hamdani
P. Sulc
I. Villar
DefenderC. Dominguez
A. Nunez
M. Fernandez
M. Ristic
J. Aidoo
A. Antanon
H. Sotelo
H. Alvarez Antunez
J. El-Abdellaoui
ForwardF. Jutgla
I. Aspas
Missing players
R. Kluivert
N. Kamara
MidfielderA. Maitland-Niles
ForwardE. Nuamah
R. Himbert
Y. Lago
MidfielderM. Roman Gonzalez
Lyon & Celta Vigo Squad Analysis
Lyon have a long list of absentees due to injuries. Ernest Nuamah, Ruben Kluivert, Afonso Moreira, Pavel Sulc, and Ainsley Maitland-Niles are all ruled out. Sulc’s absence in particular is a big blow, as he is Lyon’s leading scorer with 13 goals, and he has seven assists.
Corentin Tolisso has also been key in attack, netting four of his 11 goals in the UEL. Real Madrid loanee Endrick has also proven to be a top addition. His late equalizer in Vigo means he has now scored six goals.
Celta Vigo top scorer Borja Iglesias was sent off in the first leg.
Miguel Roman missed the first leg match and also the league fixture this past weekend with a foot injury. He remains out of this trip to France and could be sidelined past this week. Javi Rueda scored in the first leg with Willot Swedberg assisting.
Swedberg will likely be the one to make another scoring impact in this match. The winger has been involved in six Europa League goals, scoring four times. Borja Iglesias will be a big miss for this game, as he is suspended. The same fate also follows Oscar Mingueza.
Most goals and assists
Lyon
Celta Vigo
C. Tolisso
(4 Goals)
W. Swedberg
(5 Goals)
A. Karabec
(4 Assists)
I. Aspas
(3 Assists)
Lyon - Celta Vigo Key Points
- Both teams scored in the first leg fixture.
- Celta have found the net in nine consecutive games.
- Lyon have failed to score once in their last 10 outings.
- Celta have conceded 13 goals in the UEL this season.
- Both Celta and Lyon have scored 19 goals in the UEL.
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Our Lyon vs Celta Vigo Prediction
Our prediction for Lyon v Celta Vigo is BTTS. Both teams found the net in the reverse match last week as they battled for an early advantage in this tie. Things are all square as they were before the first whistle in Vigo, meaning this is a do-or-die match.
We could, therefore, see both teams get on the scoresheet again. Celta and Lyon are strong attacking sides and have demonstrated this in Europe this season. On the other hand, they’ve struggled defensively of late, with four of Lyon’s last five seeing both teams score, the same for Celta in the last four.
Lyon vs Celta Vigo Alternative Predictions
Draw
In our second prediction for this match, we will be backing a draw. The two shared the spoils in the first leg and are also coming from draws in their respective domestic league assignments over the weekend. For Lyon it is now four straight draws at 90 minutes and two for Celta Vigo.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lyon Celta Vigo
| Lyon vs Celta Vigo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins | 2.05 | 2.2 | +7.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.5 | +6.1% |
| Celta Vigo wins | 3.8 | 3.75 | -1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 28.6% (-1.7%)
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Lyon vs Celta Vigo - FAQs
This match will be played on Thursday, 19 March.
This match will be played at Lyon’s Parc Olympique Lyonnais, in France.
Fans in France can watch this match live on Canal+, and in Spain you can watch on Telefonica. Detailed updates for the match and others in the Europa League will also be available on SportyTrader.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
