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by Steve Ashfield | in World Cup Predictions
After a slow start, Germany have taken control of World Cup Qualifying Group A. With a couple of games to play, they are top of the group and on Friday travel to bottom-of-the-group Luxembourg. Read our match prediction.
Germany still has work to do if they want to automatically qualify for next year's finals in North America. They are top of the group but only on goal difference from Slovakia, who they host in their final group game next week. Since losing their opening group fixture to Slovakia (their third loss in a row), Germany have fought back with three straight wins. They won the reverse fixture against Luxembourg 4-0, all the goals in the first 48 minutes.
A clean sheet has been kept in both of their last two matches.
Luxembourg are yet to earn a point and have already been eliminated. There's little to play for therefore but they'd love to get a least one point on the board but it'll need a great performance to do that here. Only one goal has been scored by them in their four group fixtures with ten conceded.
They have gone seven games without a win and failed to score in five of their last six.
We tip Germany to win this match to nil.
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The Best Betting Odds for Luxembourg v Germany Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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26 | 11 | 1.08 |
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26 | 9.5 | 1.1 |
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23 | 9.5 | 1.08 |
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17 | 8.5 | 1.09 |
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26 | 11 | 1.06 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Luxembourg and Germany?
Our prediction for the Luxembourg vs Germany match is: Germany wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/11/2025 between Luxembourg and Germany in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 12.33% for a win of Luxembourg against Germany with odds of 28 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Luxembourg vs Germany is 21.59% with odds of 12 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 66.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Germany vs Luxembourg with odds of 1.12 at Bwin.
Luxembourg - Germany Prediction and Best Odds:
| Luxembourg Germany Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Germany wins | 66.08% | 1.12 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.99% | 1.35 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 2.65 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: Germany/Germany | 35.56% | 1.44 at Bet365 |
Luxembourg vs Germany Form
Luxembourg and Germany's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
|
4
|
0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -11 |
Luxembourg and Germany Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
12 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
7 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg vs Germany Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Luxembourg against Germany Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Luxembourg - Germany Key Points
- Luxembourg have failed to score in five of their last six games.
- Germany have kept four clean sheets in their last four games against Luxembourg, scoring 22 goals themselves.
- Germany have won their last three games, including a 4-0 win over Luxembourg.
- Luxembourg have only scored in three of their last eight home internationals.
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Our Luxembourg vs Germany Prediction
The big match in this group is next week when leaders Germany host second-placed Slovakia. Germany are top of the group only on goal difference so a big win over Luxembourg would be very helpful indeed. They've rallied well since losing their opening fixture in Slovakia.
It's been a massive struggle for Luxembourg whose qualification hopes are already over. Just a single point has been earned with one goal scored and ten conceded. Another hard night looms ahead. Our Luxembourg v Germany prediction is Germany wins to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Luxembourg Germany
| Luxembourg vs Germany | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Luxembourg wins | 23 | 26 | +13.0% |
| Draw | 8.5 | 11 | +29.4% |
| Germany wins | 1.08 | 1.08 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Germany is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 92.6% and is now 92.6% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.