Lorient vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
A third straight away game awaits PSG as they take their Ligue 1 title defence to newly promoted Lorient. The two sides clash on Wednesday, with PSG having retaken the league lead while Lorient dropped to the relegation zone. We have a prediction for this match below.
Returning home should be welcome for Lorient, as they’ve picked up seven of their eight points there. It offers some belief when hosting the best team on the land as well as hope to rise from a three-match winless run.
Les Merlus are coming off a 2-0 defeat at Angers and have now conceded seven times in the last three matches.
PSG scaled back to the league summit thanks to Marseille’s loss to Lens. After two straight draws in Ligue 1, they returned to winning ways with a 3-0 away victory at Brest.
That being their fourth win in six matches, PSG will hope that their bad days are gone. A number of their injured players are not only coming back but also scoring, so things are surely looking up.
Three times in the last five meetings with Lorient, PSG bagged wins but not clean sheets. That is the one aspect they’ll feel the need to improve on, given Lorient scored in all their home matches this season.
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Lorient v PSG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10 | 6.4 | 1.27 |
|
|
10.9 | 6.28 | 1.31 |
|
|
11 | 6.05 | 1.25 |
|
|
11.5 | 6.4 | 1.23 |
|
|
10 | 6.5 | 1.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lorient and PSG?
Our prediction for the Lorient vs PSG match is: PSG to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/10/2025 between Lorient and PSG in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.68% for a win of Lorient against PSG with odds of 12.3 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lorient vs PSG is 23.13% with odds of 7.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.19% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Lorient with odds of 1.31 at 1xbet.
Lorient - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lorient PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 53.19% | 1.31 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.13% | 1.37 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 70.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: PSG/PSG | 23.47% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
Lorient vs PSG Form
Lorient and PSG's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
Lorient and PSG Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
12 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Sept 2025 - Champions League
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
13 Aug 2025 - UEFA Super Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
5 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
22 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
Lorient vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
30 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
22 Dec 2021 - Ligue 1
Lorient against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 2 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
B. Kamara
DefenderB. Meite
N. Adjei
MidfielderM. Bley
T. Le Bris
J. Makengo
A. Ebong
S. Soumano
A. Tosin
M. Safonov
R. Marin
DefenderW. Pacho
L. Hernandez
MidfielderVitinha
J. Neves
B. Barcola
G. Ramos
K. Kvaratskhelia
Missing players
I. Toure
A. Faye
MidfielderB. Fadiga
P. Katseris
ForwardB. Dieng
T. Sanusi
A. Hakimi
MidfielderF. Ruiz
Most goals and assists
Lorient
PSG
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
Lorient - PSG Key Points
- PSG won seven times in their last 10 matches.
- Lorient scored in all their four home games this season.
- Both sides scored in four of these teams’ last five meetings.
- Lorient scored in all their last seven home games against PSG.
- PSG managed only two clean sheets in their seven away matches.
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Our Lorient vs PSG Prediction
PSG are coming from a comfortable win, and with key players returning from injuries, they will feel confident about this match. Lorient haven't troubled PSG a lot in their recent meetings save for the fact that they rarely fail to score at home in this fixture.
This season Les Merlus have done well at home, and this will be another test to their mettle. They aren’t expected to win but it will definitely not be an easy ride for PSG. Our prediction for Lorient v PSG is for PSG to win and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lorient PSG
| Lorient vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient wins | 7.45 | 12.3 | +65.1% |
| Draw | 5.51 | 7.2 | +30.7% |
| PSG wins | 1.43 | 1.31 | -8.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 69.9% and is now 76.3% (6.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
