Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

ATP 11 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
08/04/2026 11:55
ATP 19
Valentin Vacherot

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Musetti wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Monte Carlo Masters Predictions

A lot has changed for Valentin Vacherot since he last played in the Monte Carlo Masters. The Monegasque player faces fourth seed Lorenzo Musetti in round two of this outdoor clay court tournament. Time for our match prediction.

This time last year, Vacherot was ranked outside the top 250. He’s now a career-high 23rd.. After his win in the Shanghai Masters last October, he’s reached two more hard court quarter-finals this year.

He first played in this tournament in 2022 but lost three successive matches and didn’t get his only win until last year. He then lost in round two to Grigor Dimitrov. Round one this year saw him come from a set down to beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

Lorenzo Musetti was the runner-up in last year’s Monte Carlo Masters. He’s ninth in the live rankings as he’s defending the points earned last year. This is his first clay court match of the year and only his 11th overall.

He was the runner-up in Hong Kong and then reached the last eight of the Australian Open. Musetti retired in his quarter-final and missed all of February.

Last year saw him win 19 of his 23 clay court matches. Of his four losses, three were inflicted by Carlos Alcaraz.

We tip Musetti to win this
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Lorenzo Musetti v Valentin Vacherot Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.49 2.65
Betwinner
1.48 2.68
Bet365
1.44 2.75
Roobet
1.43 2.64
BC Game
1.43 2.64
Check all Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot odds

Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot match is: Lorenzo Musetti wins.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot game on 08/04/2026 of the current ATP Monte Carlo Masters season:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 59.82% chance to win against Valentin Vacherot according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.49.
  • Valentin Vacherot has a 40.18% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 2.77 at Shangrila.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 59.82 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Lorenzo Musetti59.82 %
Valentin Vacherot40.18 %

Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Valentin Vacherot Last Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

6 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Marton Fucsovics

25 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Taylor Fritz

23 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  2
Tomas Machac

21 Jan 2026 - ATP Australian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  0
Lorenzo Sonego

11 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

10 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  1
Andrey Rublev
Valentin Vacherot Last matches
W L W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

6 Apr 2026 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  1
Juan Manuel Cerundolo

24 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Valentin Vacherot
1 :  2
Arthur Fils

22 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Matteo Berrettini
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

20 Mar 2026 - ATP Miami

Mariano Navone
0 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

9 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Valentin Vacherot
1 :  2
Casper Ruud

7 Mar 2026 - ATP Indian Wells

Valentin Vacherot
2 :  0
Nuno Borges

Lorenzo Musetti - Valentin Vacherot Key Points

  1. Musetti was the losing finalist in this tournament last year.
  2. Musetti is 14 places above his opponent in the live rankings.
  3. Vacherot had to go to three sets to beat Juan Manuel Cerundolo in round one.
  4. Musetti only lost four clay court matches last year and all but one were by Carlos Alcaraz.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction

Valentin Vacherot has zoomed up the world rankings since his last appearance in the Monte Carlo Masters. His best results have come on otther surfaces though and he struggled to get past Juan Manuel Cerundolo in round one.

This is a much tougher task for him as he takes on Lorenzo Musetti who lost in the final here 12 months ago. He won 19 matches on clay last year and reached three other semi-finals, including at Roland Garros. Our Lorenzo Musetti v Valentin Vacherot prediction is Lorenzo Musetti wins.

Prediction :

 

Lorenzo Musetti wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot Prediction