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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
For the third time in their careers, Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima will be facing off. They meet in the third round at the Rome Masters, with the winner advancing to face Alexei Popyrin or Daniil Medvedev next. Below we have a prediction for the match.
Musetti is having a good season, especially on clay, and the only missing bit is a title. His second-round straight-sets win over Otto Virtanen saw him hit a 17-6 record. On clay he is at 11-2, having graced the semi-finals in Monte Carlo and Madrid.
Playing at home, he will want to finally get to the final. He has never gone past the fourth round in Rome, but in his form, he will feel confident enough for a deeper run.
In Nakashima, the Italian will meet a fresher opponent who is raring to go. The American is yet to enter the court this week, and neither has he ever won a main draw match at the Rome Masters.
Nakashima got a first-round bye before Jordan Thompson, his second-round opponent, withdrew. This click of luck means in the third meeting between the two, Nakashima can bank on extended rest when taking on the world number nine.
This will be very key, as Nakashima has met 13 top-10 players but suffered defeat in 11 of those matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Brandon Nakashima Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.2 | 4.2 |
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1.18 | 4.3 |
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1.2 | 4.3 |
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1.22 | 4.32 |
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima match is: Musetti to win in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima game on 11/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 67.4% chance to win against Brandon Nakashima according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.22.
- Brandon Nakashima has a 32.6% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 67.4 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Lorenzo Musetti | 67.4 % |
Brandon Nakashima | 32.6 % |
Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
2 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
30 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open
20 Jun 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships
Lorenzo Musetti - Brandon Nakashima Key Points
- Musetti has won eight of his last 10 matches.
- Musetti dropped at least a set in four of his last 10 matches.
- Nakashima lost four times in the last nine completed matches.
- Nakashima failed to win a set in only three of his last 11 matches.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction
Nakashima is making his fourth appearance in Rome, and once again he starts as the underdog. Advancing to the third round has come with a slice of fortune, as he hasn’t played a game yet. It means he will be fresher and ready to give the favorite a tough run, so we won’t rule out Nakashima winning a set.
His wait for a first main draw win in Rome might, however, extend, looking at Musetti’s current form. Our prediction for Lorenzo Musetti v Brandon Nakashima is for Musetti to win in three sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Lorenzo Musetti vs. Brandon Nakashima game!
When you place a bet on the match between Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Lorenzo Musetti or Brandon Nakashima , if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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