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Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open

ATP - ATP Italian Open

ATP 9 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
11/05/2025 03:10
ATP 29 USA
Brandon Nakashima

Prediction :

 

Musetti to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions

For the third time in their careers, Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima will be facing off. They meet in the third round at the Rome Masters, with the winner advancing to face Alexei Popyrin or Daniil Medvedev next. Below we have a prediction for the match.

Musetti is having a good season, especially on clay, and the only missing bit is a title. His second-round straight-sets win over Otto Virtanen saw him hit a 17-6 record. On clay he is at 11-2, having graced the semi-finals in Monte Carlo and Madrid.

Playing at home, he will want to finally get to the final. He has never gone past the fourth round in Rome, but in his form, he will feel confident enough for a deeper run.

In Nakashima, the Italian will meet a fresher opponent who is raring to go. The American is yet to enter the court this week, and neither has he ever won a main draw match at the Rome Masters.

Nakashima got a first-round bye before Jordan Thompson, his second-round opponent, withdrew. This click of luck means in the third meeting between the two, Nakashima can bank on extended rest when taking on the world number nine.

This will be very key, as Nakashima has met 13 top-10 players but suffered defeat in 11 of those matches.

The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Brandon Nakashima Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.2 4.5
Ladbrokes
1.2 4.2
Vbet
1.18 4.3
NetBet
1.2 4.3
1xbet
1.22 4.32
Check all Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima odds
Up to $200 to bet on Lorenzo Musetti - Brandon Nakashima! 

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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima match is: Musetti to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima game on 11/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 67.4% chance to win against Brandon Nakashima according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.22.
  • Brandon Nakashima has a 32.6% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 67.4 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Lorenzo Musetti67.4 %
Brandon Nakashima32.6 %

Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima Last Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
W W W W L W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Otto Virtanen

2 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Lorenzo Musetti

1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Gabriel Diallo

30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Alex De Minaur
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Stefanos Tsitsipas
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti
Brandon Nakashima Last matches
L L L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

9 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Jordan Thompson
withdraw
Brandon Nakashima

29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  1
Brandon Nakashima

27 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Flavio Cobolli

25 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Brandon Nakashima
2 :  0
Sebastian Ofner

14 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona

Pedro Martinez
2 :  1
Brandon Nakashima

8 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Roberto Bautista-Agut
2 :  0
Brandon Nakashima

Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti

50 %

Brandon Nakashima

50 %

30 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open

Brandon Nakashima
3 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti

20 Jun 2024 - ATP Queen's Club Championships

Brandon Nakashima
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Brandon Nakashima with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Brandon Nakashima Key Points

  1. Musetti has won eight of his last 10 matches.
  2. Musetti dropped at least a set in four of his last 10 matches.
  3. Nakashima lost four times in the last nine completed matches.
  4. Nakashima failed to win a set in only three of his last 11 matches.

Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Nakashima is making his fourth appearance in Rome, and once again he starts as the underdog. Advancing to the third round has come with a slice of fortune, as he hasn’t played a game yet. It means he will be fresher and ready to give the favorite a tough run, so we won’t rule out Nakashima winning a set.

His wait for a first main draw win in Rome might, however, extend, looking at Musetti’s current form. Our prediction for Lorenzo Musetti v Brandon Nakashima is for Musetti to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Musetti to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

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