Liverpool vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions League Predictions
Liverpool are in danger of being knocked out of the Champions League. The Reds play the home leg of this quarter-final 2-0 down after a defeat away to PSG last week. Can the cup holders reach the semi-finals? Find out more in our match prediction.
Although Liverpool finished third in the league phase, they are in deep trouble in this quarter-final. The six-time winners last lifted the trophy in 2019 but will need another dramatic European night at Anfield to make it into the next round against either Real Madrid or Bayern Munich. They won at the weekend against Fulham but it wil take a titanic performance if they are to claw back the first leg deficit.
PSG finally won the UCL last season and do not want to loosen their grip on the cherished trophy. They only finished 11th in the league phase but have improved as the competition has progressed. The Parisians have already won once in England this season, can they make it two on Tuesday?
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Liverpool v PSG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 4.1 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.38 | 4.12 | 2.57 |
|
|
2.32 | 4.12 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.3 | 4.2 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.38 | 4.1 | 2.56 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and PSG?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs PSG match is: PSG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/04/2026 between Liverpool and PSG in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.26% for a win of Liverpool against PSG with odds of 2.47 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs PSG is 10.3% with odds of 4.28 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.44% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Liverpool with odds of 2.73 at 888Starz.
Liverpool - PSG Prediction and Best Odds:
| Liverpool PSG Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 54.44% | 2.73 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.09% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time : Liverpool / Full-time : PSG | 20.99% | 28 at LSbet |
Liverpool vs PSG Form
Liverpool and PSG Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
13 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
Liverpool vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
0 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Nov 2018 - Champions League
18 Sept 2018 - Champions League
Liverpool - PSG: Form Analysis
Saturday saw Liverpool beat Fulham 2-0 at home in the Premier League. They remain fifth in the table and that would be good enough to again see them in the Champions League next season.
It was a welcome win for Arne Slot's team as the Reds had lost three successive league and cup fixtures. It was their eighth home league win this season and they have also had four more victories in the UCL.
Only one of their six home games in the Champions League has been lost this season. They certainly can't afford a repeat of the performance that saw them beaten 4-1 at home by PSV in the league phase.
Another win in England for PSG?
PSG haven't played since the first leg so will be fresh for this second leg. This is their second game in England this season after playing against Chelsea 3-0 in the second leg of their last 16 tie.
Each of their last five games has been won and 17 goals have been scored. Their last four away fixtures have all been won and last season saw them win at Anfield on their way to winning the UCL for the first time.
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Liverpool against PSG Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
K. Misciur
F. Woodman
DefenderJ. Gomez
A. Nallo
A. Robertson
MidfielderC. Jones
T. Nyoni
F. Chiesa
ForwardC. Gakpo
M. Salah
R. Ngumoha
R. Marin
L. Chevalier
DefenderI. Zabarnyi
Beraldo
L. Hernandez
S. Mayulu
L. Kang-in
D. Fernandez
ForwardG. Ramos
I. Mbaye
B. Barcola
Missing players
Alisson
DefenderC. Bradley
S. Bajcetic
G. Leoni
MidfielderW. Endo
F. Ruiz
ForwardQ. Ndjantou
Liverpool & PSG Squad Analysis
Liverpool are in a different position from when they hosted PSG in the last 16 of the 2024-25 UCL. That was also a second leg match but they had won 1-0 in Paris. A repeat of last year's 2-0 home loss to PSG will again see them making an exit.
Although Liverpool got back into winning ways with a home win over Fulham on Saturday, they have lost Curtis Jones who suffered a groin injury in the first half. He is extremely doubtful for this match against PSG.
Will Ngumoha start the match for Liverpool?
Alisson Becker is also doubtful for this match as they try to get back into this quarter-final tie. Rio Ngumoha scored on Saturday but it remains to be seen whether the 17-year-old will start this match
PSG didn't incur any fresh injuries in the first leg. Unlike their opponents, they have not been in action since the first leg and that is bound to help them in this match. They could welcome back Bradley Barcola who has had more time to regain full fitness after time out with an ankle injury.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
PSG
D. Szoboszlai
(5 Goals)
K. Kvaratskhelia
(10 Goals)
D. Szoboszlai
(4 Assists)
K. Kvaratskhelia
(7 Assists)
Liverpool - PSG Key Points
- PSG won the first leg 2-0.
- Liverpool lost at home to PSG last season.
- PSG have won their last five matches.
- Liverpool have only won one of their last four games.
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Our Liverpool vs PSG Prediction
Liverpool returned to winning ways on Saturday but they face an uphill task in this Champions League quarter-final second leg. They trail 2-0 from the first leg and were beaten at Anfield last season by PSG.
The away side are in top form and are clear leaders of Ligue 1. They put in an excellent performance in the first leg and have already beaten Chelsea in the knockout stages with a 3-0 away victory. Our main Liverpool v PSG prediction is PSG wins.
Liverpool vs PSG Alternative Predictions
Dembele Ousmane to score or assist
Dembele Ousmane has either scored or made an assist in four of his last five matches.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Liverpool PSG
| Liverpool vs PSG | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool wins | 3.75 | 2.47 | -34.1% |
| Draw | 4 | 4.28 | +7.0% |
| PSG wins | 1.81 | 2.73 | +50.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 50.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.2% and is now 36.6% (-18.6%)
Liverpool vs PSG - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
