France - Ligue 1
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Ligue 1 top-scorers Lille will clash with Toulouse in a matchday four fixture on Sunday. This match at Stade Pierre Mauroy between the third-placed Mastiffs (seven points) and the seventh-placed Violets (six points) comes with a prediction of a home win and both teams scoring goals.
Lille are unbeaten in the season (W2, D1) and are two points behind PSG and Lyon, who have a perfect record so far. Toulouse are just a point behind their hosts but have three more teams for company on the same tally.
A 7-1 thrashing of Lorient away from home in their last match before the international break was the high point of Lille’s season. It was a breezy second half because all the goals arrived after the teams were level at 0-0 at half-time.
Combined with a 3-3 draw against Brest on matchday one, Lille now have the best scoring record (11 goals) in the division. Playing at home adds to their strengths, as Lille have won six and drawn one of their seven recent home games.
Toulouse were hammered 6-3 at home by PSG in their last match, which incidentally came after starting the season with back-to-back wins via clean sheets. Stopping the free-scoring Lille could be a tough proposition, though, although they won 1-0 away at Nice on matchday one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v Toulouse Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.75 | 3.8 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.8 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.78 | 4 | 4 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.9 | 4.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Toulouse?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Toulouse match is: Lille to win and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2025 between Lille and Toulouse in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.98% for a win of Lille against Toulouse with odds of 1.86 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Toulouse is 21.95% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Toulouse vs Lille with odds of 4.6 at Unibet.
Lille vs Toulouse Form
Lille and Toulouse's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
|
8
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Lille and Toulouse Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
17 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Toulouse Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Oct 2024 - Ligue 1
25 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
18 Mar 2023 - Ligue 1
17 Sep 2022 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Toulouse last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
T. Santos
T. Meunier
MidfielderE. Mbappe
N. Mukau
A. Francis
N. Schmidt
R. Messali
ForwardI. Azizi
Most goals and assists
Lille
Toulouse
O. Giroud
(2 Goals)
, 
H. Haraldsson
(2 Goals)
, 
M. Fernandez
(2 Goals)
, 
H. Igamane
(2 Goals)
F. Magri
(2 Goals)
F. Correia
(3 Assists)
S. Hidalgo
(2 Assists)
Lille - Toulouse Key Points
- Lille won six of their last nine league matches, including the last two.
- In seven of Lille’s last ten league games, both teams scored goals.
- Four of Toulouse’s last six Ligue 1 matches have seen both teams score.
- Toulouse lost three of their recent six away league games, winning only two.
- The last four league games between Toulouse and Lille saw BTTS with Lille winning the recent two.
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Our Lille vs Toulouse Prediction
It has been a breezy start to the campaign for Lille, who have outscored everyone else in the first two rounds. A win here will keep them in the mix for the top three. Playing Toulouse brings back happy memories, as Lille won both league fixtures last season by a 2-1 scoreline. Toulouse saw their impressive start shredded by PSG in the last round and will hope to keep the goals to a minimum on this trip.
There could still be goals in this fixture, and our Lille vs Toulouse prediction is Lille to win and BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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