France - Ligue 1
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by Thobelani Moyo in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lille, searching for their first win of the year, welcomes Nice to the Stade Pierre Mauroy on matchday 18 of the Ligue 1. Lille are fifth in the table and closely trail Nice, who are in fourth. Here's our match prediction.
Lille flexed their credentials as six-time champions in the Coupe de France as they beat 10-time champions Marseille 4-3 on penalties in the last 32 after playing out a 1-1 draw in regular time on Tuesday.
As a result of that win, the Mastiffs are now unbeaten in 20 games across all competitions (W11, D9) since a 2-0 Champions League defeat against Sporting Lisbon on September 17, 2024.
A return to league action sees the team aiming to return to winning ways. Bruno Genesio's men were held to a scoreless draw against ten-man Auxerre. This marked their third consecutive league draw.
Nice also managed to come out on top in the French Cup round of 32 as they beat Bastia 1-0 away from home, thanks to a second-half Mohamed-Ali Cho strike.
The team has typified consistency in the league and come into this match after a 4-2 away win against Reims marking their second win on the bounce since the turn of the year.
However, it's worth mentioning that the Eaglets have avoided defeat in their last four league matches (W3, D1) but failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v Nice Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.3 | 3.9 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.37 | 3.8 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Nice?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Nice match is: Over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/01/2025 between Lille and Nice in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.45% for a win of Lille against Nice with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Nice is 39.97% with odds of 3.6 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Nice vs Lille with odds of 4.11 at 22bet.
Lille - Nice Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Nice Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 39.97% | 3.6 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.34% | 2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 80.83% | |
| Half-time : Lille / Full-time : Nice | 20.93% | 15 at Bet365 |
Lille vs Nice Form
Lille and Nice's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
60 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 25 |
|
5
|
60 | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
Lille and Nice Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
10 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2024 - French Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2024 - Champions League
6 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
10 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2024 - French Cup
14 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
28 Nov 2024 - Europa League
24 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2024 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jan 2025 - French Cup
11 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2024 - French Cup
15 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Dec 2024 - Europa League
1 Dec 2024 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Nice Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
19 May 2024 - Ligue 1
11 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
29 Jan 2023 - Ligue 1
31 Aug 2022 - Ligue 1
14 May 2022 - Ligue 1
Lille against Nice Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Missing players
T. Santos
Most goals and assists
Lille
Nice
J. David
(23 Goals)
E. Guessand
(13 Goals)
J. David
(7 Assists)
J. Clauss
(8 Assists)
Lille - Nice Key Points
- Lille has seen over 2.5 goals scored in four of their last seven home league games.
- Three or more goals have been scored in each of Nice's seven Ligue 1 matches.
- Lille and Nice have seen over 2.5 goals scored in five of their last seven league games.
- Nice has seen a combined 15 goals scored in their last three away league games.
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Our Lille vs Nice Prediction
Lille will head into this match looking to record their first win of the year after two failed attempts. However, their chances of doing so appear slim, managing just one win from their last seven matches in this fixture.
Nice, meanwhile, have performed much better during the aforementioned run with three wins in their name. They can't be entirely written off from causing an upset. In their last meeting, both sides canceled each other in a 2-2 draw and a similar result is to be expected in this one. Our Lille v Nice prediction is for Over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Nice
| Lille vs Nice | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 1.73 | 1.91 | +10.4% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.5 | -10.3% |
| Nice wins | 4.5 | 4 | -11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 25.6% and is now 28.6% (2.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
