Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in Carabao Cup Predictions
These two clubs had contrasting weekends. Manchester United lost the derby match against City, while visitors Brighton and Hove Albion won 5-0 away at 10-man Coventry City. Four of the last five games between these two Premier League clubs have seen both sides get on the scoresheet, so our prediction is BTTS.
United have had a mixed start to the new season. The Red Devils are 13th in the table with four points from as many games. The defeat on Sunday left them eight points adrift of the league leaders, so they may well again have to rely on cup competitions for silverware this season. Both teams have scored in two of their last three games against English clubs.
Brighton and Hove Albion have only been beaten by Chelsea this season and are fourth in the table. They kept a clean sheet against Coventry on Sunday, but the two previous games the Seagulls played against English clubs saw both teams score.
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Manchester United v Brighton Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.83 | 3.85 | 3.75 |
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1.83 | 4.2 | 3.91 |
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1.81 | 4.12 | 3.86 |
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1.81 | 4.12 | 3.86 |
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1.81 | 4.14 | 3.86 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Brighton?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Brighton match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between Manchester United and Brighton in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.39% for a win of Manchester United against Brighton with odds of 1.85 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Brighton is 23.02% with odds of 4.2 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Manchester United with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.
Manchester United vs Brighton Form
Manchester United and Brighton Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
10 Sept 2026 - Champions League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sept 2026 - Premier League
22 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
27 Aug 2026 - Conference League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
30 Aug 2026 - Premier League
20 Aug 2026 - Conference League
17 May 2026 - Premier League
2 May 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
Manchester United vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 May 2026 - Premier League
11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
19 Jan 2025 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
19 May 2024 - Premier League
Manchester United - Brighton: Form Analysis
Manchester United made a good start to the new season at Old Trafford. Games against Ipswich Town and Sabah saw them score nine goals with two conceded. It wasn't so good for them on Sunday. Even with Manchester City playing most of the game with ten men, the Reds lost 1-0.
They are down at 13th place in the Premier League and a title challenge is already looking difficult for Michael Carrick's team. United have scored seven league goals in four games, but they have conceded the same number.of goals and that is not encouraging for them.
High-scoring Seagulls will test United.
Brighton and Hove Albion are going well again with just one league defeat. They have also qualified for the league phase in the Conference League, only their second European campaign. The Seagulls won 5-0 at Coventry on Sunday. That was the fourth time this season that they have scored at least three goals in a game
Two of their last three league fixtures have seen both teams score.
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Manchester United vs Brighton last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
K. Darlow
DefenderN. Mazraoui
L. Yoro
A. Heaven
MidfielderM. Mount
A. Santos
S. Lacey
ForwardJ. Zirkzee
B. Sesko
J. Steele
DefenderP. Struijk
J. Hadjam
Costinha
MidfielderChema Andres
Y. Ibrahim
M. O'Riley
ForwardI. Osman
P. David
Missing players
T. Heaton
DefenderM. De Ligt
MidfielderM. Ugarte
C. Baleba
ForwardA. Diallo
M. Wieffer
MidfielderK. Mitoma
J. Hinshelwood
ForwardE. Ferguson
Y. Minteh
S. Tzimas
Z. Yohanna
Manchester United & Brighton Squad Analysis
Manchester United will look to bounce back from the home loss to Manchester City. Only one of their last three games has been won. The Red Devils will continue to be without Manuel Ugarte, Amad Diallo, former Seagull Carlos Baleba an Matthijs de Ligt.
Sesko might start for the Red Devils.
Here's a surprise...not. Luke Shaw is a fitness doubt after missing Sunday's game. That means Patrick Dorgu will be playing at left-back for United. Changes are likely for this match and Benjamin Sesko who has two recent goals to his name could start for United.
Brighton and Hove Albion keep on getting away draws in cup competitions. Like their opponents, they have several injury worries including Jack Hinshelwood who scored twice for them in their opening league win over Aston Villa. Ferguson, Mitoma and Minteh are also injured.
Other key players such as Rutter, Azeez and Svoboda were all absent for their last game, but they still won 5-0 at Coventry.
Pascal Gross made his return to the club last season. He's scored more goals against United than any other team.
Manchester United - Brighton Key Points
- Four of the last five games between these two clubs have seen both teams score.
- Both teams have scored in seven of United's last nine competitive home fixtures.
- Both teams have scored in three of Brighton's last five away games against English clubs.
- The last five home games United have played against Brighton saw both teams score.
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Our Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction
Manchester United were knocked out by Brighton in last season's FA Cup and will be out for revenge here especially as that defeat came on home soil. The Red Devils aren't quite firing on all cylinders at present and lost at home to 10-man Manchester City at the weekend. They still concede too many goals.
As you will have read, this is a fixture that regularly sees both teams get on the scoresheet. Brighton have been scoring plenty of goals this season, but Chelsea put four past them. Our main Manchester United v Brighton prediction is BTTS.
Manchester United vs Brighton Alternative Predictions
Manchester United wins
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Manchester United vs Brighton - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.