Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup

England - Carabao Cup

Manchester United
16/09/2026 14:00
Brighton

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Steve Ashfield | in Carabao Cup Predictions

These two clubs had contrasting weekends. Manchester United lost the derby match against City, while visitors Brighton and Hove Albion won 5-0 away at 10-man Coventry City. Four of the last five games between these two Premier League clubs have seen both sides get on the scoresheet, so our prediction is BTTS.

United have had a mixed start to the new season. The Red Devils are 13th in the table with four points from as many games. The defeat on Sunday left them eight points adrift of the league leaders, so they may well again have to rely on cup competitions for silverware this season. Both teams have scored in two of their last three games against English clubs.

Brighton and Hove Albion have only been beaten by Chelsea this season and are fourth in the table. They kept a clean sheet against Coventry on Sunday, but the two previous games the Seagulls played against English clubs saw both teams score.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Manchester United v Brighton Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.83 3.85 3.75
1xbet
1.83 4.2 3.91
Melbet
1.81 4.12 3.86
Betwinner
1.81 4.12 3.86
22bet
1.81 4.14 3.86
Check all Manchester United vs Brighton odds

Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!

What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Brighton?

Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Brighton match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between Manchester United and Brighton in Carabao Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.39% for a win of Manchester United against Brighton with odds of 1.85 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Brighton is 23.02% with odds of 4.2 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Brighton vs Manchester United with odds of 4.1 at Bet365.

Manchester United vs Brighton Form

Manchester United and Brighton Last Matches

Manchester United
Manchester United Last matches
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Manchester City

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Manchester United
4 :  0
Sabah FK

6 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
5 :  2
Ipswich Town

22 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Hull
2 :  0
Manchester United

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Manchester United
L W D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
0 :  1
Manchester City

10 Sept 2026 - Champions League

Manchester United
4 :  0
Sabah FK

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Manchester United
5 :  2
Ipswich Town

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
1 :  1
Leeds

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Manchester United
0 :  1
Wrexham
W W D L L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

6 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Everton
2 :  2
Manchester United

22 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Hull
2 :  0
Manchester United

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Manchester United

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

PSG
1 :  1
Manchester United

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rosenborg
0 :  5
Manchester United

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Manchester United
Brighton
Brighton Last matches
D W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Coventry City
0 :  5
Brighton

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Leeds

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Brighton

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Brighton
4 :  0
Tromsoe IL

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Brighton
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Leeds

27 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Brighton
4 :  0
Tromsoe IL

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
4 :  0
Aston Villa

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
1 :  0
Bologna

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
3 :  0
Roma

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Brighton
4 :  3
Strasbourg
D L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Coventry City
0 :  5
Brighton

30 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  3
Brighton

20 Aug 2026 - Conference League

Tromsoe IL
0 :  0
Brighton

17 May 2026 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Brighton

2 May 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
3 :  1
Brighton

18 Apr 2026 - Premier League

Tottenham
2 :  2
Brighton

Manchester United vs Brighton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Manchester United

50 %

Draw

0 %

Brighton

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  3
Manchester United

11 Jan 2026 - FA Cup

Manchester United
1 :  2
Brighton

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  2
Brighton

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  3
Brighton

24 Aug 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
2 :  1
Manchester United

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  2
Manchester United

Manchester United - Brighton: Form Analysis

Manchester United made a good start to the new season at Old Trafford. Games against Ipswich Town and Sabah saw them score nine goals with two conceded. It wasn't so good for them on Sunday. Even with Manchester City playing most of the game with ten men, the Reds lost 1-0.

They are down at 13th place in the Premier League and a title challenge is already looking difficult for Michael Carrick's team. United have scored seven league goals in four games, but they have conceded the same number.of goals and that is not encouraging for them.

High-scoring Seagulls will test United.

Brighton and Hove Albion are going well again with just one league defeat. They have also qualified for the league phase in the Conference League, only their second European campaign. The Seagulls won 5-0 at Coventry on Sunday. That was the fourth time this season that they have scored at least three goals in a game 

Two of their last three league fixtures have seen both teams score.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction

Manchester United vs Brighton last Lineups

Manchester United

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
S. Lammens
2
D. Dalot
5
H. Maguire
6
L. Martinez
13
P. Dorgu
18
Y. Tielemans
37
K. Mainoo
19
B. Mbeumo
8
B. Fernandes
9
M. Rashford
10
M. Cunha
19
C. Kostoulas
29
M. De Cuyper
35
M. Yalcouye
25
D. Gomez
26
Y. Ayari
13
P. Gross
21
O. Boscagli
5
L. Dunk
44
L. Vuskovic
24
F. Kadioglu
1
B. Verbruggen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Brighton

Substitutes

Manchester United
Manchester United
Goalkeeper

K. Darlow

Defender

N. Mazraoui

L. Yoro

A. Heaven

Midfielder

M. Mount

A. Santos

S. Lacey

Forward

J. Zirkzee

B. Sesko

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

P. Struijk

J. Hadjam

Costinha

Midfielder

Chema Andres

Y. Ibrahim

M. O'Riley

Forward

I. Osman

P. David

Missing players

Manchester United
Manchester United
Goalkeeper

T. Heaton

Defender

M. De Ligt

Midfielder

M. Ugarte

C. Baleba

Forward

A. Diallo

Brighton
Brighton
Defender

M. Wieffer

Midfielder

K. Mitoma

J. Hinshelwood

Forward

E. Ferguson

Y. Minteh

S. Tzimas

Z. Yohanna

Manchester United & Brighton Squad Analysis

Manchester United will look to bounce back from the home loss to Manchester City. Only one of their last three games has been won. The Red Devils will continue to be without Manuel Ugarte, Amad Diallo, former Seagull Carlos Baleba an Matthijs de Ligt.

Sesko might start for the Red Devils.

Here's a surprise...not. Luke Shaw is a fitness doubt after missing Sunday's game. That means Patrick Dorgu will be playing at left-back for United. Changes are likely for this match and Benjamin Sesko who has two recent goals to his name could start for United.

Brighton and Hove Albion keep on getting away draws in cup competitions. Like their opponents, they have several injury worries including Jack Hinshelwood who scored twice for them in their opening league win over Aston Villa. Ferguson, Mitoma and Minteh are also injured.

Other key players such as Rutter, Azeez and Svoboda were all absent for their last game, but they still won 5-0 at Coventry.

Pascal Gross made his return to the club last season. He's scored more goals against United than any other team. 

Manchester United - Brighton Key Points

  1. Four of the last five games between these two clubs have seen both teams score.
  2. Both teams have scored in seven of United's last nine competitive home fixtures.
  3. Both teams have scored in three of Brighton's last five away games against English clubs.
  4. The last five home games United have played against Brighton saw both teams score.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Manchester United vs Brighton Prediction

Manchester United were knocked out by Brighton in last season's FA Cup and will be out for revenge here especially as that defeat came on home soil. The Red Devils aren't quite firing on all cylinders at present and lost at home to 10-man Manchester City at the weekend. They still concede too many goals.

As you will have read, this is a fixture that regularly sees both teams get on the scoresheet. Brighton have been scoring plenty of goals this season, but Chelsea put four past them. Our main Manchester United v Brighton prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Manchester United vs Brighton Alternative Predictions

Manchester United wins

Odds 1.76
United won 3-0 at Brighton at the end of last season. They have won two of their last three games against Brighton.
Welcome offer

Use £/€50 free bets for the Manchester United vs. Brighton game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Manchester United and Brighton? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

Try your luck on this year's Carabao Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

Claim this offer!

Manchester United vs Brighton - FAQs

This Carabao Cup game between Manchester United and Brighton is set to be played on Wednesday September 16 starting at 20:00 UK time.
It was Manchester United who received a home draw. The game will be played at Old Trafford in Manchester.
Go to Sky Sports to see this game live, but you will need either a monthly subscription or a day pass. If you are considering placing some in-play bets on this match, get some help by going to our Carabao Cup livescore with continually updated stats and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.