Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

Real Sociedad
17/09/2026 15:00
Bournemouth

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions

What a night this is going to be for English Premier League side Bournemouth. Facing European opposition has happened in pre-season friendlies, but on Thursday, the Cherries are away to Real Sociedad in the Europa League. Looking at Bournemouth's results this season, more than 2.5 goals is our prediction.

Bournemouth did incredibly well to finish sixth in the Premier League last season. They only missed out on qualifying for the Champions League by three points. If they'd won their last two games instead of drawing them, they'd have finished fifth. Instead, they qualified for the Europa League, their very first European campaign.

The league phase begins for them with this trip to Real Sociedad. The La Liga club are far more experienced in European competition than their opponents with more than 100 games played. Two seasons ago they lost in the last 16 of the Europa League to Manchester United. The Blue and Whites are 13th in La Liga (Bournemouth are 15th in the Premier League) and four of their last five games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored. That stat also applies to Bournemouth's last five matches.

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Real Sociedad v Bournemouth Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.8 3.6 2.43
1xbet
2.92 3.61 2.43
Melbet
2.86 3.54 2.38
Betwinner
2.8 3.48 2.45
22bet
2.86 3.52 2.38
Check all Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Sociedad and Bournemouth?

Our prediction for the Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/09/2026 between Real Sociedad and Bournemouth in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.34% for a win of Real Sociedad against Bournemouth with odds of 3 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth is 43.82% with odds of 3.63 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Real Sociedad with odds of 2.45 at Betwinner.

Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Form

Real Sociedad and Bournemouth Last Matches

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Last matches
L L W D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

7 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

3 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  0
Celta Vigo

29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  1
Espanyol

26 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

21 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Sociedad
L D L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  3
Atletico Madrid

3 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  0
Celta Vigo

29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  1
Espanyol

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  4
Valencia

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  2
Betis

22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Getafe
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

7 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Elche
2 :  3
Real Sociedad

26 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

21 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  0
Real Sociedad
Bournemouth
Bournemouth Last matches
L L D D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Brentford

8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Bournemouth
4 :  0
Lincoln City

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Everton

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Bournemouth

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bournemouth
W W W D W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
4.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
Brentford

8 Sept 2026 - Carabao Cup

Bournemouth
4 :  0
Lincoln City

29 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Everton

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
10 :  1
Genoa

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
5 :  2
Augsburg

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
4 :  1
St. Pauli
W D D L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

5 Sept 2026 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Bournemouth

23 Aug 2026 - Premier League

Manchester City
2 :  1
Bournemouth

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Bournemouth

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Betis
2 :  2
Bournemouth

24 May 2026 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Bournemouth

9 May 2026 - Premier League

Fulham
0 :  1
Bournemouth

Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Sociedad

0 %

Draw

100 %

Bournemouth

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

0
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad - Bournemouth: Form Analysis

Real Sociedad finished tenth in La Liga last season and missed out on European qualification by five points. However, they won the Copa del Rey final against Atletico Madrid on penalties and here they are in the Europa League. They are 13th in this season's La Liga with seven points from their six games.

Their most recent fixture saw them lose 3-0 at home to Atletico Madrid. Four of their last five league games have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.

In European competition, there's been at least three goals scored in five of their last seven games.

Bournemouth finally make their debut in European competition after their sixth placed finish in the English Premier League last season. It's not been going so well for the Cherries this season and they are down in 15th place after the first four games of the new season.

Plenty of goals in Bournemouth's games this season.

The weekend saw them draw 2-2 at home with Brentford. Three of their four league fixtures have been drawn with a loss at Manchester City. Their only victory has come in the Carabao Cup with a 4-0 home win over Lincoln City. Of their five games this season, four have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.

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Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Prediction

Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth last Lineups

Real Sociedad

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
A. Remiro
2
J. Aramburu
34
L. Beitia
19
M. Sarr
17
S. Gomez
21
Y. Herrera
18
C. Soler
11
G. Guedes
24
L. Sucic
7
A. Barrenetxea
10
M. Oyarzabal
9
Evanilson
16
M. Tavernier
19
J. Kluivert
37
Rayan
12
T. Adams
8
A. Scott
3
A. Truffert
14
A. Silva
5
J. Hill
15
A. Smith
1
D. Petrovic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bournemouth

Substitutes

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Goalkeeper

U. Marrero

Defender

A. Munoz

J. Pacheco

H. Fort

Midfielder

T. Kubo

B. Turrientes

A. Zakharyan

J. Gorrotxategi

J. Ochieng

Forward

G. Carrera

O. Oskarsson

A. Marchal

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Goalkeeper

M. Di Gregorio

Defender

J. Soler

B. Diakite

Midfielder

A. Toth

D. Brooks

L. Cook

R. Christie

Forward

B. Gannon-Doak

A. Rodriguez

Missing players

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Defender

A. Odriozola

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

J. Araujo

Midfielder

V. Milosavljevic

Forward

A. Adli

E. Kroupi

Real Sociedad & Bournemouth Squad Analysis

The home side will be without Alvaro Odriozola who has a long-term injury. Also out of this Europa League game is Igor Zubeldia who is injured and Jon Aramburu is suspended. He might have forgotten that as the suspension was picked up when being sent off in this competition against Manchester United two seasons ago.

Their star player is World Cup winner Mikel Oyarzbel. This season their top scorer is Luka Sucic with two goals.

Just keep a lead!

Bournemouth have injury problems ahead of their European debut. Top players such as Kroupi, Adli and Araujo will all be missing this game. The main problem the Cherries have at present is their inability to keep a lead. That has happened in all four of their Premier League games this season, including away at Manchester City.

The Cherries will be hoping for more goals from Marcus Tavernier. He's scored three in the league this season, only Erling Haaland has scored more.

Real Sociedad - Bournemouth Key Points

  1. Four of Bournemouth's five games this season have seen more than 2.5 goals scored.
  2. More than 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last seven games Real Sociedad has played in European competition.
  3. Four of the last five La Liga matches played by Real Sociedad have seen more than 2.5 goals in the game.
  4. More than 2.5 goals have been scored in four of Bournemouth's last six away competitive fixtures.
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Our Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Prediction

This isn't going to be the easiest of European debuts for Bournemouth. They are down in 15th place in the Premier League, but should be a lot higher. All four league fixtures this season have seen them lose a lead. More than 2.5 goals in their games is also a regular occurrence.

Real Sociedad have both home advantage and European experience. They are not in the best of form though and only qualified via their Copa del Rey triumph last season. This should see a few goals scored and our main Real Sociedad v Bournemouth prediction is more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth Alternative Predictions

Draw

Odds 3.6
Bournemouth have drawn three of their last four games, the other being a win over Championship side Lincoln City.
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Real Sociedad vs Bournemouth - FAQs

The Europa League match between Real Sociedad and Bournemouth is being played on Thursday September 17 and will commence at 20:00 UK time.
Bournemouth's first ever European game is an away trip to the  Reale Arena in Sociedad, Spain.
Subscription channel TNT Sports are the UK broadcaster of the Europa League. If you are planning on making some in-play bets on this game, or just want to see how the pre-game ones are progressing, go to our Europa League livescore which is packed with statistics.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.