Coventry City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
England - Carabao Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in Carabao Cup Predictions
We have an all Premier League clash in the third round of the Carabao Cup. It is the bottom two clubs in the table as 20th placed Coventry City are home to local rivals 19th-placed Aston Villa. Between them the Sky Blues and the VIllans have scored just one league goal this season. Our prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
It's been a difficult start to life back in the Premier League for Coventry City. All four of their league games have ended in defeat and they are yet to score a goal. A good cup run would most likely help the Sky Blues with their confidence, but can they beat their opponents? Two of their last three games have had less than 2.5 goals scored.
Aston Villa made a slow start last season, but went on to qualify for the Champions League via their final position in the table. They also won the Europa League so won't be getting too worried about the fact four league games have only produced just a single point and one goal. They did score three in the Champions League last week though.
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Coventry City v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.95 | 3.5 | 2.21 |
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3.04 | 3.6 | 2.29 |
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2.98 | 3.56 | 2.29 |
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2.98 | 3.56 | 2.29 |
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3.02 | 3.56 | 2.27 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Coventry City and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Coventry City vs Aston Villa match is: Less than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/09/2026 between Coventry City and Aston Villa in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.42% for a win of Coventry City against Aston Villa with odds of 3.05 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Coventry City vs Aston Villa is 11.43% with odds of 3.6 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Coventry City with odds of 2.3 at Shangrila.
Coventry City vs Aston Villa Form
Coventry City and Aston Villa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2026 - Premier League
29 Aug 2026 - Premier League
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
21 Aug 2026 - Premier League
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 May 2026 - Championship
17 Apr 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Premier League
31 Aug 2026 - Premier League
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 May 2026 - Premier League
7 May 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5 Sept 2026 - Premier League
23 Aug 2026 - Premier League
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Coventry City - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Coventry City are rock bottom of the Premier League after the first four games of the season. No points and not a single goal scored so far in the Premier League. The Sky Blues are only two points from safety and it's been a tough fixture list with games against in-form sides such as Arsenal. Manchester City, Hull City and Brighton and Hove Albion.
Their only win this season came in the second round of the Carabao Cup as they won 4-2 away at Plymouth Argyle. Their most recent game in the Premier League didn't go well as they lost 5-0 to Brighton. Before that, two games against Manchester City and Hull CIty saw just one goal scored in each fixture.
Another slow start by Villa.
Aston Villa had a difficult transfer window and it's been showing in their opening games of this new season. They also had a nightmare game against Brighton and Hove Albion, losing 4-0 with all the goals scored in the first half. The Lions have since lost to Arsenal (only 1-0), drawn 0-0 with Hull and were beaten 2-1 at home by Nottingham Forest at the weekend.
Their only win of the season has been a 3-2 victory at Club Brugge.
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Coventry City vs Aston Villa last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Bentley
DefenderS. Mfuni
MidfielderC. Yirenkyi
V. Torp
G. Hamer
T. Sakamoto
ForwardB. Thomas-Asante
L. Tchaouna
S. Cherif
M. Bizot
DefenderM. Ruggeri
T. Mings
MidfielderJ. Manzambi
L. Bogarde
ForwardI. Mbaye
Alysson
A. Garnacho
T. Abraham
Missing players
L. Woolfenden
K. Hayden
ForwardH. Wright
M. Cash
MidfielderL. Goretzka
A. Onana
ForwardB. Madjo
Coventry City & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
We can expect both of these clubs to make a fair few changes for this Carabao Cup tie. It is a competition that regularly sees fringe players being given some time on the pitch. All the top players don't seem to get a look-in until the latter stages are reached.
Injury and suspension list is rising for Coventry.
One enforced absence for Coventry is that of Taiwo Awoniyi who was sent off in Sunday's 5-0 home loss to Brighton and Hove Albion. He joins a growing list of players who are out of action at present. Luke Woolfenden, Josh Eccles, Kaine Kesler-Hayden and Haji Wright will all miss this cup tie.
Aston Villa also have problems as they try to kick-start their season. Only one match has been won this term and in the Premier League, they've only scored one goal. The Villans will be missing Ian Maatsen who is due to be out for six to eight weeks. Pau Torries has a hamstring injury.
One piece of good news is that Joao Gomes has served the suspension given to him after being sent off against Brighton and Hove Albion.
Coventry City - Aston Villa Key Points
- Two of the last three games between these two clubs saw less than three goals scored.
- Coventry have played four matches this season and only scored in one of them.
- Aston Villa have only scored one domestic goal this season.
- Aston Villa are yet to score an away goal in the Premier League this season.
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Our Coventry City vs Aston Villa Prediction
Both of these clubs need a boost to their confidence after a disappointing start to the season. It's not the biggest shock in the world that Coventry are bottom as they have had a tough fixture list. The fact only one goal was conceded against Man City and Hull is promising.
A poor start to the season for Aston Villa was not really expected. They did lose some key players during the summer though and it's taking a while for their new-look team to gel. Our main Coventry City v Aston Villa prediction is less than 2.5 goals.
Coventry City vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
Aston Villa wins
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Coventry City vs Aston Villa - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
