Lens vs PSG Prediction & Betting Tips - Trophée des Champions
France - Trophée des Champions
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by Steve Ashfield | in Football Predictions
The new Ligue 1 season is on the horizon. Can anyone end the domination of PSG? This weekend sees the traditional Trophee des Champions take place as PSG face French Cup holders Lens. The Parisians have won their last three games against Lens and our prediction is another win this season.
PSG not only retained their domestic title last season, but were also able to remain the champions of Europe. They have won Ligue 1 for the past five seasons and eight of the last nine. They have also dominated this traditional season opener winning it for the past four seasons. In the last 13 seasons, PSG have qualified for this match and only in 2021 when losing to Lille, have they failed to lift the trophy.
The 2025-26 season was a special one for Lens. They won the French Cup for the first time in their history This is the first time since 1998 that they have played in the Trophee des Champions. On that occasion, they qualified as the winners of Ligue 1 but were beaten 1-0 it waS Psg who defeated them.
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Lens v PSG Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.5 | 3.75 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.71 | 3.94 | 1.82 |
|
|
4.58 | 3.8 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.52 | 3.8 | 1.76 |
|
|
4.58 | 3.8 | 1.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and PSG?
Our prediction for the Lens vs PSG match is: PSG wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/08/2026 between Lens and PSG in Trophée des Champions :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.47% for a win of Lens against PSG with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs PSG is 21.96% with odds of 3.94 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.57% chance ⭐ for a win of PSG vs Lens with odds of 1.82 at 1xbet.
Lens vs PSG Form
Lens and PSG Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2026 - French Cup
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2026 - French Cup
13 May 2026 - Ligue 1
8 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
13 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2026 - UEFA Super Cup
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
13 May 2026 - Ligue 1
6 May 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
Lens vs PSG Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 May 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Dec 2024 - French Cup
2 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
14 Jan 2024 - Ligue 1
Lens - PSG: Form Analysis
It's still August and PSG have already won one trophy this month. Midweek saw them beat Aston Villa 2-1 to win the UEFA Super Cup for the second successive year. They now attempt to again complete an early season double of the Super Cup and Trophee des Champions.
Another season of domination?
PSG have dominated French football for several years and are now doing the same in Europe with two Champions League titles won in 2024-25 and 2025-26. Last season saw them beat Marseille in a penalty shootout to lift the trophy.
That match was played in Kuwait, but with the current problems in the Middle East, this is a home match for Lens.
Before the win over Aston VIlla, PSG had lost to Mallorca 3-0 and then drew 1-1 with Manchester United.
Lens won the French Cup for the first time in their history last season. The Blood and Gold finished second in Ligue 1 last term, six points behind PSG and they will be playing in the Champions League this season.
Friendlies played in the past month have seen them draw 2-2 with Charleroi, beat Crystal Palace 3-0 and Villarreal 3-1. Their winning run came to an end when they lost 2-0 to Sunderland on August 8.
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Missing players
J. Chavez
N. Mendes
Lens & PSG Squad Analysis
Jhoanner haavez is doubtful for Lens. He has a thigh injury and may not be fit in time for this Trophee des Champions match against PSG. Also doubtful for Lens is Nidal Celik (injury to his meniscus) and Simon Baidoo (sore leg).
With Jonathan Gradit still not ready to play after his lower-leg fracture, Lens will be up against it as they try to stop PSG winning this trophy yet again. New signing Thorgan Hazard may start this match for Lens, as may Saud Abdulhamid..
PSG's preparations for the 2026-27 season has been hindered by their international players still resting after their participation in the World Cup.
Hakini is fit again.
They have received a boost with the news that Achraf Hakini is fit again after his injury when they beat Arsenal in last season's Champions League final. He was back in the team for the Super Cup game against Villa.
Maghnes Akilouche (recently signed from Monaco) also played in that game. Another new signing during the summer has been Lucas Digne and he may be involved in this match at some point.
Lens - PSG Key Points
- PSG have won the Trophee des Champions 14 times, including the past two seasons.
- PSG won the UEFA Super Cup in midweek.
- Lens are playing in this match for the first time since 1998, when losing to PSG.
- PSG have won their last three games against Lens and are unbeaten in eight games against them.
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Our Lens vs PSG Prediction
PSG won the UEFA Super Cup in midweek and another strong season looks likely for the reigning French and European champions. They have won their last three games against Lens,, keeping clean sheets in the two played last season.
The Parisians are unbeaten in their last four visits to Lens. Their opponents won the French Cup last season and were second in Ligue 1. They have some injury problems and were beaten by Sunderland in midweek. Our Lens v PSG prediction is PSG wins.
Lens vs PSG Alternative Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
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Lens vs PSG - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
