Lens vs Metz Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Straight from progressing to the French Cup semis, Lens have a date in Ligue 1 against struggling Metz. Going into this round, hosts Lens sit second, trailing leaders PSG by four points, while Metz are rock bottom. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
Lens drew 2-2 with Lyon and eventually won on post-match penalties in their French Cup quarter-final on Thursday. That was some reprieve for Lens, who remain in the title race despite failing to win the last two league games.
The hosts drew 1-1 with Strasbourg in their most recent league outing. Surprisingly, Metz won the reverse match 2-0 at home, and Lens will be keen on meting revenge here.
While Lens come into this game as clear favorites, it is Metz who have dominated the recent meetings between these two. The bottom-placed side has beaten Lens in each of the last three meetings and is unbeaten in four.
Lens actually won just once in the last 10 matches against Metz. The script is likely to go against the visitors here, though, as they are on a run of three straight defeats.
Metz have actually failed to win any of their last nine matches, losing seven matches in the process. In their latest outing, Metz lost 1-0 at home to Brest, failing to score in two straight games.
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Lens v Metz Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.29 | 6 | 9.6 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.85 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.26 | 5.95 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.27 | 5.75 | 11 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.6 | 9.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Metz?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Metz match is: Lens to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2026 between Lens and Metz in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.97% for a win of Lens against Metz with odds of 1.31 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Metz is 15.23% with odds of 6.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.8% chance ⭐ for a win of Metz vs Lens with odds of 11.1 at 888Starz.
Lens - Metz Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Metz Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 66.97% | 1.31 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.5% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lens/Lens | 38.96% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
Lens vs Metz Form
Lens and Metz's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
70 | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | +31 |
|
18
|
17 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | -44 |
Lens and Metz Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
30 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Mar 2026 - French Cup
27 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2026 - French Cup
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
6 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Jan 2026 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Metz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
16 Sept 2023 - Ligue 1
13 Mar 2022 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2021 - Ligue 1
Lens against Metz Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
M. Gorgelin
DefenderO. Lenne
E. Garnier
MidfielderF. Sylla
A. Bulatovic
A. Bermont
A. Haidara
R. Fofana
F. Sotoca
O. Ba
DefenderK. Kouao
T. Yegbe
MidfielderJ. Deminguet
G. Abuashvili
U. Mboula
G. Tsitaishvili
N. Mbala
G. Hein
Missing players
J. Gradit
R. Aguilar
J. Chavez
S. Baidoo
K. Antonio
P. Sy
ForwardJ. Mangondo
Most goals and assists
Lens
Metz
W. Said
(12 Goals)
, 
O. Edouard
(12 Goals)
G. Hein
(8 Goals)
A. Thomasson
(10 Assists)
G. Hein
(5 Assists)
Lens - Metz Key Points
- Lens kept clean sheets in two of their last four matches.
- Metz failed to score in four of their last five matches.
- Metz are winless in three away Ligue 1 games.
- Lens have won six matches in their last 10.
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Our Lens vs Metz Prediction
Lens haven't won much of this fixture lately, but that is likely to change here as they look to stay in the title race. They’ve been dropping points lately and will be keen to address that as they look to mount a strong challenge to PSG.
Metz are winless in Ligue 1 since November, and not even their head-to-head advantage in recent matches can inspire much confidence. For the visitors it looks like a case of when the relegation bell will sound. Our prediction for Lens v Metz is for Lens to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Metz
| Lens vs Metz | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 1.28 | 1.31 | +2.3% |
| Draw | 6.71 | 6.2 | -7.6% |
| Metz wins | 11.6 | 11.1 | -4.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 78.1% and is now 76.3% (-1.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lens vs. Metz game!
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Try your luck on this year's Ligue 1! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
