Leinster vs RC Toulonnais Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions Cup
Europe - Champions Cup
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by Steve Ashfield | in Champions Cup Predictions
Four-time winners Leinster bid to reach their ninth European Rugby Champions Cup final. They have home advantage in this semi-final as they host RC Toulon from Top 14. Can Le RCT spring a surprise? Find out more in our match prediction below.
Only Stade Toulousain have won the ERCC more times than Leinster. The Irish club has won all of their matches in this season's competition. In the knockout stages the third seeds have beaten Edinburgh and Sale Sharks with more than 40 points in both games.
Leinster are fourth in the United Rugby Championship, only three points behind the league leaders. They have won six of their seven home games in the URC. Each of their last nine home fixtures have been won.
RC Toulon won this competition for three successive years between 2013 and 2015. They finished second in Pool 4 behind Bath who they could meet in the final if the PREM Rugby side beat defending champions Bordeaux Begles.
Toulon won 22-19 at Glasgow Warriors in their quarter-final. They are only eighth in Top 14 but have won their last four matches. Only three of their last 13 away games have been won but the last two have been won.
We tip Leinster to win on a -5.5 handicap.
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Leinster v RC Toulonnais Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.21 | 23 | 4.54 |
|
|
1.21 | 26 | 4.52 |
|
|
1.25 | 26 | 4 |
|
|
1.22 | 20 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.22 | 20 | 4.2 |
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Leinster vs RC Toulonnais Form
Leinster and RC Toulonnais Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
11 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
5 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
27 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
21 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
11 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
5 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
27 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
31 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
10 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Apr 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
21 Mar 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
27 Feb 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
24 Jan 2026 - United Rugby Championship (URC)
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2026 - Top 14
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
11 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
25 Apr 2026 - Top 14
4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Top 14
14 Feb 2026 - Top 14
25 Jan 2026 - Top 14
11 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
18 Apr 2026 - Top 14
11 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup
28 Mar 2026 - Top 14
28 Feb 2026 - Top 14
1 Feb 2026 - Top 14
17 Jan 2026 - Champions Cup
Players list
Substitutes
Leinster - RC Toulonnais Key Points
- Leinster have won all their games in this season's ERCC.
- Leinster have reached eight ERCC finals, winning four of them.
- Leinster have scored more than 40 points in their last two home games in this competition.
- Leinster have won their last nine home games, last losing in October 2025.
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Our Leinster vs RC Toulonnais Prediction
When these two clubs last met in 2021 Leinster won 30-0 at home. A closer match is likely in this season's European Rugby Champions Cup but all the stats point towards another home win for the Irish club.
They are unbeaten at home since last October and have won all of their games in this season's ERCC. Toulon have had two away wins in the knockout stages but have only won three of their last 13 away games. Our Leinster v RC Toulon prediction is Leinster wins on a -5.5 handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
