Leinster vs Northampton Saints Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions Cup

Europe - Champions Cup

Leinster
03/05/2025 12:30
Northampton Saints

Prediction :

 

Leinster -21.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Champions Cup Predictions

Leinster will host Northampton Saints in this 2024-25 European Rugby Champions Cup semi-final on Saturday at the Aviva Stadium. The winner of this match will face either Bordeaux Bègles or Toulouse in the final. Can the four-time champions edge out the Saints to qualify for the final? Follow our prediction for the match below.

Leinster's four-match winning streak came to an end following a 35-22 away league defeat to Scarlets in their last match. Nevertheless, they have enjoyed a stellar Champions Cup campaign this season, winning each of their six matches in the competition. This includes a record 52-0 shutout over Glasgow Warriors in the quarterfinals. 

Also, Leo Cullen's side have turned the Aviva Stadium into a fortress, winning all their matches this season at the venue. Notably, five of their last six home victories have been by more than 23 points. 

After a three-match losing streak, Northampton Saints have been on fire lately, winning their last four matches. This includes a 51-16 Champions Cup quarter-final victory over Castres Olympique. However, they haven't been impressive on the road, losing five of their last seven away fixtures. This includes a 45-35 Champions Cup matchday 3 loss to Stade Francais.

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Leinster vs Northampton Saints Form

Leinster and Northampton Saints Last Matches

Leinster
Leinster Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

11 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Leinster
52 :  0
Glasgow Warriors

5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Leinster
62 :  0
Harlequins FC

18 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup

Leinster
47 :  21
Bath Rugby

12 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
14 :  16
Leinster

14 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup

Leinster
15 :  7
Clermont

8 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup

Bristol RC Bears
12 :  35
Leinster
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

11 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Leinster
52 :  0
Glasgow Warriors

5 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Leinster
62 :  0
Harlequins FC

18 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup

Leinster
47 :  21
Bath Rugby

14 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup

Leinster
15 :  7
Clermont

25 May 2024 - Champions Cup

Leinster
22 :  31
Stade Toulousain

4 May 2024 - Champions Cup

Leinster
20 :  17
Northampton Saints
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

12 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
14 :  16
Leinster

8 Dec 2024 - Champions Cup

Bristol RC Bears
12 :  35
Leinster

20 Jan 2024 - Champions Cup

Leicester Tigers
10 :  27
Leinster

10 Dec 2023 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
9 :  16
Leinster

10 Dec 2022 - Champions Cup

Racing 92
10 :  42
Leinster

7 May 2022 - Champions Cup

Leicester Tigers
14 :  23
Leinster
Northampton Saints
Northampton Saints Last matches
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

26 Apr 2025 - PREM Rugby

Northampton Saints
48 :  31
Bristol RC Bears

18 Apr 2025 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
34 :  35
Northampton Saints

12 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Northampton Saints
51 :  16
Castres Olympique

4 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Northampton Saints
46 :  24
Clermont

28 Mar 2025 - PREM Rugby

Sale Sharks
27 :  24
Northampton Saints

21 Mar 2025 - PREM Rugby

Northampton Saints
0 :  33
Leicester Tigers
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

26 Apr 2025 - PREM Rugby

Northampton Saints
48 :  31
Bristol RC Bears

12 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Northampton Saints
51 :  16
Castres Olympique

4 Apr 2025 - Champions Cup

Northampton Saints
46 :  24
Clermont

21 Mar 2025 - PREM Rugby

Northampton Saints
0 :  33
Leicester Tigers

18 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup

Northampton Saints
34 :  32
Munster

5 Jan 2025 - PREM Rugby

Northampton Saints
35 :  34
Bath Rugby
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

18 Apr 2025 - PREM Rugby

Newcastle Red Bulls
34 :  35
Northampton Saints

28 Mar 2025 - PREM Rugby

Sale Sharks
27 :  24
Northampton Saints

24 Jan 2025 - PREM Rugby

Harlequins FC
22 :  19
Northampton Saints

11 Jan 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Francais Paris
45 :  35
Northampton Saints

22 Dec 2024 - PREM Rugby

Saracens FC
39 :  24
Northampton Saints

25 Oct 2024 - PREM Rugby

Bristol RC Bears
31 :  23
Northampton Saints

Leinster vs Northampton Saints Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Leinster

100 %

Draw

0 %

Northampton Saints

0 %

4 May 2024 - Champions Cup

Leinster
20 :  17
Northampton Saints

Players list

Leinster
Leinster
S. Prendergast C. Doris T. O'Brien J. McCarthy D. Sheehan T. Furlong J. Van Der Flier R. Henshaw J. Lowe J. Gibson-Park G. Ringrose H. Keenan M. Deegan R. Snyman C. Healy
Northampton Saints
Northampton Saints
T. Freeman A. Coles J. Augustus E. Iyogun H. Pollock F. Smith T. Mayanavanua T. Litchfield J. Ramm J. Kemeny F. Dingwall T. Davison R. Hutchinson C. Langdon A. Mitchell

Substitutes

Leinster
Leinster
R. Baird R. Kelleher J. Conan L. McGrath R. Slimani R. Byrne J. Barrett A. Porter
Northampton Saints
Northampton Saints
T. Seabrook E. Millar-Mills H. Walker C. Munga T. Lockett T. James A. Scott-Young T. West

Leinster - Northampton Saints Key Points

  1. Leinster have won four of their last five matches, three of which by more than 23 points.
  2. Leinster post an impressive 11-0-0 home record this season. Five of their last six home victories have been by more than 23 points.
  3. Northampton Saints have lost five of their last seven away matches, including their last Champions Cup away tie.
  4. Northampton Saints have lost their last four Champions Cup matches against Leinster, three of which by double-digit margins.
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Our Leinster vs Northampton Saints Prediction

Leinster are the overwhelming favorites to not only win this match but cover the spread. They have won each of their six Champions Cup fixtures this season, including impressive shutout victories in the knockouts. Also, the four-time champions have aced all their home fixtures this season. Five of their last six home victories have been by more than 23 points. 

Meanwhile, Northampton Saints have lost five of their last seven away fixtures, including their last four ties against Leinster. Hence, our Leinster vs Northampton Saints prediction is Leinster -21.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

Leinster -21.5 handicap points

 
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Leinster vs Northampton Saints Prediction