Italy - Serie A
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by Nella Wagah | in Serie A Predictions
Lecce will be looking to add to AC Milan’s Serie A woes when the two face off on Friday. After matchday one action, the teams are separated by just a point and two places. Let’s have a look at the match prediction below.
The hosts, Lecce, started off their campaign with a 0-0 draw away to Genoa, which marked their fourth straight clean sheet in competitive action. Lecce had earlier beaten Juve Stabia 2-0 in the Coppa.
They are, however, winless in the last 10 matches against Milan. The last time Lecce won this fixture was in 2006, and having a poor run at home, they are also likely to struggle here.
Milan have this week had to cope with the disappointment of losing to a newly promoted side. They fell 2-1 to Cremonese on matchday one, and it was worsened by the fact that they were playing at home.
When the away fans felt things should get better, frustrations in the transfer market checked in. The expected transfer of Victor Boniface seemingly won’t happen, and they could do with some break.
However, there’s some positivity to cling to; Milan have dominated this match and scored three in each of the last three meetings. The last time Milan lost back-to-back opening league games was in 2008/9, and they will be looking to avoid the same here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v AC Milan Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.5 | 3.6 | 1.57 |
|
|
6 | 4 | 1.57 |
|
|
6 | 3.7 | 1.57 |
|
|
6 | 3.75 | 1.6 |
|
|
6.1 | 3.9 | 1.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and AC Milan?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs AC Milan match is: Milan to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2025 between Lecce and AC Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.41% for a win of Lecce against AC Milan with odds of 6.5 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs AC Milan is 15.15% with odds of 4 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.44% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Lecce with odds of 1.6 at Betway.
Lecce - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lecce AC Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AC Milan wins | 43.44% | 1.6 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.01% | 2.1 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 46.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: AC Milan/AC Milan | 16.69% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Lecce vs AC Milan Form
Lecce and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 7 |
|
16
|
6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6 |
Lecce and AC Milan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
3 May 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
12 Apr 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
24 May 2025 - Serie A
9 May 2025 - Serie A
20 Apr 2025 - Serie A
5 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
Lecce vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Mar 2025 - Serie A
27 Sep 2024 - Serie A
6 Apr 2024 - Serie A
11 Nov 2023 - Serie A
23 Apr 2023 - Serie A
14 Jan 2023 - Serie A
Lecce against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
G. Jean
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
B. Pierret
L. Torriani
DefenderA. Jimenez
MidfielderI. Bennacer
A. Jashari
ForwardR. Leao
Most goals and assists
Lecce
AC Milan
K. N’Dri
(2 Goals)
C. Pulisic
(4 Goals)
M. Berisha
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Sottil
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Melo Veiga
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Sala
(1 Assists)
,
A. Gallo
(1 Assists)
C. Pulisic
(2 Assists)
, 
L. Modric
(2 Assists)
Lecce - AC Milan Key Points
- AC Milan won four of their last six league matches.
- In 11 Serie A home matches, Lecce managed one win.
- Lecce are winless in their last 10 matches against Milan.
- Four of Milan’s last five league matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Milan scored three goals in each of the last three meetings with Lecce.
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Our Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction
Milan will be expected to rise to the occasion, coming here as the favorites following their matchday one defeat. In each of their last three meetings with Lecce, Milan scored three times. That is just part of their dominant story in this fixture.
The Milan giants last lost this match in 2006. Lecce aren’t great performers at home in the league, and that could come to bite again. Our prediction for Lecce v AC Milan is for Milan to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce AC Milan
| Lecce vs AC Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 5.25 | 6.5 | +23.8% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.6 | +9.1% |
| AC Milan wins | 1.8 | 1.57 | -12.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AC Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 63.7% (8.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lecce vs. AC Milan game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
