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Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lecce
29/08/2025 14:45
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

Milan to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Serie A Predictions

Lecce will be looking to add to AC Milan’s Serie A woes when the two face off on Friday. After matchday one action, the teams are separated by just a point and two places. Let’s have a look at the match prediction below.

The hosts, Lecce, started off their campaign with a 0-0 draw away to Genoa, which marked their fourth straight clean sheet in competitive action. Lecce had earlier beaten Juve Stabia 2-0 in the Coppa.

They are, however, winless in the last 10 matches against Milan. The last time Lecce won this fixture was in 2006, and having a poor run at home, they are also likely to struggle here.

Milan have this week had to cope with the disappointment of losing to a newly promoted side. They fell 2-1 to Cremonese on matchday one, and it was worsened by the fact that they were playing at home.

When the away fans felt things should get better, frustrations in the transfer market checked in. The expected transfer of Victor Boniface seemingly won’t happen, and they could do with some break.

However, there’s some positivity to cling to; Milan have dominated this match and scored three in each of the last three meetings. The last time Milan lost back-to-back opening league games was in 2008/9, and they will be looking to avoid the same here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v AC Milan Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
5.25 3.75 1.67
Betfred
5.5 3.6 1.7
William Hill
5 3.7 1.67
Betway
5.25 3.75 1.67
Unibet
5.3 3.85 1.62
Check all Lecce vs AC Milan odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Lecce vs AC Milan match is: Milan to win and over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2025 between Lecce and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.93% for a win of Lecce against AC Milan with odds of 5.5 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs AC Milan is 15.28% with odds of 3.92 at 22bet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 42.78% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Lecce with odds of 1.73 at 22bet.

Lecce vs AC Milan Form

Lecce and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
13
Lecce
Lecce
1 1 0 1 0 0
15
AC Milan
AC Milan
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Lecce and AC Milan Last Matches

Lecce
Lecce Last matches
W L W D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Lecce

15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lecce
2 :  0
Juve Stabia

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

SS Monopoli
2 :  2
Lecce

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  0
Carrarese Calcio

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  3
United Arab Emirates

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
2 :  1
Spezia
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lecce
2 :  0
Juve Stabia

3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  0
Carrarese Calcio

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
1 :  3
United Arab Emirates

27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Lecce
2 :  1
Spezia

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  0
Torino FC

3 May 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  1
Napoli
L D D W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
0 :  0
Lecce

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

SS Monopoli
2 :  2
Lecce

25 May 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  1
Lecce

11 May 2025 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
1 :  1
Lecce

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lecce

12 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  1
Lecce
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W W D L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese

17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
2 :  0
Bari

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan
D L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

23 Aug 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cremonese

17 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
2 :  0
Bari

24 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Monza

9 May 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  1
Bologna

20 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Atalanta

5 Apr 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Fiorentina
L L W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
4 :  1
AC Milan

9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Leeds
1 :  1
AC Milan

31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Perth Glory
0 :  9
AC Milan

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Liverpool
2 :  4
AC Milan

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Arsenal
1 :  0
AC Milan

18 May 2025 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  1
AC Milan

Lecce vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lecce

0 %

Draw

33 %

AC Milan

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (home team)
2.5
Goals scored (away team)
83%
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  3
AC Milan

27 Sep 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

6 Apr 2024 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

11 Nov 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
AC Milan

23 Apr 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Lecce

14 Jan 2023 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  2
AC Milan
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Lecce vs AC Milan last Lineups

Lecce

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

30
W. Falcone
17
D. Melo Veiga
44
Tiago Gabriel
4
K. Gaspar
25
A. Gallo
29
L. Coulibaly
10
M. Berisha
20
Y. Ramadani
7
T. Morente
22
F. Camarda
19
L. Banda
7
S. Gimenez
11
C. Pulisic
2
P. Estupinan
8
R. Loftus-Cheek
14
L. Modric
19
Y. Fofana
56
A. Saelemaekers
46
M. Gabbia
31
S. Pavlovic
23
F. Tomori
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Missing players

Lecce
Lecce
Defender

G. Jean

Midfielder

F. Marchwinski

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

Midfielder

I. Bennacer

Forward

R. Leao

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lecce
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Top Goalscorer
Serbia S. Pavlovic (1 Goals)
Best assists
Best assists
Ecuador P. Estupinan (1 Assists)

Lecce - AC Milan Key Points

  1. AC Milan won four of their last six league matches.
  2. In 11 Serie A home matches, Lecce managed one win.
  3. Lecce are winless in their last 10 matches against Milan.
  4. Four of Milan’s last five league matches had over 2.5 goals.
  5. Milan scored three goals in each of the last three meetings with Lecce.
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Our Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction

Milan will be expected to rise to the occasion, coming here as the favorites following their matchday one defeat. In each of their last three meetings with Lecce, Milan scored three times. That is just part of their dominant story in this fixture.

The Milan giants last lost this match in 2006. Lecce aren’t great performers at home in the league, and that could come to bite again. Our prediction for Lecce v AC Milan is for Milan to win and over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Milan to win and over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lecce vs AC Milan Prediction
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