Lazio vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
04/04/2026 14:45
Parma

Prediction :

 

Lazio win to nil

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Lazio will return from the international break hoping to carry on from where they left off as they host Parma in Serie A. Parma start this round seven points above the relegation region, while Lazio have risen to eighth, 11 points behind sixth. Read on to find our prediction of this match.

Ahead of the two-week break, Lazio had hit fine form, winning three straight games. The latest was a 2-0 outcome away against Bologna, securing their 14th clean sheet in the league.

As they target a fourth straight league win, Biancocelesti will be boosted by their recent home form. They’ve won three of their last five games at the Stadio Olimpico.

Parma hit a new low in their 2-0 home loss to Cremonese before the international break. Eight losses in their last 10 meetings with Lazio further complicates issues for the visitors.

In this shape, they are staring at three straight losses for the first time since February. The Crusaders are actually winless in four matches since February, but 20 of their 34 points this season have come in away matches.

However, with only 10 goals scored on the road, they may find trouble against their resolute hosts. This is having in mind that Lazio, who have the second most clean sheets, have also won 13 of their latest 17 meetings with Parma. 

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Lazio v Parma Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.95 3.2 4.25
Melbet
1.86 3.34 4.62
Betwinner
1.94 3.14 4.56
Bet365
1.95 3.25 4.33
Roobet
1.9 3.2 4.4
Check all Lazio vs Parma odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Parma?

Our prediction for the Lazio vs Parma match is: Lazio wins to nil.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Lazio and Parma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.61% for a win of Lazio against Parma with odds of 1.99 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Parma is 26% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Lazio with odds of 4.64 at 888Starz.

Lazio - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:

Lazio Parma Prediction Probability Odds
Lazio wins 44.61% 1.99 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 52.16% 2.33 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score: No 63.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lazio 27.36% 5 at LSbet

Lazio vs Parma Form

Lazio and Parma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9 Lazio
54 38 14 12 12 +1
13 Parma
45 38 11 12 15 -18

Lazio and Parma Last Matches

Lazio
Lazio Last matches
D L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Lazio

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  0
Lazio

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  0
Lazio
L W L D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  1
Sassuolo

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

30 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
3 :  2
Genoa

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  3
Como 1907
D D D D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Lazio

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
2 :  0
Lazio

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  0
Lazio

11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna
1 :  1
Lazio

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
2 :  2
Lazio

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio
Parma
Parma Last matches
W W D D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Cremonese

13 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
4 :  1
Parma

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma

27 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Cagliari

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Parma

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Hellas Verona
L D L W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Cremonese

27 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Cagliari

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

1 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  4
Juventus

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  0
Genoa

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Inter Milan
D L W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

13 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
4 :  1
Parma

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Parma

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  1
Parma

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  0
Parma

14 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
0 :  0
Parma

Lazio vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

67 %

Draw

17 %

Parma

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

28 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
Parma

1 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Parma
3 :  1
Lazio

12 May 2021 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Parma

21 Jan 2021 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  1
Parma

10 Jan 2021 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Lazio

Lazio against Parma Lineups: Starting 11

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

40
E. Motta
77
A. Marusic
25
O. Provstgaard
13
A. Romagnoli
17
N. Tavares
7
F. Dele-Bashiru
32
D. Cataldi
24
K. Taylor
18
G. Isaksen
27
D. Maldini
9
Pedro
9
M. Pellegrino
27
S. Britschgi
7
G. Strefezza
10
A. Bernabe
16
M. Keita
41
H. Caviglia
14
E. Valeri
5
L. Valenti
39
A. Circati
15
E. Del Prato
31
Z. Suzuki

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

Parma

Substitutes

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

G. Giacomone

A. Furlanetto

Defender

E. Hysaj

Midfielder

R. Belahyane

A. Przyborek

V. Farcomeni

M. Lazzari

A. Marusic 57'

T. Basic

Forward

M. Cancellieri

G. Isaksen 58'

P. Ratkov

T. Noslin

Pedro 58'

B. Dia

D. Maldini 65'

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

E. Corvi

F. Rinaldi

Defender

N. Ndiaye

F. Carboni

S. Britschgi 90'

M. Mena Martinez

Midfielder

G. Oristanio

G. Strefezza 81'

J. Ondrejka

C. Ordonez

A. Bernabe 80'

O. Sorensen

M. Keita 90'

N. Estevez

H. Caviglia 71'

Forward

N. Elphege

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Goalkeeper

I. Provedel

Defender

S. Gigot

Parma
Parma
Defender

Troilo

Midfielder

B. Cremaschi

Forward

M. Frigan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato Parma
Top Goalscorer
Denmark G. Isaksen (5 Goals)
Spain Pedro (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Pellegrino (9 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists)
Croatia T. Basic (3 Assists)
Best assists
Italy H. Caviglia (4 Assists)

Lazio - Parma Key Points

  1. Lazio have beaten Parma 13 times in their last 17 meetings.
  2. Lazio are on three straight wins ahead of this game.
  3. Lazio have kept 14 clean sheets in Serie A.
  4. Parma are winless in their last four matches, losing twice.
  5. Parma failed to score in three of their last six away matches.
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Our Lazio vs Parma Prediction

Lazio are going into a fixture they have only lost once in their last 17 meetings. In the process, they’ve won 13 times, and a bonus in their current form is their strength in defence, the hosts have won their last three matches and kept two clean sheets, taking their tally of shutouts in Serie A to 14.

That is only bested by Inter Milan’s defence. Parma have struggled in attack this season, and especially away from home. That reinforces their place as underdogs coming into this game. Our prediction for Lazio v Parma is that Lazio wins to nil.

Prediction :

 

Lazio win to nil

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Parma

Lazio vs Parma Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lazio wins 1.83 1.99 +8.7%
Draw 3.66 3.5 -4.4%
Parma wins 5.11 4.64 -9.2%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Lazio is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 8.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 50.3% (-4.4%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lazio vs Parma Prediction