Lazio vs Parma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Lazio will return from the international break hoping to carry on from where they left off as they host Parma in Serie A. Parma start this round seven points above the relegation region, while Lazio have risen to eighth, 11 points behind sixth. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
Ahead of the two-week break, Lazio had hit fine form, winning three straight games. The latest was a 2-0 outcome away against Bologna, securing their 14th clean sheet in the league.
As they target a fourth straight league win, Biancocelesti will be boosted by their recent home form. They’ve won three of their last five games at the Stadio Olimpico.
Parma hit a new low in their 2-0 home loss to Cremonese before the international break. Eight losses in their last 10 meetings with Lazio further complicates issues for the visitors.
In this shape, they are staring at three straight losses for the first time since February. The Crusaders are actually winless in four matches since February, but 20 of their 34 points this season have come in away matches.
However, with only 10 goals scored on the road, they may find trouble against their resolute hosts. This is having in mind that Lazio, who have the second most clean sheets, have also won 13 of their latest 17 meetings with Parma.
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Lazio v Parma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.95 | 3.2 | 4.25 |
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|
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1.86 | 3.34 | 4.62 |
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|
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1.94 | 3.14 | 4.56 |
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|
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1.95 | 3.25 | 4.33 |
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1.9 | 3.2 | 4.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Parma?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Parma match is: Lazio wins to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/04/2026 between Lazio and Parma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.61% for a win of Lazio against Parma with odds of 1.99 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Parma is 26% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.38% chance ⭐ for a win of Parma vs Lazio with odds of 4.64 at 888Starz.
Lazio - Parma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio Parma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 44.61% | 1.99 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 52.16% | 2.33 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 63.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lazio | 27.36% | 5 at LSbet |
Lazio vs Parma Form
Lazio and Parma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 |
|
13
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 |
Lazio and Parma Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
9 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
9 Mar 2026 - Serie A
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
30 Jan 2026 - Serie A
19 Jan 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
13 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
27 Feb 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
27 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
7 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
25 Jan 2026 - Serie A
14 Jan 2026 - Serie A
Lazio vs Parma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
28 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
12 May 2021 - Serie A
21 Jan 2021 - Coppa Italia
10 Jan 2021 - Serie A
Lazio against Parma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
G. Giacomone
A. Furlanetto
DefenderE. Hysaj
MidfielderR. Belahyane
A. Przyborek
V. Farcomeni
M. Lazzari
T. Basic
ForwardM. Cancellieri
P. Ratkov
T. Noslin
B. Dia
E. Corvi
F. Rinaldi
DefenderN. Ndiaye
F. Carboni
M. Mena Martinez
MidfielderG. Oristanio
J. Ondrejka
C. Ordonez
O. Sorensen
N. Estevez
N. Elphege
Missing players
I. Provedel
DefenderS. Gigot
Troilo
MidfielderB. Cremaschi
ForwardM. Frigan
Most goals and assists
Lazio - Parma Key Points
- Lazio have beaten Parma 13 times in their last 17 meetings.
- Lazio are on three straight wins ahead of this game.
- Lazio have kept 14 clean sheets in Serie A.
- Parma are winless in their last four matches, losing twice.
- Parma failed to score in three of their last six away matches.
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Our Lazio vs Parma Prediction
Lazio are going into a fixture they have only lost once in their last 17 meetings. In the process, they’ve won 13 times, and a bonus in their current form is their strength in defence, the hosts have won their last three matches and kept two clean sheets, taking their tally of shutouts in Serie A to 14.
That is only bested by Inter Milan’s defence. Parma have struggled in attack this season, and especially away from home. That reinforces their place as underdogs coming into this game. Our prediction for Lazio v Parma is that Lazio wins to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Parma
| Lazio vs Parma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 1.83 | 1.99 | +8.7% |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.5 | -4.4% |
| Parma wins | 5.11 | 4.64 | -9.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lazio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 8.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 50.3% (-4.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.