Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Fiorentina will hope to extend their improving run when they travel to Lazio for their next Serie A match. Lazio sit ninth going into this game, while Fiorentina are 19th. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
Lazio’s hopes for a top six finish remain high despite suffering a 2-0 defeat to Napoli last time out. By that loss they were left winless in three matches, having drawn the earlier two.
As they seek to bounce back, the Biancocelesti will still be concerned by their poor run in this fixture. They have posted three straight defeats in their latest meetings with Fiorentina. Lazio have also failed to win at home in their last three matches, firing blanks in two.
Lazio’s unimpressive run coincides with Fiorentina picking up vital points as they look to salvage their season. La Viola failed to win any of their first 15 league matches but have since posted victory in two of the last three.
They are coming off a 1-0 win against Cremonese, which put them three points below safety. This could be their moment, as they are matched with 17th-placed Genoa on goal difference.
Genoa will be traveling to AC Milan next. Fiorentina will also be looking to win their first away match in the league. They have suffered four straight losses on the road.
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Lazio v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 3 | 3.15 |
|
|
2.3 | 3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.23 | 3 | 3.68 |
|
|
2.3 | 3 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.42 | 2.94 | 3.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Lazio vs Fiorentina match is: under 2.5 goals and Fiorentina wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/01/2026 between Lazio and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.95% for a win of Lazio against Fiorentina with odds of 2.6 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Fiorentina is 25.13% with odds of 3.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Lazio with odds of 3.77 at 888Starz.
Lazio - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lazio Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 52.95% | 2.6 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 66.06% | 2.2 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 58.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lazio | 28.05% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Lazio vs Fiorentina Form
Lazio and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | +1 |
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 |
Lazio and Fiorentina Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
20 Dec 2025 - Serie A
7 Dec 2025 - Serie A
4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia
23 Nov 2025 - Serie A
3 Nov 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
13 Dec 2025 - Serie A
29 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Oct 2025 - Serie A
19 Oct 2025 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Serie A
21 Dec 2025 - Serie A
14 Dec 2025 - Serie A
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - Serie A
18 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - Serie A
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
9 Nov 2025 - Serie A
6 Nov 2025 - Conference League
Lazio vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jan 2025 - Serie A
22 Sept 2024 - Serie A
26 Feb 2024 - Serie A
30 Oct 2023 - Serie A
29 Jan 2023 - Serie A
10 Oct 2022 - Serie A
Lazio against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
C. Mandas
A. Furlanetto
DefenderN. Tavares
O. Provstgaard
E. Hysaj
R. Belahyane
N. Rovella
M. Vecino
F. Serra
Pedro
O. Christensen
L. Lezzerini
DefenderN. Fortini
L. Ranieri
E. Kouadio
E. Kospo
P. Mari
M. Solomon
S. Sohm
ForwardM. Kean
H. Caviglia
C. Kouame
Missing players
Patric
S. Gigot
MidfielderF. Dele-Bashiru
ForwardB. Dia
T. Noslin
A. Sabiri
Most goals and assists
Lazio
Fiorentina
G. Isaksen
(5 Goals)
, 
Pedro
(5 Goals)
M. Kean
(8 Goals)
T. Castellanos
(3 Assists)
, 
T. Basic
(3 Assists)
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Assists)
Lazio - Fiorentina Key Points
- Each of Lazio’s last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals.
- Fiorentina beat Lazio in each of their last three meetings.
- Fiorentina have posted two wins in their last three outings.
- Lazio are winless in their last three matches, losing the latest.
- Three of Fiorentina’s last four matches ended in under 2.5 goals.
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Our Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction
Fiorentina are looking to repeat a feat they last achieved in 1985—beating Lazio in four straight meetings. Though they have struggled a bit on the road, it is hard not to feel they will extend their recent impressive run of form.
La Viola have two wins in the last three matches and should be confident enough to go for an away win. They meet Lazio at a time their hosts are really struggling and even failing to score in the last two home games. Our prediction for Lazio v Fiorentina is under 2.5 goals and Fiorentina wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio Fiorentina
| Lazio vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lazio wins | 2.05 | 2.6 | +26.8% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.1 | -7.5% |
| Fiorentina wins | 3.95 | 3.77 | -4.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lazio is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 26.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 48.8% and is now 38.5% (-10.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
