Latvia vs North Macedonia Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
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by Ian John in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Latvia host North Macedonia in an important Nations League Group C4 match on Thursday. The home team 11 Vilki (11 Wolves) face the Macedonian Lions with a potential top spot in the group on offer for the winner. What market are we backing in our prediction for this seemingly even contest?
The home side came into this game with a slightly better record in their past ten matches than their opponents. Latvia have won three of those ten, all at home, against Armenia (2-0) and twice recording 1-0 wins over the Faroe Islands (including in their most recent fixture in the Nations League).
However, they were well-beaten by Armenia in their opening Nations League clash, losing 4-1 in Yerevan on Matchday One. Their form is inconsistent in their last six games, all of which have been against lower-ranking opponents but resulted only in two wins, two draws and two defeats.
North Macedonia may have a slightly worse record than Latvia in their past ten games, but they have faced significantly better opposition. They have lost to Croatia (3-0), the Czech Republic (2-1), Italy (5-2), and Ukraine (2-0) and drew with England (1-1).
They began the Nations League with a disappointing 1-1 draw away at the Faroe Islands. However, on Matchday Two, they bounced back with a 2-0 win over Armenia to take over top spot in the group.
Winger Enis Bardhi has been a star man for North Macedonia, netting in both Nations League games so far.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Latvia v North Macedonia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.1 | 2.22 |
|
|
3.5 | 3 | 2.19 |
|
|
4.16 | 3.15 | 2.02 |
|
|
4 | 3.2 | 2.02 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Latvia and North Macedonia?
Our prediction for the Latvia vs North Macedonia match is: North Macedonia to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Latvia and North Macedonia in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.66% for a win of Latvia against North Macedonia with odds of 4.16 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Latvia vs North Macedonia is 21.27% with odds of 3.34 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 34.07% chance ⭐ for a win of North Macedonia vs Latvia with odds of 2.3 at Betsson.
Latvia - North Macedonia Prediction and Best Odds:
| Latvia North Macedonia Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Latvia wins | 44.66% | 4.16 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 74.19% | 2.09 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.67% | 1.72 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Latvia | 16.13% | 7.5 at Betsson |
Latvia vs North Macedonia Form
Latvia and North Macedonia's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
16 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +9 |
|
4
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -7 |
Latvia and North Macedonia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
8 Jun 2024 - Baltic Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
12 Oct 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
8 Sept 2023 - Euro
19 Jun 2023 - Euro
28 Mar 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
9 Sept 2023 - Euro
16 Jun 2023 - Euro
23 Mar 2023 - Euro
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - Euro
14 Oct 2023 - Euro
Latvia vs North Macedonia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Sept 2019 - Euro
Latvia against North Macedonia Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
K. Zviedris
F. Orols
DefenderK. Dubra
A. Cernomordijs
E. Birka
M. Tonisevs
MidfielderA. Jaunzems
L. Vapne
D. Melniks
E. Daskevics
R. Uldrikis
D. Sits
I. Aleksovski
D. Siskovski
DefenderA. Iljazovski
D. Velkovski
B. Dimoski
D. Mitrovski
T. Kostadinov
A. Stojchevski
ForwardL. Qamili
M. Ristovski
M. Ilievski
Most goals and assists
Latvia
North Macedonia
R. Varslavans
(1 Goals)
,
D. Sits
(1 Goals)
,
R. Uldrikis
(1 Goals)
B. Miovski
(3 Goals)
V. Gutkovskis
(1 Assists)
,
A. Ciganiks
(1 Assists)
,
D. Zelenkovs
(1 Assists)
B. Miovski
(1 Assists)
,
G. Zajkov
(1 Assists)
,
J. Atanasov
(1 Assists)
Latvia - North Macedonia Key Points
- Despite a tough run of games, North Macedonia has two wins and three draws in its last ten games.
- Latvia have won just three of their past 11 matches at home.
- In three previous games with Latvia, North Macedonia have scored seven, conceding two.
- Latvia have lost all three previous games with North Macedonia.
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Our Latvia vs North Macedonia Prediction
Our prediction for the Latvia vs. North Macedonia Nations League Group C4 clash is: North Macedonia to win.
A look at the data suggests that this game should be a close call. However, one notable consideration has to be the quality of the opponent faced. Latvia's record against lower-level opponents is modest. North Macedonia has faced much more difficult opposition (including Italy, England and Ukraine) in recent times and have a similar record. As such, backing the visitors to claim a vital win in this group is a good value bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Latvia North Macedonia
| Latvia vs North Macedonia | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Latvia wins | 3.32 | 4.16 | +25.3% |
| Draw | 3.36 | 3.34 | -0.6% |
| North Macedonia wins | 2.19 | 2.3 | +5.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Latvia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.1% and is now 24.0% (-6.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
