Stade Rochelais vs Stade Toulousain Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
06/09/2026 15:05
Stade Toulousain

Prediction :

 

Stade Rochelais +3.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Stade Marcel-Deflandre will be lit on Sunday as Stade Rochelais host defending champions Stade Toulousain in Round 1 of the 2026-27 Top 14 season. The hosts have been difficult opponents at home for Stade Toulousain in recent years, leading us to favor Stade Rochelais in our prediction. 

Stade Rochelais' campaign in the French top flight last season ended in the quarterfinals following a 45–5 defeat away to Stade Francais. However, they won each of their final six regular-season fixtures before that loss. 

Notably, Les Maritimes won each of their final four home fixtures last season. They beat Stade Toulousain in their last four meetings at Stade Marcel-Deflandre.

Stade Toulousain held off Montpellier HR's late rally to win the 2025-26 Top 14 final and retain the title for the fourth consecutive season. The Red and Blacks will target a strong start this season while looking to add a 26th French championship to their cabinet.

However, Sunday's clash is unlikely to be an easy contest. Ugo Mola's men lost both of their final two Top 14 away matches last season, including a 38–10 defeat in their most recent trip to Stade Marcel-Deflandre. 

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Stade Rochelais v Stade Toulousain Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
2.61 15 1.55
Melbet
2.61 15 1.55
Betwinner
2.61 15 1.55
22bet
2.1 15 1.73
Bet365
2.63 21 1.5
Check all Stade Rochelais vs Stade Toulousain odds

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Stade Rochelais vs Stade Toulousain Form

Stade Rochelais and Stade Toulousain's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Stade Toulousain
0 0 0 0 0 0
7 Stade Rochelais
0 0 0 0 0 0

Stade Rochelais and Stade Toulousain Last Matches

Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais Last matches
W W W W W L
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

14 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
45 :  5
Stade Rochelais

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
27 :  22
Stade Francais Paris

30 May 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
15 :  71
Stade Rochelais

17 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
38 :  10
Stade Toulousain

10 May 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
24 :  26
Stade Rochelais

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
29 :  31
Stade Rochelais
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
27 :  22
Stade Francais Paris

17 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
38 :  10
Stade Toulousain

18 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
45 :  15
Union Bordeaux Begles

21 Mar 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
20 :  6
Section Paloise

14 Feb 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
33 :  43
Montpellier Herault Rugby

31 Jan 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
24 :  44
Lyon Ou
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

14 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
45 :  5
Stade Rochelais

30 May 2026 - Top 14

US Montalbanaise
15 :  71
Stade Rochelais

10 May 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
24 :  26
Stade Rochelais

25 Apr 2026 - Top 14

USA Perpignan
29 :  31
Stade Rochelais

10 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Ulster Rugby
41 :  24
Stade Rochelais

4 Apr 2026 - Challenge Cup

Newcastle Red Bulls
18 :  26
Stade Rochelais
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

27 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28 :  20
Montpellier Herault Rugby

19 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
71 :  17
Racing 92

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
31 :  20
Stade Toulousain

30 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  31
Lyon Ou

17 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
38 :  10
Stade Toulousain

9 May 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  51
Stade Toulousain
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

27 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
28 :  20
Montpellier Herault Rugby

19 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
71 :  17
Racing 92

30 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  31
Lyon Ou

26 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
24 :  27
Clermont

4 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup

Stade Toulousain
59 :  26
Bristol RC Bears

28 Mar 2026 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
45 :  29
Montpellier Herault Rugby
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

6 Jun 2026 - Top 14

Racing 92
31 :  20
Stade Toulousain

17 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
38 :  10
Stade Toulousain

9 May 2026 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
27 :  51
Stade Toulousain

18 Apr 2026 - Top 14

Castres Olympique
25 :  42
Stade Toulousain

12 Apr 2026 - Champions Cup

Union Bordeaux Begles
30 :  15
Stade Toulousain

22 Mar 2026 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
44 :  20
Stade Toulousain

Stade Rochelais vs Stade Toulousain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Rochelais

33 %

Draw

17 %

Stade Toulousain

50 %

17 May 2026 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
38 :  10
Stade Toulousain

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

4 Jan 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
22 :  19
Stade Toulousain

15 Sept 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
35 :  27
Stade Rochelais

21 Jun 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
39 :  23
Stade Rochelais

2 Jun 2024 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
31 :  31
Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais vs Stade Toulousain Prediction

Players list

Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais
S. Lagivala G. Alldritt J. Sclavi A. Hastoy J. Cancoriet I. West T. Latu J. Favre P. Boudehent C. Kante Samba O. Jegou N. Le Garrec D. Niniashvili R. Wardi J. Nowell
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
P. Mauvaka J. Willis B. Kinghorn A. Dupont R. Neti F. Cros A. Roumat P. Barassi R. Ntamack J. Merkler Perez J. Brennan E. Meafou S. Chocobares M. Lebel T. Thomas

Substitutes

Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais
P. Bourgarit L. Veivuke U. Seuteni T. Berjon A. Timo L. Penverne A. Kuntelia T. Lavault
Stade Toulousain
Stade Toulousain
K. Gourgues D. Aldegheri J. Marchand T. Ramos C. Verge P. Graou T. Flament D. Ainu'u

Stade Rochelais - Stade Toulousain Key Points

  1. Stade Rochelais won their final six Top 14 regular-season fixtures last season.
  2. Stade Rochelais won their final four home league matches last season.
  3. Stade Toulousain lost both of their final two Top 14 away matches last season.
  4. Stade Toulousain have lost their last four Top 14 away matches against Stade Rochelais.
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Our Stade Rochelais vs Stade Toulousain Prediction

Stade Toulousain have dominated the French top flight in recent years, but Stade Marcel-Deflandre has been one of the toughest grounds for them to visit. While the defending champions are priced as favorites here, their underwhelming record on this ground offers a note of caution. 

Meanwhile, Stade Rochelais rounded off their regular season last term on a strong note. They are likely to make things difficult for a Stade Toulousain side that dropped their final two away matches last season. Our Stade Rochelais vs Stade Toulousain prediction : Stade Rochelais +3.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Stade Rochelais +3.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.