Stade Rochelais vs RC Toulonnais Prediction & Betting Tips - Top 14

France - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
04/01/2026 15:05
RC Toulonnais

Prediction :

 

Stade Rochelais -27.5 handicap points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

After a heavy defeat at Stade Toulousain in Toulouse, Stade Rochelais will look to bounce back as they welcome RC Toulon to the Stade Marcel-Deflandre in this Top 14 round 14 clash. The Yellow and Blacks will also aim to strengthen their bid for a top-six finish with a win against the visitors. Here is our prediction for the game. 

Stade Rochelais' recent dwindling fortunes worsened against Stade Toulousain in their last outing. They lost both halves by wide double-digit margins and collapsed to a 60–14 defeat against the defending champions in Toulouse. 

The loss in Toulouse saw Ronan O'Gara's men fall to their fifth defeat in seven matches across all competitions. Nevertheless, the Seaborn Men are in good stead to secure victory in this match. They have won nine of their last 10 home matches and remain unbeaten in their last seven home matchups with RC Toulon, winning all seven.

RC Toulon defeated USA Perpignan 31–16 in their last match to bounce back from a 39-point defeat to Bordeaux Begles. Notably, the Red and Blacks have lost their last six matches on the road, with the last three defeats coming by at least 27 points. 

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Stade Rochelais v RC Toulonnais Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.01 43 27
Betwinner
1.01 20 24
Bet365
1.01 51 21
Roobet
1.02 50 21
BC Game
1.02 50 21
Check all Stade Rochelais vs RC Toulonnais odds

Stade Rochelais vs RC Toulonnais Form

Stade Rochelais and RC Toulonnais's standings in the Top 14

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Stade Rochelais
68 25 14 0 11 +185
9 RC Toulonnais
59 25 12 1 12 -89

Stade Rochelais and RC Toulonnais Last Matches

Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais Last matches
L L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stormers
42 :  21
Stade Rochelais

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
39 :  20
Leicester Tigers

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
17 :  19
Castres Olympique
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

20 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
49 :  17
Aviron Bayonne

6 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stade Rochelais
39 :  20
Leicester Tigers

22 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
17 :  19
Castres Olympique

2 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
33 :  6
Racing 92

18 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
54 :  19
US Montalbanaise

27 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
31 :  8
USA Perpignan
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
60 :  14
Stade Rochelais

13 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Stormers
42 :  21
Stade Rochelais

30 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Section Paloise
53 :  33
Stade Rochelais

8 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
39 :  14
Stade Rochelais

25 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Lyon Ou
19 :  36
Stade Rochelais

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
26 :  24
Stade Rochelais
RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais Last matches
L W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
31 :  16
USA Perpignan

21 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
46 :  7
RC Toulonnais

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
45 :  34
Bath Rugby

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Edinburgh Rugby
33 :  20
RC Toulonnais

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  28
US Montalbanaise

23 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
51 :  24
RC Toulonnais
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

28 Dec 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
31 :  16
USA Perpignan

14 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

RC Toulonnais
45 :  34
Bath Rugby

29 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  28
US Montalbanaise

8 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
39 :  14
Stade Rochelais

1 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
54 :  21
Lyon Ou

19 Oct 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
45 :  21
Racing 92
L L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

6/6 (100%)

21 Dec 2025 - Top 14

Union Bordeaux Begles
46 :  7
RC Toulonnais

7 Dec 2025 - Champions Cup

Edinburgh Rugby
33 :  20
RC Toulonnais

23 Nov 2025 - Top 14

Stade Francais Paris
51 :  24
RC Toulonnais

26 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Stade Toulousain
59 :  24
RC Toulonnais

11 Oct 2025 - Top 14

Clermont
27 :  10
RC Toulonnais

28 Sept 2025 - Top 14

Aviron Bayonne
35 :  32
RC Toulonnais

Stade Rochelais vs RC Toulonnais Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stade Rochelais

50 %

Draw

0 %

RC Toulonnais

50 %

8 Nov 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
39 :  14
Stade Rochelais

26 Jan 2025 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
45 :  26
Stade Rochelais

8 Sept 2024 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
19 :  15
RC Toulonnais

15 Jun 2024 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
29 :  34
Stade Rochelais

28 Apr 2024 - Top 14

Stade Rochelais
27 :  17
RC Toulonnais

27 Jan 2024 - Top 14

RC Toulonnais
25 :  23
Stade Rochelais

Players list

Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais
D. Jurd C. Kante Samba A. Kaddouri O. Jegou D. Leyds L. Veivuke T. Latu U. Seuteni J. Nowell U. Atonio K. Douglas N. Le Garrec D. Niniashvili J. Favre G. Alldritt
RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
N. Moreau M. Ferte R. Rebbadj J. Coulon N. Narmania J. Sreckovic O. Cowie M. Gracieux L. Ametlla J. Toevalu C. Mezou G. Javakhia P. Garbisi M. Smaili C. Lebail

Substitutes

Stade Rochelais
Stade Rochelais
L. Andjisseramatchi N. Sutidze K. Fraindt A. Kuntelia I. West W. Skelton R. Wardi T. Berjon
RC Toulonnais
RC Toulonnais
E. Abadie L. Gil O. Sorhaindo K. Alainuuese B. Mechentel B. White D. Brennan M. Nonu

Stade Rochelais - RC Toulonnais Key Points

  1. Stade Rochelais have won nine of their last 10 home games, dating back to last season, eight of which by wide double-digit margins.
  2. Stade Rochelais have won their last seven home matches against RC Toulon.
  3. RC Toulon have lost their last six away matches.
  4. RC Toulon have lost their last three Top 14 matches by at least 27 points.
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Our Stade Rochelais vs RC Toulonnais Prediction

It's not a question of whether Stade Rochelais can overcome RC Toulon in this match, but by what score margin. Notably, Ronan O'Gara's men have turned Stade Marcel-Deflandre into a nightmare venue for visiting teams. They have not only beaten opponents in their recent fixtures at the venue, but dominated them by impressive margins.

Meanwhile, RC Toulon have incurred wide-margin defeats in their recent Top 14 away matches. Hence, we are tipping Stade Rochelais to win by a significant margin. Our Stade Rochelais vs RC Toulon prediction is Stade Rochelais -27.5 handicap points.

Prediction :

 

Stade Rochelais -27.5 handicap points

 
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Stade Rochelais vs RC Toulonnais Prediction