RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Nella Wagah | in Conference League Predictions
Fiorentina have one leg in the UEFA Conference League quarter-finals as they travel to Poland to face Rakow Czestochowa. The Italian side leads this two-legged tie 2-1 from the first leg played at home. Let’s have a look at the prediction for the return leg match.
Rakow once again hosts this game at the neutral ArcelorMittal Park, hoping to overturn their slim deficit. The Poles led in the first leg before conceding twice in Italy. They are coming off another loss, 3-1 away. To Gornik in their domestic league.
Hosting this, Rakow will be banking on their impressive home form here. They’ve only lost twice in the last 14 home matches, winning nine. Medaliki have posted four straight home wins in the UECL and were the second-best home side in the league stage.
Fiorentina did well in the first leg, coming from a goal down to inflict on Rakow a first defeat in the competition this season. That was a positive for La Viola, who are having a torrid campaign, but the slim nature of their win wasn’t too convincing.
They did warm up for this one though, with a 4-1 victory at Cremonese in Serie A. Unbeaten in three matches, they will fancy their chances here but have lost three of their last five matches in this competition.
In two of their last three defeats in the competition, they failed to score.
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RKS Rakow Czestochowa v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 3.35 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.18 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.4 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.7 | 3.4 | 2.55 |
|
|
2.72 | 3.3 | 2.62 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between RKS Rakow Czestochowa and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina match is: Rakow Czestochowa wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/03/2026 between RKS Rakow Czestochowa and Fiorentina in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.96% for a win of RKS Rakow Czestochowa against Fiorentina with odds of 2.86 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina is 17.38% with odds of 3.4 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.66% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs RKS Rakow Czestochowa with odds of 2.93 at Melbet.
RKS Rakow Czestochowa - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| RKS Rakow Czestochowa Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 46.66% | 2.93 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.16% | 2.13 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 54.17% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fiorentina | 20.45% | 6.75 at LSbet |
RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina Form
RKS Rakow Czestochowa and Fiorentina Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
5 Mar 2026 - Polish Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
21 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
21 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
8 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
10 Jan 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Dec 2025 - Ekstraklasa
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
5 Mar 2026 - Polish Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ekstraklasa
14 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
1 Feb 2026 - Ekstraklasa
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
27 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
18 Jan 2026 - Serie A
RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
RKS Rakow Czestochowa against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
K. Trelowski
D. Czeremski
DefenderA. Mosor
M. Ilenic
Z. Arsenic
MidfielderM. Bulat
J. Napieraj
ForwardM. Diaby
A. Amorim Santos
B. Mircetic
L. Rocha
P. Leonardelli
D. De Gea
DefenderE. Kospo
L. Balbo
M. Pongracic
E. Kouadio
R. Gosens
P. Bonanno
R. Mandragora
R. Piccoli
R. Braschi
A. Gudmundsson
Missing players
L. Lezzerini
DefenderN. Fortini
MidfielderM. Solomon
Most goals and assists
RKS Rakow Czestochowa
Fiorentina
M. Diaby
(3 Goals)
, 
J. Brunes
(3 Goals)
C. Ndour
(4 Goals)
, 
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Goals)
M. Bulat
(1 Assists)
, 
K. Struski
(1 Assists)
,
T. Pienko
(1 Assists)
,
J. Brunes
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Amorim Santos
(1 Assists)
,
M. Ameyaw
(1 Assists)
,
P. Makuch
(1 Assists)
, 
Ivi
(1 Assists)
C. Ndour
(2 Assists)
RKS Rakow Czestochowa - Fiorentina Key Points
- Fiorentina lost twice in the last three away Conference League matches.
- Three of Fiorentina’s last five matches in Europe ended in defeat.
- Rakow have four straight wins at home in the Conference League.
- Rakow have lost once in seven Conference League matches.
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Our RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina Prediction
Two-time Conference League finalists Fiorentina come into this game with a slim lead. There are no guarantees the Italians will extend this advantage, as Rakow have been superb at home in this competition. The Polish side is on a run of four straight wins at home in this competition and had two clean sheets in three at the league stage.
Meanwhile, Fiorentina suffered three defeats in their last five matches in Europe. Two of La Viola’s last three away Conference League matches ended in defeat. Based on that, our prediction for Rakow Czestochowa v Fiorentina is that Rakow Czestochowa wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis RKS Rakow Czestochowa Fiorentina
| RKS Rakow Czestochowa vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| RKS Rakow Czestochowa wins | 2.73 | 2.86 | +4.8% |
| Draw | 3.44 | 3.4 | -1.2% |
| Fiorentina wins | 2.53 | 2.93 | +15.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.5% and is now 34.1% (-5.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
