Kei Nishikori vs Alexandre Muller Prediction & Betting Tips - Hong Kong Open
ATP - Hong Kong Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Not since 2019 has Kei Nishikori played in an ATP Tour final. The long wait ends on Sunday when he takes on fellow unseeded player Alexandre Muller in the Hong Kong Open final. Time for our match prediction.
Nishikori has had more than his fair share of injuries in his career. He ended 2024 well with a Challenger Tour title won and now he's in an ATP Tour final. He's up to 74th in the live rankings and could climb another 12 places if winning the 13th ATP Tour title of his career.
His tournament began well with a win over Denis Shapovalov and then followed that up with a three-set win over third-seeded Karen Khachanov. He then defeated Cameron Norrie in three sets and in his semi-final defeated Juncheng Shang who retired in set one when 4-3 down.
Alexandre Muller has risen to 59th in the live rankings thanks to reaching this outdoor hard court final. The Frenchman has only ever reached one ATP Tour final in his career. That was on clay in Morocco two years ago.
Muller probably didn't expect to reach the final here after a poor end to 2024. His last three matches had all been lost in straight sets and hadn't won two successive matches in a tounament since September.
That's all changed this week with wins over Marc-Andrea Husler, Miomir Kecmanovic, fourth-seeded Arthur Fils and Jaume Munar. In each match he won after losing the first set. We tip Nishikori to win.
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Kei Nishikori v Alexandre Muller Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.33 | 3.39 |
|
|
1.32 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.35 | 3.18 |
|
|
1.3 | 3.5 |
|
|
1.28 | 3.5 |
|
Who will win the Kei Nishikori vs Alexandre Muller Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Kei Nishikori vs Alexandre Muller match is: Kei Nishikori to win and over 19.5 games played.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Kei Nishikori vs Alexandre Muller game on 05/01/2025 of the current Hong Kong Open season:
- Kei Nishikori has a 68.68% chance to win against Alexandre Muller according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.35.
- Alexandre Muller has a 31.32% probability of winning facing Kei Nishikori ⭐ with odds of 3.5 at Bet365.
Kei Nishikori vs Alexandre Muller Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Kei Nishikori has a 68.68 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Kei Nishikori | 68.68 % |
| Alexandre Muller | 31.32 % |
Kei Nishikori vs Alexandre Muller Form
Kei Nishikori and Alexandre Muller Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
3 Jan 2025 - Hong Kong Open
1 Jan 2025 - Hong Kong Open
31 Dec 2024 - Hong Kong Open
22 Oct 2024 - ATP Vienna
4 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2 Oct 2024 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Jan 2025 - Hong Kong Open
3 Jan 2025 - Hong Kong Open
1 Jan 2025 - Hong Kong Open
30 Dec 2024 - Hong Kong Open
4 Nov 2024 - ATP Belgrade Open
17 Oct 2024 - Stockholm Open
Kei Nishikori - Alexandre Muller Key Points
- Muller has had to play nearly five hours more than Nishikori to reach this final.
- Each Muller match this week has gone to a final set after he lost the first.
- All of Muller's matches in this tournament have had over 19.5 games.
- Nishikori has won 12 of his last 13 matches and won one Challenger Tour event.
- The wins Nishikori had over Khachanov and Norrie both had over 19.5 games played in them.
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Our Kei Nishikori vs Alexandre Muller Prediction
Kei Nishikori played his first Grand Slam match when Alexandre Muller was only ten. He has so much more experience than his opponent and could have won many more titles but for his injuries. He's won his last nine matches after winning a Challenger Tour event last time out.
Alexandre Muller has made it to his first ATP Tou hard court final and not won a first set all week. A bet on Nishioka winning set one looks a winner. Our main Kei Nishikori v Alexandre Muller prediction is Kei Nishikori to win and over 19.5 games played.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
