Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Indian Wells
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Sonay Kartal has advanced to the fourth round at the BNP Paribas Open, where she will face off with third seed Elena Rybakina. The winner of their first career meeting will play Jessica Pegula or Belinda Bencic for a place in the semi-finals. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Kartal is having an exciting tournament and has equaled her fourth-round finish from last season. Now she is one win away from her best-ever result at a WTA 1000 event. The Brit, a former China Open quarter-finalist, beat two top 20-seeded players in the last two rounds.
She defeated 20th seed Emma Navarro in the second round and then 15th seed Madison Keys to set up this showdown. A winner of 15 matches so far in 2026, this hasn’t stopped Kartal from dropping in the live ranking; she is now ranked 56th.
Rybakina defeated 28th seed Marta Kostyuk in straight sets in the last round. Champion at Indian Wells in 2023, Rybakina hasn’t progressed past the fourth round since that triumph.
But looking at how she is performing this season, she looks like a strong candidate to emerge champion once again. The world number three, who won this year’s Australian Open, has lost just three times in 17 outings.
Rybakina looks to have recovered from an injury that forced her to end her campaign in Dubai, right before arriving in California, in the round of 16.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Sonay Kartal v Elena Rybakina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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5.25 | 1.16 |
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5.25 | 1.16 |
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5.5 | 1.14 |
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5 | 1.14 |
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5 | 1.14 |
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Who will win the Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina match is: exact score 0-2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina game on 11/03/2026 of the current WTA Indian Wells season:
- Sonay Kartal has a 28.56% chance to win against Elena Rybakina according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 5.7.
- Elena Rybakina has a 71.44% probability of winning facing Sonay Kartal ⭐ with odds of 1.16 at Melbet.
Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Sonay Kartal has a 28.56 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Sonay Kartal | 28.56 % |
| Elena Rybakina | 71.44 % |
Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina Form
Sonay Kartal and Elena Rybakina Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
9 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
5 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
14 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
13 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
8 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
7 Mar 2026 - WTA Indian Wells
17 Feb 2026 - WTA Dubai Tennis Championships
12 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
11 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
10 Feb 2026 - WTA Doha
Sonay Kartal - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Kartal has played three more hours of tennis this week as compared to Rybakina.
- Rybakina has won 14 of the 17 matches she has contested this season.
- Rybakina is a former Indian Wells champion.
- Kartal has lost five times this season.
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Our Sonay Kartal vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
Our prediction for Sonay Kartal v Elena Rybakina is for the exact score 0-2. Kartal is having an exciting Indian Wells tournament and 2026 season. It is, therefore, no surprise that she has made it this far this week, defeating seeded players along the way.
But now, she faces an even sterner test, which we feel will be a task too difficult to conquer. Rybakina is the current world number three, and is also a former Indian Wells champion and has been in superb form this year.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Sonay Kartal vs. Elena Rybakina game!

When you place a bet on the match between Sonay Kartal and Elena Rybakina you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Sonay Kartal or Elena Rybakina, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.