Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Rome
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions
Karolina Pliskova is through to the fourth round at the Italian Open, where she will take on second seed Elena Rybakina. Their fifth career meeting comes two seasons after the last and our prediction is for Rybakina winning the match.
Pliskova defeated Laura Siegemund in straight sets in the last round. It was her first 2-0 win of the week after her opening two fixtures went the full distance. A former world number one, Pliskova lost in the Rome final five seasons ago.
This year’s event is the first time since that run that she has qualified for the second week of competition. The 34-year-old has won 13 of 18 matches and is 9-2 on clay. Advancing to this round has catapulted her 22 places to 108th in the live ranking.
Elena Rybakina has won all four previous times that she has been paired up against Pliskova. All duels were on hard courts, with the most recent being in 2024.
As a clay court specialist and former Rome champion, the world number two will be confident of another victory. Rybakina, who has yet to lose a set in this year’s event, defeated Alexandra Eala in the last round.
That win saw her eclipse her shock third-round exit last season as the defending champion. Rybakina has been one of the top performers this season and, with 29 wins, has won two titles, including the Australian Open.
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Karolina Pliskova v Elena Rybakina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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6.4 | 1.12 |
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6.45 | 1.11 |
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6.5 | 1.11 |
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6 | 1.1 |
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6 | 1.1 |
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Who will win the Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina match is: exact score: 1-2.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina game on 11/05/2026 of the current WTA Rome season:
- Karolina Pliskova has a 27.28% chance to win against Elena Rybakina according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 7.
- Elena Rybakina has a 72.72% probability of winning facing Karolina Pliskova ⭐ with odds of 1.13 at Shangrila.
Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Karolina Pliskova has a 27.28 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Karolina Pliskova | 27.28 % |
| Elena Rybakina | 72.72 % |
Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina Form
Karolina Pliskova and Elena Rybakina Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 May 2026 - WTA Rome
8 May 2026 - WTA Rome
6 May 2026 - WTA Rome
29 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
10 May 2026 - WTA Rome
8 May 2026 - WTA Rome
27 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2026 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2026 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
16 Jan 2024 - WTA Australian Open
Karolina Pliskova - Elena Rybakina Key Points
- Rybakina has defeated Pliskova four times previously.
- In nine outings on clay, Rybakina has won eight times.
- Rybakina is a former Italian Open champion.
- Two of Pliskova's five losses this season have been registered on clay.
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Our Karolina Pliskova vs Elena Rybakina Prediction
Our prediction for Karolina Pliskova v Elena Rybakina is for the exact score: 1-2. Rybakina has an excellent record against Pliskova. She has never lost in this fixture, winning all four battles so far.
As the world number two and one of the in-form players this season, she looks set to extend this advantage. Victory for her might not be straightforward, and she might need to earn passage to the next round via a decider. This is because Pliskova is an established clay court competitor too, and is showing it this term.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.