Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Australian Open

ATP - ATP Australian Open

ATP 15
Karen Khachanov
19/01/2026 21:05
ATP 42 USA
Alex Michelsen

Prediction :

 

More than 0.5 tie-breaks

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Australian Open Predictions

15th seed Karen Khachanov has a tricky first round match in the Australian Open. The Russian is up against unseeded Alex Michelsen who reached round four in this outdoor hard court tournament last year. Time for our match prediction.

An unseeded opponent will be faced in round two, either Christopher O'Connell or Nishesh Basavareddy.

Karen Khachanov has a strong record in this first Grand Slam of the year. His best performance came three years ago when making it to the semi-finals. The fourth round was reached in 2024 and round three last year.

Only one match has been played by the 29-year-old Russian, losing to Michael Mmoh. Both sets went to a tie-break. He's played seven in his last five outdoor hard court matches and is 18th in the live rankings.

The two players are 1-1 in previous meetings and Michelsen's win was in last year's Australian Open. Alex Michelsen has also got a good record in this tournament but has recently struggled elsewhere. His last four Grand Slam matches have all ended in defeat. 

The American has won four of his six matches this year and made it to the semi-finals in Brisbane.

We tip more than 0.5 tie-breaks to be played in this match.

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Karen Khachanov v Alex Michelsen Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Melbet
1.56 2.43
Betwinner
1.56 2.43
Bet365
1.57 2.38
Roobet
1.53 2.34
BC Game
1.55 2.32
Check all Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen odds

Who will win the Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen match is: more than 0.5 tie-breaks to be played.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen game on 19/01/2026 of the current ATP Australian Open season:

  • Karen Khachanov has a 49.1% chance to win against Alex Michelsen according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.57.
  • Alex Michelsen has a 50.9% probability of winning facing Karen Khachanov ⭐ with odds of 2.49 at Tonybet.

Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Karen Khachanov has a 49.1 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Karen Khachanov49.1 %
Alex Michelsen50.9 %

Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen Form

Karen Khachanov and Alex Michelsen Last Matches

Karen Khachanov Last matches
L L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

8 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open

Michael Mmoh
2 :  0
Karen Khachanov

30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
0 :  2
Alex De Minaur

29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
2 :  1
Joao Fonseca

27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Karen Khachanov
2 :  0
Ethan Quinn

20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Karen Khachanov
1 :  2
Tallon Griekspoor

16 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Karen Khachanov
1 :  2
Jan-Lennard Struff
Alex Michelsen Last matches
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

13 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Marcos Giron
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen

12 Jan 2026 - ASB Classic

Mariano Navone
1 :  2
Alex Michelsen

10 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Daniil Medvedev
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen

9 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Sebastian Korda
0 :  2
Alex Michelsen

6 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

Alex Michelsen
2 :  0
Learner Tien

4 Jan 2026 - Brisbane International

James Duckworth
1 :  2
Alex Michelsen

Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Karen Khachanov

50 %

Alex Michelsen

50 %

4 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto

Alex Michelsen
0 :  2
Karen Khachanov

17 Jan 2025 - ATP Australian Open

Alex Michelsen
3 :  0
Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov - Alex Michelsen Key Points

  1. Both previous matches between Khachanov and Michelsen saw a tie-break played.
  2. Khachanov has played two sets this year and both went to a tie-break.
  3. Michelsen has also played a match this year that saw two tie-breaks played.
  4. Nine of the last 11 matches Khachanov has played in the Australian Open have seen at least one tie-break played.
  5. Michelsen has played seven matches in the Australian Open, five included at least one tie-break.
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Our Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

Alex Michelsen is twenty places below Karen Khachanov in the live rankings. This is likely to be a close match though and last year it was Michelsen who won their match in this Grand Slam tournament.

The American has made a good start to this year with a semi-final in Brisbane. Khachanov lost his only match played this year but both sets went to a tie-break. Our Karen Khachanov v Alex Michelsen prediction is more than 0.5 tie-breaks to be played.

Prediction :

 

More than 0.5 tie-breaks

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Karen Khachanov vs Alex Michelsen Prediction