Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
The onus is on Kairat Almaty to overturn their first-leg deficit as they host KuPS on Tuesday in the second qualifying round of the 2025-26 UEFA Champions League. This match at the Ortalyq Stadion between the hosting ‘Team of the Nation’ and the visiting Yellow-Black comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.
KuPS have a 2-0 lead from the first leg, and the winner of this tie will face the winner of Slovan Bratislava vs Zrinjski Mostar in the third qualifying round. The loser is transferred to the Europa League third qualifying round.
Kairat won 3-1 away at Tobol in the Kazakhstan Premier League at the weekend to stay close to the top. That victory also helped them bounce back from the first-leg defeat in this tie but was just their second win over five recent fixtures (W2, D2, L1).
Playing at home is perhaps the best option, as the Kazakhs have three wins and a draw from their last four home fixtures. That included a 2-0 win in the previous qualifying round.
KuPS continued their impressive run in the qualifiers this season, keeping their third clean sheet in as many matches so far. They failed to do so in three of their last four competitive trips, but adding to that count would be enough to carry them forward in this competition.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kairat Almaty v KuPS Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.42 | 4.33 | 7 |
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1.4 | 4.33 | 6.5 |
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1.4 | 4.4 | 7 |
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1.4 | 4.5 | 7 |
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1.38 | 4.8 | 7.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Kairat Almaty and KuPS?
Our prediction for the Kairat Almaty vs KuPS match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/07/2025 between Kairat Almaty and KuPS in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.19% for a win of Kairat Almaty against KuPS with odds of 1.45 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kairat Almaty vs KuPS is 30.67% with odds of 4.8 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.15% chance ⭐ for a win of KuPS vs Kairat Almaty with odds of 7.8 at Melbet.
Kairat Almaty vs KuPS Form
Kairat Almaty and KuPS Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
19 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
15 Jul 2025 - Champions League
8 Jul 2025 - Champions League
4 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
15 Jul 2025 - Champions League
4 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
21 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
24 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
8 Jul 2025 - Champions League
29 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
14 Jun 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League
30 May 2025 - Kazakhstan Premier League

3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
19 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
17 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga
15 Jul 2025 - Champions League
12 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
17 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga
12 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga
8 Jul 2025 - Champions League
1 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
27 Jun 2025 - Veikkausliiga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga
19 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
15 Jul 2025 - Champions League
6 Jul 2025 - Naisten Liiga
4 Jul 2025 - Veikkausliiga
28 Jun 2025 - Naisten Liiga
Kairat Almaty vs KuPS Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
Kairat Almaty - KuPS Key Points
- Three of Kairat’s last four home matches in all competitions have returned under 2.5 goals.
- Kairat kept a clean sheet in three of their last four home matches in all competitions.
- In four of their last five away matches in all competitions, KuPS saw two or fewer goals scored.
- Six of Kairat’s last eight matches in all competitions have seen fewer than three goals scored.
- KuPS saw two or fewer goals scored in their last four competitive matches.
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Our Kairat Almaty vs KuPS Prediction
A tight away match in the first leg didn’t work to Kairat’s advantage as they lost 2-0, with both goals conceded in the second half. Home form should give Kairat a chance to push it past KuPS, and the odds market seems to think so too, making them heavy favourites to win. The Finnish visitors will look to keep things tighter, much like the first leg, and surprise the visitors.
The hosts have been tighter at the back in their recent home matches, and that’s why our Kairat Almaty vs KuPS prediction is under 2.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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