Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik Prediction & Betting Tips - Hong Kong Open
ATP - Hong Kong Open
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Tennis Predictions
Perhaps the most interesting game of the 2026 Hong Kong Open quarterfinal is the matchup between Juncheng Shang and Alexander Bublik. 406th-ranked Shang will be eying a final spot against the 11th-ranked Bublik, which isn't too surprising as the Chinese man actually leads in their H2H. See our match prediction below.
Shang is already flying high in this tournament, with back-to-back straight sets wins over 66th-ranked Francisco Comesana and 39th-ranked Lorenzo Sonego. And that's not too surprising for one of only two players from China to ever win an ATP Tour title in the Open Era.
What's also interesting is that in Shang’s run to win the 2024 Chengdu Open, he beat Bublik 2-0. That win made it 2-1 in their H2H after Shang also beat Bublik a month earlier in the US Open. However, Bublik isn't about to sit back and let that happen, especially with the year he's just had.
Bublik entered 2025 with only four ATP titles and finished the year with four more. He now hopes to add a 9th trophy to his cabinet in his first appearance in the Hong Kong Open since its 2024 revival. Bulbik is already off to a great start with his 12-6 win over Botic Van de Zandschulp, which comes shortly after his semifinal exit from the Paris Masters.
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The Best Betting Odds for Juncheng Shang v Alexander Bublik Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.38 | 1.57 |
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2.4 | 1.58 |
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2.4 | 1.55 |
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2.4 | 1.5 |
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Who will win the Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik match is: Shang wins a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik game on 09/01/2026 of the current Hong Kong Open season:
- Juncheng Shang has a 49.52% chance to win against Alexander Bublik according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 2.62.
- Alexander Bublik has a 50.48% probability of winning facing Juncheng Shang ⭐ with odds of 1.58 at Unibet.
Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Juncheng Shang has a 49.52 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Juncheng Shang | 49.52 % |
| Alexander Bublik | 50.48 % |
Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik Form
Juncheng Shang and Alexander Bublik Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
6 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
6 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
4 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters
26 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Jan 2026 - Hong Kong Open
5 Nov 2025 - Moselle Open
1 Nov 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
31 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters
Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
22 Sept 2024 - ATP Chengdu Open
26 Aug 2024 - ATP US Open
Juncheng Shang - Alexander Bublik Key Points
- Shang has beaten Bublik twice in their three career meetings.
- Shang (61.5%) edges Bublik (58.2%) in career win rate.
- Shang (64.2%) has a much better career hardcourt win rate than Bublik (55.7%).
- Outside exhibition games, Shang has won a set in nine of his last ten singles, all against players in the top-75.
- Shang has made it to the semifinals of the Hong Kong Open in every edition since its 2024 revival.
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Our Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik Prediction
Don't be fooled by the 406th ranking attached to Juncheng Shang's name. The Chinese man is a deadly player even for the current world's best players. In fact, since this tournament’s comeback in 2024, Shang has made it to every semifinal and is on course to do it once more.
He lost to eventual champion Andrey Rublev in the first and exited the second only due to a walkover. Now, Shang has an opportunity to make it to three straight semis in this tournament against the world no.11, whom he already leads in H2H. Hence, our Juncheng Shang vs Alexander Bublik prediction is that Shang wins a set.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
